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Engineering Risk in Natural Resources Management

With Special References to Hydrosystems Under Changes of Physical or Climatic Environment

  • Book
  • © 1994

Overview

Editors:
  1. L. Duckstein

    1. Systems and Industrial Engineering, The University of Arizona, Tucson, USA

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  2. E. Parent

    1. Department of Applied Mathematics, French Institute of Forestry, Agricultural and Environmental Engineering, Paris, France

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    You can also search for this editor in PubMed   Google Scholar

Part of the book series: NATO Science Series E: (NSSE, volume 275)

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Table of contents (31 chapters)

  1. Regional Consequences of Climate Change

    1. Water Quality in Coastal Zones under Variable Climatic Conditions

      • Jacques Ganoulis, Lucien Duckstein, Istvan Bogardi, Istvan Matyasovszky
      Pages 267-283

    2. Report of Panel No 1 Global Change: A Statistical Myth?

      • B. Bobée, G. Cavadias
      Pages 285-285

  2. Engineering Decisions under Uncertainty and Risk

    1. Front Matter

      Pages 287-290
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    2. Inference and Decision under Near Ignorance Conditions

      • William F. Caselton, Wuben Luo
      Pages 291-303

    3. Design and Control of Water Systems in Presence of Inflow Scenarios

      • Rodolfo Soncini-Sessa, Andrzej Karbowski
      Pages 305-320

    4. Risk of Extreme Flood Losses under Uncertain Physical Conditions

      • James H. Lambert, Duan Li, Yacov Y. Haimes
      Pages 321-329

    5. Sea Level Rise: A Probabilistic Design Problem

      • Jan K. Vrijling
      Pages 331-341

    6. Quantitative Analysis of Uncertainties in Water Resources: Application for Predicting the Effects of Changes

      • Jacques Bernier
      Pages 343-357

    7. Strategic Decisions under Nonstationary Conditions: A Stopping-Control Paradigm

      • Roman Krzysztofowicz
      Pages 359-371

    8. Report of Panel No 2 When and How Should We Act ?

      • M. Waterstone
      Pages 373-374

  3. Policy and Case Studies

    1. Front Matter

      Pages 375-378
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    2. Managing Water Resources for Adaptation to Climate Change

      • Eugene Z. Stakhiv
      Pages 379-393

    3. The Effect of Climate Change on Storm Surges

      • Erich J. Plate
      Pages 395-415

    4. Evaluating Climate Change Impacts on the Management of the Great Lakes of North America

      • Philip Chao, Ben F. Hobbs, Eugene Z. Stakhiv
      Pages 417-433

    5. Water Management in the Neste System (France)

      • Patrick Hurand
      Pages 435-448

    6. Planning and Management of Water Resources in the Southwest of France in a Dynamic Physical, Social and Economic Environment

      • Vincent Hammel
      Pages 449-454

    7. Balancing Reservoir Management and Water Conservation: Application to Hydropower and Irrigation

      • Fabrice Fourcade, Fabrice Quentin
      Pages 455-463

    8. Report of Panel No 3: To Act or Not to Act ?

      • E. Z. Stakhiv
      Pages 465-467

  4. Back Matter

    Pages 469-473
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Keywords

About this book

The purpose of this paper is to present a methodology for estimating space-time stochastic properties of local climatic factors reflecting global climate change. Specifically, daily precipitation amount and daily mean temperature are considered and illustrated with application to the state of Nebraska, U. S. A. Furthermore, a drought index with and without global climate change is examined. The magnitude and consequences of regional response to anticipated climatic changes are uncertain (Houghton et al. , 1990). Typical questions to be answered are: can time series of hydrological events or 10cal climatic variables such as daily temperature be conditioned in scenarios of future climate change and if so, how can this be utilized ? Can extreme historical drought events be reproduced by a stochastic hydroc1imatological model ? Can such a model be used with General Circu1ation Model (GCM) outputs to evaluate the regional/local effects of climate change scenarios? The approach presented in this paper is an extension of the usual analysis of regional hydrometeorological impacts of climate change: we propose to examine time series of GCM­ produced daily atmospheric circulation patterns (CP), thought to be relatively accurate GCM output to estimate local climatic factors. The paper is organized as follows. First, daily CPs are classified and analyzed statistically, first for historical and then for GCM produced data. Next, the height of the 500 hPa pressure field is introduced as an additional physically relevant variable influencing local climatic factors within each CP type.

Editors and Affiliations

  • Systems and Industrial Engineering, The University of Arizona, Tucson, USA

    L. Duckstein

  • Department of Applied Mathematics, French Institute of Forestry, Agricultural and Environmental Engineering, Paris, France

    E. Parent

Bibliographic Information

  • Book Title: Engineering Risk in Natural Resources Management

  • Book Subtitle: With Special References to Hydrosystems Under Changes of Physical or Climatic Environment

  • Editors: L. Duckstein, E. Parent

  • Series Title: NATO Science Series E:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-015-8271-1

  • Publisher: Springer Dordrecht

  • eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive

  • Copyright Information: Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 1994

  • Hardcover ISBN: 978-0-7923-3010-3Published: 30 September 1994

  • Softcover ISBN: 978-90-481-4441-9Published: 03 December 2010

  • eBook ISBN: 978-94-015-8271-1Published: 11 November 2013

  • Series ISSN: 0168-132X

  • Edition Number: 1

  • Number of Pages: XII, 474

  • Topics: Environmental Management, Atmospheric Sciences, Hydrogeology, Systems Theory, Control

  • Industry Sectors: Biotechnology

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