Table 1 Jominian versus Clausewitzian intelligence (Agrell and Treverton 2015, p. 37)
From: Intelligence in Military Missions: Between Theory and Practice
Jominian intelligence | Clausewitzian intelligence |
|---|---|
Goal is to eliminate uncertainty | Goal is to assess uncertainty |
There is a “right” answer | “Fog of war” is inescapable |
More information and better concepts narrow uncertainty | Single-point high-probability predictions both unhelpful and inaccurate |
Large uncertainty indicates shortcomings to analysis | Better analysis may identify more possible outcomes |