Abstract
This advanced chapter discusses topics in probabilities of interest to CBR. It is devoted to readers who deal in their applications with stochastic phenomena. Some basic knowledge about probabilities is required. We discuss that the connections between similarities and probabilities are manifold. There are two directions: Probabilities give rise to adequate similarity measures. First we introduced covariance and correlation measures and the Kullback–Leibler measure. Under certain circumstances, probabilities can be estimated from similarities. More sophisticated measures are measures of concordance. They are discussed from the perspective of risk analysis. On the other hand, under certain conditions similarity measures can lead to probabilities. As a way to extend influence diagrams, Bayesian networks are introduced. They contain background knowledge in the form of conditional probabilities. Process models are often of stochastic character. We also discuss linear prediction.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
References
Aamodt A, Langseth H (1998) Integrating Bayesian networks into knowledge-intensive CBR. In: Aha DW, Daniels JJ (eds) Case-based reasoning integrations: papers from the 1998 workshop. Technical report WS-98-15. AAAI Press, Menlo Park, p 1
Billot A, Gilboa I, Samet D, Schmeidler D (2005) Probabilities as similarity-weighted frequencies. Econometrica 73(4):1125–1136
Blok SV, Medin DL, Osherson D (2003) Probability from similarity. In: AAAI spring symposium on logical formalization of commonsense reasoning. Technical report SS-03-05. AAAI, Palo Alto, p 36
Brzeźniak Z, Zastawniak T (2000) Basic stochastic processes. Springer undergraduate mathematics series. Springer, London
Embrechts P, Lindskog F, McNeil A (2001) Modelling dependence with copulas and applications to risk management. In: Rachev ST (ed) Handbook of heavy tailed distributions in finance. Handbooks in finance, vol 8. Elsevier, The Netherlands, pp 329–384
Fishburn PC (1986) The axioms of subjective probability. Stat Sci 1(3):335–345
Jensen FV (1996) An introduction to Bayesian networks. UCL Press, London
Makhoul J (1975) Linear prediction: a tutorial review. Proc IEEE 63(4):561–580
Niknafs A, Sun B, Richter MM, Ruhe G (2011) Comparative analysis of three techniques for predictions in time series with repetitive patterns. In: Zhang R, Cordeiro J, Li X et al. (eds) ICEIS 2011: 13th international conference on enterprise information systems, Beijing, China, 8–11 June 2011
Savage JL (1954) Foundations of statistics. Wiley, New York
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2013 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Richter, M.M., Weber, R.O. (2013). Probabilities. In: Case-Based Reasoning. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-40167-1_16
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-40167-1_16
Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg
Print ISBN: 978-3-642-40166-4
Online ISBN: 978-3-642-40167-1
eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)