Skip to main content

Natural History and Stages of Cirrhosis

  • Chapter
  • First Online:
Variceal Hemorrhage

Abstract

Cirrhosis of the liver develops usually slowly during inflammatory diseases which cause progressive accumulation of fibrosis and distortion of the liver structure. There are two major clinical phases of the disease, recognized as clinically distinct entities: compensated and decompensated cirrhosis. Compensated cirrhosis is characterized by a very low mortality, while transition to decompensation is the major outcome for this early disease stage. Following decompensation median survival is approximately 2–4 years. Esophageal varices, ascites, bleeding, jaundice, and encephalopathy allow identification of disease stages with significantly different outcomes. In most patients, sepsis, renal failure, and acute-on-chronic liver failure occur as end stage events anticipating death. Hepatocellular carcinoma may occur along the whole course of cirrhosis and, whenever it occurs, significantly worsens the outcome. The Child-Pugh score or its components, age, portal hypertension, renal function, and the model for end stage liver disease, are among the most widely recognized prognostic indicators of mortality.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 89.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 119.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

References

  1. D’Amico G, Garcia-Tsao G, Cales P, Escorsell A, Nevens F, Cestari R, et al. Diagnosis of portal hypertension: how and when. In: DeFranchis R, editor. Portal hypertension III. Proceedings of the third Baveno international consensus workshop on definitions, methodology and therapeutic strategies. Hoboken, NJ: Blackwell Science; 2001. p. 36–64.

    Google Scholar 

  2. Garcia-Tsao G, Friedman S, Iredale J, Pinzani M. Now there are many stages where before there was one: in search of pathophysiological classification of cirrhosis. Hepatology. 2010;51:1445–9.

    Article  PubMed Central  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  3. D’Amico G, Garcia-Tsao G, Pagliaro L. Natural history and prognostic indicators of survival in cirrhosis: a systematic review of 118 studies. J Hepatol. 2006;44:217–31.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  4. Bruno S, Zuin M, Crosignani A, Rossi S, Zadra F, Roffi L, et al. Predicting mortality risk in patients with compensated HCV-induced cirrhosis: a long term prospective study. Am J Gastroenterol. 2009;104:1147–58.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  5. Kutami R, Girgrah N, Wanless IR, Sniderman K, Wong FS, Sherman M, et al. The Laennec grading system for assessment of hepatic fibrosis: validation by correlation with wedged hepatic vein pressure and clinical features. Hepatology. 2000;32:407A.

    Google Scholar 

  6. Nagula S, Jain D, Groszmann RJ, Garcia-Tsao G. Histological-hemodynamic correlation in cirrhosis—a histological classification of the severity of cirrhosis. J Hepatol. 2006;44:111–7.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  7. Rastogi A, Maiwall R, Bihari C, Ahuja A, Kumar A, Singh T, et al. Cirrhosis histology and Laennec staging system correlate with high portal pressure. Histopathology. 2013;62:731–41.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  8. Kim SU, Oh JH, Wanless RI, Lee S, Han KH, Park NY. The Laennec staging system for histological sub-classification of cirrhosis is useful for stratification of prognosis in patients with liver cirrhosis. J Hepatol. 2012;57:556–63.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  9. Castera L. Non-invasive methods to assess liver disease in patients with hepatitis B or C. Gastroenterology. 2012;142:1293–302.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  10. Groszmann R, Garcia-Tsao G, Bosch J, Grace ND, Burroughs AK, Planas R, et al. Beta-blockers to prevent gastroesophageal varices in patients with cirrhosis. N Engl J Med. 2005;353:2254–61.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  11. D’Amico G, Pasta L, Madonia S, Tarantino G, Mancuso A, Malizia G, et al. The incidence of esophageal varices in cirrhosis. Gastroenterology. 2001;120:A2.

    Google Scholar 

  12. Merli M, Nicolini G, Angeloni S, Rinaldi V, De Santis A, Merkel C, et al. Incidence and natural history of small esophageal varices in cirrhotic patients. J Hepatol. 2003;38:266–72.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  13. Garcia-Tsao G, Groszmann RJ, Fisher RL, Conn HO, Atterbury CE, Glickman M. Portal pressure, presence of gastroesophageal varices and variceal bleeding. Hepatology. 1985;5:419–24.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  14. Groszmann RJ, Bosch J, Grace N, Conn HO, Garcia-Tsao G, Navasa M, et al. Hemodynamic events in a prospective randomized trial of propranolol vs placebo in the prevention of the first variceal hemorrhage. Gastroenterology. 1990;99:1401–7.

    CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  15. Vorobioff J, Groszmann RJ, Picabea E, Gamen M, Villavicencio R, Bordato J, et al. Prognostic value of hepatic venous pressure gradient measurements in alcoholic cirrhosis: a 10-year prospective study. Gastroenterology. 1996;111:701–9.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  16. D’Amico G, Villanueva C, Burroughs AK, Dollinger M, Planas R, Solà R, et al. Clinical stages of cirrhosis a multicenter study of 1858 patients. Hepatology. 2010;52(S1):329.

    Google Scholar 

  17. Zipprich A, Garcia-Tsao G, Rogowsky S, Fleig WE, Seufferlein T, Dollinger MM. Prognostic indicators of survival in patients with compensated and decompensated cirrhosis. Liver Int. 2012;32(9):1407–14.

    Article  CAS  PubMed Central  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  18. Vilar Gomez E, Sanchez Rodriguez Y, Calzadilla Bertot L, Gonzalez AT, Perez YM, Soler EA. The natural history of compensated HCV-related cirrhosis: a prospective long-term study. J Hepatol. 2013;58:434–44.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  19. Gines P, Quintero E, Arroyo V. Compensated cirrhosis: natural history and prognosis. Hepatology. 1987;7:122–8.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  20. D’Amico G, Morabito A, Pagliaro L, Marubini E. Survival and prognostic indicators in compensated and decompensated cirrhosis. Dig Dis Sci. 1986;31:468–75.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  21. Kamath PS, Wiesner RH, Malinchoc M, Kremers W, Therneau TM, Kosberg CL. A model to predict survival in patients with end-stage liver disease. Hepatology. 2001;33:464–70.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  22. Ripoll C, Groszmann R, Garcia-Tsao G, Grace N, Burroughs A, Planas R, et al. Hepatic venous pressure gradient predicts clinical decompensation in patients with compensated cirrhosis. Gastroenterology. 2007;133:481–8.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  23. Berzigotti A, Garcia-Tsao G, Bosch J, Grace ND, Burroughs AK, Morillas R, et al. Obesity is an independent risk factor for clinical decompensation in patients with cirrhosis. Hepatology. 2011;54:555–61.

    Article  PubMed Central  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  24. Saunders JB, Walters JRF, Davies P, Paton A. A 20-year prospective study of cirrhosis. Br Med J. 1981;282:263–6.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  25. Planas R, Montoliu S, Ballestè B, Rivera M, Miquel M, Masnou H, et al. Natural history of patients hospitalized for management of cirrhotic ascites. Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol. 2006;4:1385–94.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  26. Salerno F, Guevara M, Bernardi M, Moreau R, Wong F, Angeli P, et al. Refractory ascites: pathogenesis, definition and therapy of a severe complication in patients with cirrhosis. Liver Int. 2010;1:937–47.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  27. Guardiola J, Xiol X, Escribà JM. Prognostic assessment of cirrhotic patients with refractory ascites treated with a peritoneovenous shunt. Am J Gastroenterol. 1995;90:2097–102.

    CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  28. Salerno F, Cammà C, Enea M, Rossle M, Wong F. Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt for refractory ascites: a meta-analysis of individual patient data. Gastroenterology. 2007;133:825–34.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  29. Pugh RN, Murray-Lyon IM, Dawson JL, Pietroni MC, Williams R. Transection of the esophagus for bleeding oesophageal varices. Br J Surg. 1973;60:646–9.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  30. Guardiola J, Baliellas C, Xiol X, Fernandez Esparrach G, Gines P, Ventura P. External validation of a prognostic model for predicting survival of cirrhotic patients with refractory ascites. Am J Gastroenterol. 2002;97:2374–8.

    PubMed  Google Scholar 

  31. Fernandez J, Navasa M, Planas R, Montoliu S, Monfort D, Soriano G, et al. Primary prophylaxis of spontaneous bacterial peritonitis delays hepatorenal syndrome and improves survival in cirrhosis. Gastroenterology. 2007;133:818–24.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  32. Arvaniti V, D’Amico G, Fede G, Mansou P, Tsochatzis E, Pleguezuelo M. Infections in patients with cirrhosis increase mortality four-fold and should be used in determining prognosis. Gastroenterology. 2010;139:1246–56.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  33. Rimola A, Garcìa-Tsao G, Navasa M, et al. Diagnosis, treatment and prophylaxis of spontaneous bacterial peritonitis: a consensus document. J Hepatol. 2000;32:142–53.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  34. Conn HO. Spontaneous peritonitis and bacteremia in Laennec’s cirrhosis caused by enteric organisms. Ann Intern Med. 1964;60:568–80.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  35. Wong F, Bernardi M, Balk R, Christman B, Moreau R, Garcia-Tsao G, et al. Sepsis in cirrhosis: report on the 7th meeting of the International Ascites Club. Gut. 2005;54:718–25.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  36. Salerno F, Gerbes A, Ginès P, Wong F, Arroyo V. Diagnosis, prevention and treatment of hepatorenal syndrome in cirrhosis. Gut. 2007;56:1310–8.

    CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  37. Fernandez J, Gustot T. Management of bacterial infections in cirrhosis. J Hepatol. 2012;56 Suppl 1:S1–12.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  38. Serstè T, Lebrec D, Vallà D, Moreau R. Incidence and characteristics of type 2 hepatorenal syndrome in patients with cirrhosis and refractory ascites. Acta Gastroenterol Belg. 2008;71:9–14.

    PubMed  Google Scholar 

  39. Ginès P, Guevara M, Arroyo V, Rodés J. Hepatorenal syndrome. Lancet. 2003;362:1819–27.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  40. D’Amico G, Luca A. Natural history. Clinical-haemodynamic correlations. Prediction of the risk of bleeding. Baillieres Clin Gastroenterol. 1997;11:243–56.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  41. Zoli M, Merkel C, Magalotti D, Gueli C, Grimaldi M, Gatta A, et al. Natural history of cirrhotic patients with small esophageal varices: a prospective study. Am J Gastroenterol. 2000;95:503–8.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  42. North-Italian Endoscopic Club. Prediction of the first variceal hemorrhage in patients with cirrhosis of the liver and esophageal varices. A prospective multicenter study. N Engl J Med. 1988;319:983–9.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  43. D’Amico G, Garcia-Pagan JC, Luca A, Bosch J. HVPG reduction and prevention of variceal bleeding in cirrhosis. A systematic review. Gastroenterology. 2006;131:1624.

    Google Scholar 

  44. D’Amico G, de Franchis R. Upper digestive bleeding in cirrhosis. Post-therapeutic outcome and prognostic indicators. Hepatology. 2003;38:599–612.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  45. de Franchis R. Evolving consensus in portal hypertension. Report of the Baveno IV consensus workshop on methodology of diagnosis and therapy in portal hypertension. J Hepatol. 2005;43:167–76.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  46. de Franchis R. Revising consensus in portal hypertension. Report of the Baveno v consensus workshop on methodology of diagnosis and therapy in portal hypertension. J Hepatol. 2010;53:762–8.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  47. Abraldes J, Villanueva C, Banares R, Aracil C, Catalina MV, Garcia-Pagan JC, et al. Hepatic venous pressure gradient in patients with acute variceal bleeding treated with pharmacologic and endoscopic therapy. J Hepatol. 2008;48:229–36.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  48. D’Amico G, Pagliaro L, Bosch J. Pharmacological treatment of portal hypertension: an evidence-based approach. Semin Liver Dis. 1999;19:475–505.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  49. Bosch J, Garcia-Pagan JC. Prevention of variceal rebleeding. Lancet. 2003;361:952–4.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  50. Garcia-Pagan JC, Caca K, Bureau C, Laleman W, Appenrodt B, Luca A, et al. Early use of TIPS in patients with cirrhosis and variceal bleeding. N Engl J Med. 2010;362:2370–9.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  51. Fernandez J, Arroyo V. Bacterial infections in cirrhosis. A growing problem with significant implications. Clin Liver Dis. 2013;2:102–5.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  52. Garcia-Tsao G, Sanyal A, Grace N, Carey W. AASLD practice guidelines. Prevention and management of gastroesophageal varices and variceal hemorrhage in cirrhosis. Hepatology. 2007;46:922–38.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  53. Fattovich G, Stroffolini T, Zagni I, Donato F. Hepatocellular carcinoma in cirrhosis: incidence and risk factors. Gastroenterology. 2004;127:S35–50.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  54. N’Kontchou G, Paries J, Htar MT, Ganne-Carrie N, Costentin L, Grando-Lemaire V, et al. Risk factors for hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with alcoholic or viral C cirrhosis. Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol. 2006;4:1062–8.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  55. Ioannau GN, Splan MF, Weiss NS, McDonald GB, Beretta L, Lee SP. Incidence and predictors of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with cirrhosis. Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol. 2007;5:938–45.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  56. Lok A, Seef LB, Morgan T, Di Bisceglie A, Sterling R, Curto T, et al. Incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma and associated risk factors in hepatitis C related advanced liver disease. Gastroenterology. 2009;136:138–48.

    Article  CAS  PubMed Central  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  57. El-Serag HB, Everhart JE. Improved survival after variceal hemorrhage over an 11-year period in the department of veterans affairs. Am J Gastroenterol. 2000;95:3566–73.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  58. Talwalkar JA, Gores GJ. Diagnosis and staging of hepatocellular carcinoma. Gastroenterology. 2004;127:S126–32.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  59. Marrero JA, Fontana RJ, Barrat A, Ascari F, Conjeevaram HS, Su LG, et al. Prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma: comparison of 7 staging systems in an American cohort. Hepatology. 2005;41:707–16.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  60. Giannini EG, Risso D, Testa R, Trevisani F, Di Nolfo MA, Del Poggio P, et al. Prevalence and prognostic significance of the presence of esophageal varices in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma. Clin Gastro Hepatol. 2005;4:1378–84.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  61. Jepsen P, Ott P, Andersen PK, Sorensen HT, Vilstrup H. The clinical course of alcoholic liver cirrhosis: a Danish population-based cohort study. Hepatology. 2010;51:1675–82.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  62. Moreau R, Arroyo V. Acute-on-chronic liver failure. Is the definition ready for prime time? Clin Liver Dis. 2013;2:113–5.

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Gennaro D’Amico M.D. .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2014 Springer Science+Business Media New York

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

D’Amico, G. (2014). Natural History and Stages of Cirrhosis. In: de Franchis, R., Dell’Era, A. (eds) Variceal Hemorrhage. Springer, New York, NY. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4939-0002-2_2

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4939-0002-2_2

  • Published:

  • Publisher Name: Springer, New York, NY

  • Print ISBN: 978-1-4939-0001-5

  • Online ISBN: 978-1-4939-0002-2

  • eBook Packages: MedicineMedicine (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics