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The N e Business, Again, and a Proposed Experiment

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War in the Body
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Abstract

In 1997, A. Leigh-Brown proposed that the effective population size, traditionally denoted N e , of HIV in vivo is surprisingly small. Leigh-Brown based this conclusion on the analysis of certain nucleotide sequences coding for a part of the envelope protein (β€œEnv”); on the basis of established genetic tests (assuming neutrality), he concluded that N e was closer to 100 than to the population size of virions (1010–1012), or of PITs (107–108) in chronic infection.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    At this time, the EPV-hypothesis about infection probabilities is still conjectural; there are many alternative explanations, e.g., a rare mucosal target cell, or a stochastic barrier that must be penetrated.

  2. 2.

    In other words, using ODEs for both immune system and HIV infection, updating all compartments by the RK method.

  3. 3.

    The ratio: smallest to largest genome compartment, went from 5 % at the start to 300 % at the finish, but clearly no Lorenz-like gyrations appear in the figure.

  4. 4.

    It is also clear from comparing, e.g., FigureΒ 11.5 withΒ 11.6, that the cross-overs appear early and are due to demographic stochasticity rather than to β€œchaotic” dynamics.

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Wick, W.D., Yang, O.O. (2013). The N e Business, Again, and a Proposed Experiment. In: War in the Body. Springer, New York, NY. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4614-7294-0_11

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