Abstract
The purpose of this chapter is mainly to discuss how one can determine the motives, goals, or values of past decision-makers from knowing what decisions they have reached and their likely perceptions of the relevant facts. One may also be able to deduce their perceptions from knowing their decisions and goals.
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Notes and References
For further details on deducing goals in Marbury v. Madison see Charles Warren, The Supreme Court in United States History (Boston, Mass.: Little Brown, 1935);
Charles G. Haines, The Role of the Supreme Court in American Government and Politics 1789–1835 ( Berkeley, CA: University of California Press, 1944 );
and Robert Carr, The Supreme Court and Judicial Review ( New York: Rinehart, 1942 ): 57–74.
On deducing goals in judicial decisions in general, see Glendon Schubert, Quantitative Analysis of Judicial Behavior ( Riverside, N.J.: Free Press, 1942 ): 173–268.
For further details on the Roosevelt decision to proceed with the development of the atomic bomb, see H. Smyth, Atomic Energy for Military Purposes: The Official Report on the Development of the Atomic Bomb (Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press, 1947 );
Arthur Compton, Atomic Quest ( New York: Oxford University Press, 1956 );
and R. Clark, The Birth of the Bomb ( New York: Horizon, 1961 ).
On decision-making under conditions of uncertainty including best—worst analysis, see Edward Quade, Analysis for Public Decisions ( Amsterdam: North-Holland, 1983 ): 33–42;
and Samuel Richmond, Operations Research for Management Decisions ( New York: Ronald, 1967 ): 487–92.
On the determination of motives in history, see Jacques Barzun and Henry Graff, The Modern Researcher ( New York: Harcourt, Brace, 1957 ): 115–130.
On determining motives in psychology, see Peter Lindsay and Donald Norman, Human Information Processing ( New York: Academic Press, 1972 ): 592–639;
and Gardner Lindzey (ed.), Handbook of Social Psychology: Theory and Method ( Reading, Mass.: Addison-Wesley, 1954 ): 57–258.
On determining motives in law, see Wayne LaFave and Austin Scott, Handbook on Criminal Law ( St Paul: West, 1972 ): 191–218.
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© 1991 Policy Studies Organisation
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Nagel, S.S. (1991). Explaining and Predicting Behavior. In: Decision-Aiding Software. Policy Studies Organization Series. Palgrave Macmillan, London. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-11657-7_4
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-11657-7_4
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