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Globalization and Social Change: Gender-Specific Effects of Trade Liberalization in Indonesia

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Abstract

We analyze the gender-specific effects of trade liberalization on participation in market work, domestic duties, and marriage rates in Indonesia. We show that female work participation increased and participation in domestic duties declined in regions that were more exposed to input tariff reductions. The effects of output tariff reductions were much less pronounced, and we find little impacts on men. Among the potential channels, we find that reductions in input tariffs led to a relative expansion of more female-intensive sectors as well as a decrease in sectoral gender segregation, especially among the low skilled. Liberalization also led to delayed marriage among both sexes and reduced fertility among less educated women.

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Fig. 1

Source: Shapefile Indonesia (2014), Data Sources: UNCTAD-TRAINS (2009), Population Census (1990), Podes (1993), and authors’ calculations

Fig. 2

Source: Shapefile Indonesia (2014), Data Sources: UNCTAD-TRAINS (2009), Population Census (1990), Podes (1993), Input–output Table (1990), and authors’ calculations

Fig. 3

Data sources: UNCTAD-TRAINS (2009), Population Census (1990), Podes (1993), Susenas (1993), Input–output Table (1990), and authors’ calculations

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Notes

  1. On the other hand, Boler et al. (2017) find that exporting firms in Norway have a higher gender wage gap than non-exporters, particularly if export destinations are in different time zones. They argue this reflects increased discrimination when employers require their employees to work particular hours and travel on short notice.

  2. Due to missing data for some years, we are restricted to these 3-year intervals for a consistent district panel.

  3. We apply 1993 district definitions to account for district splits that occurred during the study period. These splits followed sub-district boundaries within districts without changing borders with neighboring districts.

  4. By these definitions, participation in work and domestic duties are not mutually exclusive: A person can report domestic duties as her primary activity, but also report working one or more hours during the past week. In this case, she would be considered part of the work force, but also engaged in domestic duties. Hence, being a worker involves doing even limited amounts of market work, while being engaged in domestic duties requires this to be a person’s primary activity.

  5. As the Susenas does not record individuals’ earnings, and there is no other source of data on gender-specific wages or income at the district level (Indonesia’s labor force survey was representative only at the province level for the analyzed time period, and the manufacturing census does not record wages by gender), we cannot analyze gender-specific wages. We therefore focus on work participation as the main labor market outcome in our analysis.

  6. We use a simple average in order to be consistent with the aggregation method used by UNCTAD to construct four-digit SITC tariffs from more detailed (ten-digit) product line data. Alternatively, UNCTAD-TRAINS also provides weighted averages, using current import volumes as weights. Yet we prefer not to use these since import volumes are endogenous to import tariff levels.

  7. Districts are suitable geographic units to reflect labor markets for our study, as they differentiate major municipalities from rural districts and serve as the main administrative and economic units within the country.

  8. Our main findings are robust to how we deal with the non-tradable sector. Inclusion of the non-tradable sector in the district-level tariff measures, as well as using Topalova’s instrumental variables approach, produces very similar estimation results. These are not reported in the paper but are available from the authors.

  9. Note that although Topalova (2010) has much more disaggregated sectoral data in her analysis of trade liberalization and poverty in India, Kovak (2013) also relies on variation across 20 tradable industries for the analysis of trade liberalization and wages in Brazil.

  10. Indonesia imposes a minimum wage policy where minimum wage levels are determined at provincial level (we have 259 districts across 23 provinces in our sample). Alatas and Cameron (2008) study the impact of a minimum wage hike on Java and find that this had a greater impact on female wages as these tend to be lower than male wages. However, they find little evidence that the minimum wage increase affected employment. Nevertheless, we include local minimum wages as control variable.

  11. In addition, input tariff reductions lead to a small increase in weekly work hours of men with primary education (results are reported in the supplementary appendix), while we see no effects of input tariff reductions for men with no completed education or with education above primary.

  12. For men, we find that input tariff reductions increase work hours only in the age group 15–19, while work participation is not affected for any age group. (Results are reported in supplementary appendix.)

  13. The results are reported in supplementary appendix.

  14. One could worry that, given this correlation, our tariff measure picks up initial female work participation. For example, districts with a large share of total 1990 employment in the textiles sector, and hence a relatively high initial female participation rate, are more exposed to tariff reductions. Yet in all first difference estimations reported in panel B we control for the initial value of the dependent variable and hence allow aggregate trends to vary by initial female participation. Further note that tariff reductions are not correlated with the initial share of educated workers across sectors (see Fig. 3), which suggests that the variation in female intensity across sectors is not merely capturing differences in skill intensity.

  15. We also show in Fig. 3 that there is no correlation between industries’ skill intensity and tariff reductions. This suggests that the concentration of employment effects among low-skilled females (rather than high-skilled females) does not reflect the sectoral structure of tariff reductions, but rather within-industry adjustments, in line with the results of Amiti and Cameron (2012).

  16. Borrowman and Klasen (2017) conduct cross-country fixed effects estimations, with trade openness measured as the ratio of exports to GDP, and controlling for GDP per capita and female labor force participation rates, among others.

  17. Relative demand for female workers could also increase if capital is more complementary to female labor than to male labor (see Galor and Weil 1996).

  18. We do not have detailed enough data on occupations to estimate the effects on blue-collar and white-collar employment.

  19. Alternative specifications with the number of life births per woman yield comparable results.

  20. We also estimated the effect of output and input tariffs on education- and age-group-specific population composition. We find no significant effects in any sub-group, except for the uneducated (those with less than primary education). In this group, input tariff reductions are associated with a small increase in the male population share.

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Acknowledgements

We thank Arjun S. Bedi, Michael Grimm, Stephan Klasen, Günther Schulze, seminar participants at the University of Antwerp, the University of Bielefeld, the University of Freiburg, Erasmus University Rotterdam and conference participants at the Annual International Conference of the Research Group on Development Economics in Heidelberg 2016, the Labor Economy Conference in Budapest 2016, the IMF conference on Gender and Macroeconomics 2017, the Nordic Conference in Development Economics in Gothenburg 2017, and the ETSG conference in Florence 2017 for useful comments. We would also like to thank two anonymous referees and a co-editor for their helpful comments and suggestions. Janneke Pieters gratefully acknowledges financial support for this work under the Growth and Economic Opportunities for Women (GrOW) initiative. GrOW is a multi-funder partnership with the UK Government Department for International Development, The William and Flora Hewlett Foundation, and Canada’s International Development Research Centre (IDRC). The views expressed herein do not necessarily represent those of IDRC or its Board of Governors.

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Correspondence to Krisztina Kis-Katos.

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Kis-Katos, K., Pieters, J. & Sparrow, R. Globalization and Social Change: Gender-Specific Effects of Trade Liberalization in Indonesia. IMF Econ Rev 66, 763–793 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1057/s41308-018-0065-5

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