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Range increase of a Neotropical orchid bee under future scenarios of climate change

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Abstract

Along with other human impacts, climate change is an important driver of biological changes worldwide and is expected to severely affect species distributions. Although dramatic range shifts and contractions are predicted for many taxa occurring at higher latitudes, including bumble bees, the response of widespread tropical species is less clear due in part to scarcity of reliable occurrence data. Newly mobilized specimen records and improved species distribution models facilitate more robust assessment of future climate effects under various scenarios. Here, we predict both current and future distribution of the orchid bee Eulaema nigrita Lepeletier, 1841 (Apidae: Euglossinae), a large-bodied species widely distributed in the Neotropics whose populations within the Amazon region are believed to be controlled by cleptoparasitic Euglossini bees, such as Exaerete smaragdina Guérin-Menéville, 1844 and Aglae caerulea Lepeletier and Serville, 1825. Under both current and future scenarios of climate change, El. nigrita is expected to persist in deforested areas including those that might suffer desertification. While under current climatic conditions this species is not expected to occur in central Amazonia where the forest is still conserved, its range is expected to increase under future scenarios of climate change, especially in areas corresponding to the arc of deforestation in eastern Amazonia. The increase of human-related disturbances in this biome, as well as changes in the relationship of El. nigrita–Ex. smaragdina and El. nigrita–A. caerulea may explain the potential range increase of El. nigrita under future scenarios of climate change.

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Acknowledgments

The authors are in debt to Dr. André Nemésio, who kindly revised our occurrence dataset and suggested the inclusion and removal of doubtful records from our analyses and to two anonymous reviewers who provided important suggestions to a previous version of this manuscript. DPS received a doctorate scholarship from Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico – CNPq (147204/2010-0). PDMJ have been continuously supported by CNPq grants. DPS and PDMJ also thank CNPq (477639/2010-0), Fundação “O Boticário” de Proteção à Natureza (0880/2010-2), and Whitley Wildlife Conservation Trust for the resources which allowed them to execute field surveys in the Cerrado from the state of Goiás. They are also grateful to Dário P. Silva Jr., Mírian Cristina de Almeida, and Fábio Martins Vilar de Carvalho and several others for their help during the field campaigns. Data acquisition on Euglossini records at the American Museum of Natural History by JSA with help from HH Go, A Pfister, M Tuell, and ES Wyman was supported by RG Goelet and NSF-DBI #0956388 (P.I. JS Ascher, co-P.I.s JG Rozen Jr., and D Yanega).

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  1. Departamento de Ciências Biológicas, Instituto Federal Goiano, Rodovia Geraldo Silva Nascimento, KM 2,5, Zona Rural, Urutaí, GO, CEP 75790-000, Brazil

    Daniel P. Silva

  2. Theory, Metapopulation and Landscape Lab, Departamento de Ecologia, Instituto de Ciências Biológicas, Universidade Federal de Goiás, Campus II, Setor Itatiaia, Goiânia, GO, CEP 74001-970, Brazil

    Ana C. B. A. Macêdo & Paulo De Marco Jr.

  3. Department of Biological Sciences, National University of Singapore, 14 Science Drive 4, Singapore, 117543, Singapore

    John S. Ascher

  4. Departamento de Ecologia, Instituto de Ciências Biológicas, Prédio 5, Universidade Federal de Goiás, Campus II, Setor Itatiaia, Goiânia, GO, CEP 74001-970, Brazil

    Paulo De Marco Jr.

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  1. Daniel P. Silva
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  4. Paulo De Marco Jr.
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Correspondence to Daniel P. Silva.

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Silva, D.P., Macêdo, A.C.B.A., Ascher, J.S. et al. Range increase of a Neotropical orchid bee under future scenarios of climate change. J Insect Conserv 19, 901–910 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10841-015-9807-0

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