Abstract
We prove a risk-neutral pricing formula for a large class of semimartingale processes through a novel notion of weak time-differentiability that permits to differentiate adapted processes. In particular, the weak time-derivative isolates drifts of semimartingales and is null for martingales. Weak time-differentiability enables us to characterize no-arbitrage prices as solutions of differential equations, where interest rates play a key role. Finally, we reformulate the eigenvalue problem of Hansen and Scheinkman (Econometrica 77:177–234, 2009) by employing weak time-derivatives.
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Acknowledgements
We thank Anna Battauz, Francesco Caravenna, Andrea Carioli, Simone Cerreia-Vioglio, Lars Peter Hansen, Ioannis Karatzas, Luigi Montrucchio, Fulvio Ortu, Emanuela Rosazza-Gianin, Martin Schweizer and two anonymous referees for useful comments. We also thank seminar participants at XL AMASES Annual Meeting in Catania (2016) and at XVIII Quantitative Finance Workshop at Università Bicocca, Milan (2017).
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Massimo Marinacci and Federico Severino acknowledge the financial support of ERC (grants INDIMACRO and SDDM-TEA respectively).
Appendix: A routine lemma
Appendix: A routine lemma
We state and prove a version of a standard result that is best suited for our purposes.
Lemma A.1
Let \(f:[t,T]\to \mathbb{R}\) be a measurable function.
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(i)
If \(f\) is bounded, nonnegative, with compact support and \(\int _{t}^{T} f(\tau )g(\tau )d\tau =0\) for any \(g \in C_{c}((t,T))\), then \(f=0\) a.e.
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(ii)
If \(\int _{t}^{T} f(\tau )g(\tau )d\tau =0\) for any \(g \in C_{c}((t,T))\), then \(f=0\) a.e.
Proof
(i) If \(f\) is strictly positive on a set \(A\) with positive measure, consider the indicator function \(\mathbf{1}_{A}\) and a sequence \((U_{n})\) of continuous positive approximations of \(\mathbf{1}_{A}\), obtained by convolution with a smooth positive kernel. As \(U_{n}\) converges to \(\mathbf{1}_{A}\) in \(L^{2}\), \(0 \leqslant \int _{t}^{T} f(\tau ) \mathbf{1}_{A}(\tau ) d\tau =\lim _{n} \int _{t}^{T} f( \tau ) U_{n}(\tau )d\tau =0\). Consequently, \(f\) is null a.e.
(ii) Suppose that \(f\) is positive with compact support. For any \(N>0\), consider \(f_{N}(s)=\min \{f(\tau ),N\}\). Then,
Therefore, each \(f_{N}\) is null a.e. by (i) and so is \(f\). □
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Marinacci, M., Severino, F. Weak time-derivatives and no-arbitrage pricing. Finance Stoch 22, 1007–1036 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00780-018-0371-9
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00780-018-0371-9
Keywords
- No-arbitrage pricing
- Weak time-derivative
- Martingale component
- Special semimartingales
- Stochastic interest rates