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Arab immigrants in the United States: how and why do returns to education vary by country of origin?

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Abstract

Using U.S. census data, the authors analyze the earnings of Arab males who completed their schooling before migrating to the United States. There is little return to precollege education, but education beyond 12 years is rewarded highly. Although Arabs share a common ethnicity, they are not a homogeneous group. Returns to education vary significantly by source-country, e.g., high for immigrants from Kuwait, low for Yemeni immigrants. Returns are related to economic development in the source-country and to pupil/teacher ratios. These findings have implications for immigration policy and point to the hazards of generalizing on the basis of ethnicity.

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Notes

  1. When immigrants from Central/South America are included, the educational advantage of immigrants from the Middle East climbs to 2.4 years relative to immigrants in general.

  2. Because our data predate the events of September 11, 2001, they are unaffected by changes in the wage structure triggered by these events. Davila and Mora (2005) and Kaushal et al. (2007) show that relative wages of Arab males working in the United States deteriorated immediately after the terrorist attacks, which they interpret as the short-run effects of discrimination, which have apparently dissipated over time.

  3. As Antecol (2000) observes, another advantage of using a common labor market is that it gets around the problem of cross-country differences in institutional factors. A possible disadvantage is that differential selection of immigrants by country could confound the effect of differences in the returns to education.

  4. Studies that find a payoff to lower class size and other measures of school quality include Altonji and Dunn (1996), Krueger and Whitmore (2001), Bedi and Edwards (2002), and Konstantopolous and Constant (2005). For an opposing view, see Hanushek (1986), Betts (1995, 1996), and Grogger (1996).

  5. For example, in the Arab countries of the present study, the primary-school pupil/teacher ratio averaged 32.1 in 1970 and 28.1 in 1980. (The average pupil/teacher ratios were weighted by the number of immigrants from the respective Arab countries.) In the United States, the corresponding pupil/teacher ratio those 2 years were 24.4 and 20.5, respectively, down from 30.2 in 1955 and 28.4 in 1960 (U.S. Department of Commerce 1960, 1987).

  6. Another advantage of this study is that the sample consists of males 25–64 years of age. Wilson (2002) finds that the effect of school quality, while significant for older workers, is imperceptible for workers under the age of 24; and the studies that find no significant effect of school quality tend to restrict their analysis to young workers, as observed by Card and Krueger (1996). Our sample is not hindered by lags in observing the effects of school quality.

  7. Based on 1980 U.S. census data, the estimated returns to education were 4.2%, 4.1%, 4.0%, and 3.1% for immigrants from Egypt, Lebanon, Morocco, and Iraq, respectively, compared to an average of 4.0% for all 67 countries. In 1990, the estimated returns were 4.8%, 4.9%, 4.1%, and 4.4%, respectively, compared to an overall average of 4.9%. Although returns were higher in 1990, Jaeger (2003) points out that the census question on schooling changed between 1980 and 1990, so that results are not directly comparable.

  8. We limit the analysis to male immigrants, as do most studies, for several reasons. First, Antecol (2000) and Blau et al. (2008) find that cultural factors strongly influence labor force activity of female immigrants in the United States, especially for women whose source-country labor force participation is low, as it is in Arab countries. Second, selectivity is more likely to be an issue for female immigrants. For example, Baker and Benjamin (1997) find that many recent female immigrants take dead-end jobs to finance acquisition of human capital by their husband, which distorts estimates of returns to education for females. Finally, from a practical perspective, the number of countries for which there are a sufficient number of female immigrants to satisfy sample restrictions is much lower for female immigrants, especially when it comes to estimation of the spline specification. Simply put, there are too few observations for female immigrants for us to attempt to explain cross-country differences in returns to education.

  9. Bratsberg and Ragan (2002) show that returns to source-country schooling are higher for immigrants who continue their schooling in the United States and that this difference in returns to source-country schooling does not reflect differences in ability. Instead, they argue that U.S. schooling certifies or upgrades source-country education. As they point out, including in the sample immigrants who obtain U.S. schooling would bias estimates of returns to source-country schooling.

  10. Because educational attainment is reported in the U.S. census in intervals and, for higher levels, in the form of the highest degree obtained, we follow the approach of Bratsberg and Terrell (2002) and convert educational attainment to years of schooling using the following rule: “years of schooling equals zero if educational attainment is less than first grade; 2.5 if first through fourth; 6.5 if fifth through eighth, educational attainment if ninth, tenth, eleventh, or twelfth; 12 if GED earned; 13 if some college, but no degree; 14 if associate degree; 16 if bachelor’s degree; 18 if master’s degree; 19 if professional degree; and 20 if doctorate degree” (p. 194).

  11. For example, Deschenes (2006) finds a convex relationship between years of education and ln(Wage), especially in recent years; and Angrist et al. (2006) show that the returns to education increase by quantile in 1990 and 2000.

  12. Alternatively, we allowed for higher returns for schooling beyond 11 years, the specification of Bratsberg and Ragan (2002). But results of both the J test and the Cox test indicated that a spline at 11 years must be rejected in favor of a spline at 12 years. We also compared a spline at 16 years with a spline at 12 years. Neither test allowed us to reject one model in favor of the other, but in both 1990 and 2000 goodness of fit was better with a spline at 12 years.

  13. As a referee observed, the Roy model suggests that we also control for income inequality, but such data are available for only five Arab countries.

  14. Data on per capita GDP are not available for Lebanon, but data exist on per capita GNP. For this country, we follow the procedure of Bratsberg and Terrell (2002): we impute GDP by adjusting GNP data for Lebanon by the ratio of GDP/GNP from the Arab countries for which both series are available. GNP data came from the U.S. Arms Control and Disarmament Agency (1979, 1989).

  15. In the model of Mehta (2000), increased school quality can lead to higher wages for those at both ends of the wage distribution but to no gains (or a loss) for workers in the middle. Although this model does not allow the effect of school quality to vary with years of schooling, it raises the prospect that returns to school quality may not be monotone.

  16. Alternatively, we could assess the effect of economic development and school quality with the two-step approach of Bratsberg and Terrell (2002). The major drawback to such an approach is the unacceptably small number of degrees of freedom. Even after pooling data for 1990 and 2000, we have observations on returns to education for only 25 country-year observations, compared to 6,600–7,100 observations when we estimate Eq. 3. Second, with the two-step approach, a single dependent variable is used to capture rate of return. But as the results of Table 3 show, the rate of return differs for low and high levels of education.

  17. The calculations reported in this paragraph are obtained by differentiating ln(Wage) with respect to PTR and plugging in values of schooling. For example, if \(S={18,\mbox{ d}\ln \left( {\mbox{Wage}} \right)} \mathord{\left/ {\vphantom {{18,\mbox{ d}\ln \left( {\mbox{Wage}} \right)} {\mbox{dPTR}}}} \right. \kern-\nulldelimiterspace} {\mbox{dPTR}}=-0.0168+0.0014(18)-0.0026\left( {18-12} \right)=-0.0072\).

  18. Their range of estimates, each statistically significant, was 0.42 to 0.71 depending on specification.

  19. In her study of Canadian men, Bedard (2003) allows the effect of a lower pupil/teacher ratio to vary with level of schooling. She finds (p. 399) “no statistically significant relationship between class size and mean wages, except at very low levels of schooling,” but her results suggest that, for men in the upper tail of the wage distribution, lowering class size does raise wages.

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Acknowledgements

The authors, while accepting responsibility for all shortcomings, acknowledge the helpful comments and suggestions of the editor, three referees, Ali Abdel-Gadir, Bernt Bratsberg, Wei Chi, Jeff DeSimone, James Heckman, Dong Li, Carol Tremblay, and Michael Suleiman, and the research assistance of Hana Janoudova. Part of the research was completed while Ragan was a visiting scholar at the Ragnar Frisch Centre for Economic Research, Oslo, Norway; he thanks the centre for its support.

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Correspondence to James F. Ragan Jr..

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Responsible editor: Klaus F. Zimmermann

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El-Araby Aly, A., Ragan, J.F. Arab immigrants in the United States: how and why do returns to education vary by country of origin?. J Popul Econ 23, 519–538 (2010). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00148-009-0245-8

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