Abstract
The main criticism to the aggregation of individual preferences under majority rules refers to the possibility of reaching inconsistent collective decisions from the election process. In these cases, the collective preference includes cycles and even could prevent the election of any alternative as the collective choice. The likelihood of consistent outcomes under a class of majority rules constitutes the aim of this paper. Specifically, we focus on majority rules that require certain consensus in individual preferences to declare an alternative as the winner. Under majorities based on difference of votes, the requirement asks to the winner alternative to obtain a difference in votes with respect to the loser alternative taking into account that individuals are endowed with weak preference orderings. Same requirement is asked to the restriction of these rules to individual linear preferences.
Similar content being viewed by others
Notes
To calculate the probabilities presented here, \(m\) takes the following values: 3, 4, 5, 10, 100, 1000 and 100,000.
Given \(\tau > 0.5\), supermajority rules are defined by \(x_i P^{\tau } x_j \Leftrightarrow \frac{\# \{p \mid r_{ij}^p = 1\}}{m} \ge \tau \).
The free software to calculate the integer points under the Parameterized Barvinok’s algorithm can be found in http://freecode.com/projects/barvinok.
Such simplification is done with Maple software.
Notice that in this case, the four original validity domains from Proposition 3 reduce to two, given that, for the three last ones, the probabilities are the same when considering large electorates.
Notice that, in Lepelley and Martin (2001), the probability 0.042 is obtained as an estimate value through computer simulations.
References
Balasko, Y., & Crès, H. (1997). The probability of Condorcet cycles and super majority rules. Journal of Economic Theory, 75, 237–270.
Cervone, D. P., Gehrlein, W. V., & Zwicker, W. S. (2005). Which scoring rule maximizes Condorcet efficiency under IAC? Theory and Decision, 58, 145–185.
Condorcet, M.D. (1785). Essai sur l’Application de l’Analyse à la Probabilité des Décisions Rendues à la Pluralité des Voix Paris: Imprimerie Royale.
Ferejohn, J. A., & Grether, D. M. (1974). On a class of rational social decisions procedures. Journal of Economic Theory, 8, 471–482.
Fishburn, P. C., & Gehrlein, W. V. (1980). The paradox of voting: Effects of individual indifference and intransitivity. Journal of Public Economics, 14, 83–94.
García-Lapresta, J. L., & Llamazares, B. (2001). Majority decisions based on difference of votes. Journal of Mathematical Economics, 35, 463–481.
García-Lapresta, J. L., & Llamazares, B. (2010). Preference intensities and majority decisions based on difference of support between alternatives. Group Decision and Negotiation, 19, 527–542.
Gehrlein, W. V. (1983). Condorcet’s paradox. Theory and Decision, 15, 161–197.
Gehrlein, W. V. (1997). Condorcet Paradox and the Condorcet efficiency of voting rules. Mathematica Japonica, 40, 173–199.
Gehrlein, W. V. (2009). Condorcet’s paradox with three candidates. In S. J. Brams, W. V. Gehrlein, & F. S. Roberts (Eds.), The mathematics of preference, choice and order (pp. 183–196). Berlin, Heidelberg: Springer.
Gehrlein, W. V., & Fishburn, P. C. (1976). Condorcet’s paradox and anonymous preference profiles. Public Choice, 26, 1–18.
Gehrlein, W. V., & Fishburn, P. C. (1980). Robustness of positional scoring over subsets of alternatives. Applied Mathematics Optimization, 6, 241–255.
Gehrlein, W. V., & Fishburn, P. C. (1981). Constant scoring rules for choosing one among many alternatives. Quality and Quantity, 15, 203–210.
Gehrlein, W. V., & Fishburn, P. C. (1983). Scoring rule sensitivity to weight selection. Public Choice, 40, 249–261.
Houy, N. (2007). Some further characterizations for the forgotten voting rules. Mathematical Social Sciences, 53, 111–121.
Lepelley, D., Louichi, A., & Smaoui, H. (2008). On Ehrhart polynomials and probability calculations in voting theory. Social Choice and Welfare, 30, 363–383.
Lepelley, D., & Martin, M. (2001). Condorcet’s paradox for weak preference orderings. European Journal of Political Economy, 17, 163–177.
Llamazares, B. (2006). The forgotten decision rules: Majority rules based on difference of votes. Mathematical Social Sciences, 51, 311–326.
Llamazares, B., & Pérez-Asurmendi, P. (2015). Triple-acyclicity in majorities based on difference in support. Information Sciences, 299, 209–220.
Llamazares, B., Pérez-Asurmendi, P., & García-Lapresta, J. L. (2013). Collective transitivity in majorities based on difference in support. Fuzzy Sets and Systems, 216, 3–15.
Tovey, C. A. (1997). Probabilities of preferences and cycles with super majority rules. Journal of Economic Theory, 75, 271–279.
Verdoolaege, S., Seghir, R., & Beyls, K., et al. (2004). Analytical computation of Ehrhart polynomials: Enabling more compiler analysis and optimizations. In Proceedings of International Conference on Compilers, Architecture, and Synthesis for Embedded Systems (pp. 248–258). Washington D.C.
Wilson, M. C., & Pritchard, G. (2007). Probability calculations under the IAC hypothesis. Mathematical Social Sciences, 54, 244–256.
Acknowledgments
The authors are grateful to the editor, two anonymous referees, Ahmad Fliti, José Luis García-Lapresta, Bonifacio Llamazares, Ana Pérez Espartero, and Rachid Seghir for their valuable suggestions and comments. This work is partially supported by the Spanish Ministry of Economy and Competitiveness (Projects ECO2012-32178 and ECO2012-34202).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Diss, M., Pérez-Asurmendi, P. Consistent collective decisions under majorities based on difference of votes. Theory Decis 80, 473–494 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11238-015-9501-4
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11238-015-9501-4