Abstract
A Phillips curve is an equation which relates the unemployment rate, or some other measure of aggregate economic activity, to a measure of the inflation rate. Since there is a significant correlation between inflation and unemployment over some horizons, understanding this correlation should yield insight into the impulses the economy faces and the mechanisms that propagate their effects. Since the 1990s, research has focused on making progress in three main areas: forecasting, microeconomic foundations and empirical tests of the microfoundations.
This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution.
Buying options
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Learn about institutional subscriptionsBibliography
Abel, A., and O. Blanchard. 1986. The present value of profits and cyclical movements in investment. Econometrica 54: 249–274.
Atkeson, A., and L.E. Ohanian. 2001. Are Phillips curves useful for forecasting inflation? Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Quarterly Review 25(1): 2–11.
Bakhshi, H., Kahn, H. and Rudolf, B. 2005. The Phillips curve under state-dependent pricing. Manuscript, Carleton University.
Bils, M., and P. Klenow. 2004. Some evidence on the importance of sticky prices. Journal of Political Economy 112: 947–985.
Blinder, A., E. Canetti, D. Lebow, and J. Rudd. 1998. Asking about prices: A new approach to understanding price stickiness. New York: Russell Sage Foundation.
Brave, S., and J.D.M. Fisher. 2004. In search of a robust inflation forecast. Economic Perspectives 28(4): 12–31.
Calvo, G. 1983. Staggered prices in a utility-maximizing framework. Journal of Monetary Economics 12: 383–398.
Christiano, L., and T. Fitzgerald. 2003. The band pass filter. International Journal of Economics 44: 435–465.
Christiano, L., M. Eichenbaum, and C. Evans. 2005. Nominal rigidities and the dynamic effects of a shock to monetary policy. Journal of Political Economy 113: 1–45.
Dotsey, M., R.G. King, and A.L. Wolman. 1999. State-dependent pricing and the general equilibrium dynamics of money and output. Quarterly Journal of Economics 114: 655–690.
Eichenbaum, M. and Fisher, J. 2004. Evaluating the Calvo model of sticky prices. Working Paper No. 10617. Cambridge, MA: NBER.
Eichenbaum, M., and J. Fisher. 2007. Estimating the frequency of price re-optimization in Calvo-style models. Journal of Monetary Economics 54(7): 2032–2047 (forthcoming).
Erceg, C., J. Henderson, W. Dale, and A.T. Levin. 2000. Optimal monetary policy with staggered wage and price contracts. Journal of Monetary Economics 46: 281–313.
Fisher, J.D.M. 2006. The dynamic effects of neutral and investment-specific technology shocks. Journal of Political Economy 114: 413–451.
Fisher, J.D.M., C. Liu, and R. Zhou. 2002. When can we forecast inflation. Economic Perspectives 26(1): 30–42.
Friedman, M. 1968. The role of monetary policy. American Economic Review 58: 1–17.
Gagnon, E., and H. Kahn. 2005. New Phillips curve under alternative production technologies for Canada, the United States, and the Euro area. European Economic Review 49: 1571–1602.
Galí, J., and M. Gertler. 1999. Inflation dynamics: A structural econometric analysis. Journal of Monetary Economics 44: 195–222.
Galí, J., M. Gertler, and D. López-Salido. 2001. European inflation dynamics. European Economic Review 45: 1237–1270.
Galí, J., M. Gertler, and D. López-Salido. 2007. Mark-ups, gaps and the welfare costs of business cycles. Review of Economics and Statistics 89: 44–59.
Gertler, M., and J. Leahy. 2005. A Phillips curve with an Ss foundation. New York: University manuscript.
Golosov, M. and Lucas, R.E., Jr. 2003. Menu costs and Phillips curves. Working Paper No. 101187. Cambridge, MA: NBER.
Hansen, L.P. 1982. Large sample properties of generalized method of moments estimators. Econometrica 50: 1029–1054.
Kimball, M. 1995. The quantitative analytics of the basic neomonetarist model. Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking 27: 1241–1277.
Klenow, P. and Krystov, O. 2005. State-dependent or time-dependent pricing: Does it matter for recent US inflation? Working paper, Bank of Canada.
Lucas, R.E. Jr. 1972. Expectations and the neutrality of money. Journal of Economic Theory 4: 103–124.
Lucas, R.E. Jr. 1978. Asset prices in an exchange economy. Econometrica 46: 1429–1445.
Midrigan, V. 2005. Menu costs, multiproduct firms and aggregate fluctuations. Manuscript, Ohio State University.
Phillips, A.W. 1958. The relation between unemployment and the rate of change of money wage rates in the United Kingdom, 1861–1957. Economica 25: 283–299.
Samuelson, P.A., and R.M. Solow. 1960. Analytical aspects of anti-inflation policy. American Economic Review 50: 177–194.
Sbordone, A. 2002. Prices and unit labor costs: A new test of price stickiness. Journal of Monetary Economics 49: 265–292.
Stahl, H. 2005. Price setting in German manufacturing: New evidence from new survey data. Working Paper No. 561, European Central Bank.
Stock, J., and M. Watson. 1999. Forecasting inflation. Journal of Monetary Economics 44: 293–335.
Taylor, J. 1980. Aggregate dynamics and staggered contracts. Journal of Political Economy 88: 1–23.
Woodford, M. 2003. Interest and prices: Foundations of a theory of monetary policy. Princeton: Princeton University Press.
Woodford, M. 2005. Firm-specific capital and the New Keynesian Phillips curve. International Journal of Central Banking 1(2): 1–46.
Yun, T. 1996. Nominal price rigidity, money supply endogeneity, and business cycles. Journal of Monetary Economics 37: 345–370.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Editor information
Copyright information
© 2018 Macmillan Publishers Ltd.
About this entry
Cite this entry
Fisher, J.D.M. (2018). Phillips Curve (New Views). In: The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics. Palgrave Macmillan, London. https://doi.org/10.1057/978-1-349-95189-5_2356
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1057/978-1-349-95189-5_2356
Published:
Publisher Name: Palgrave Macmillan, London
Print ISBN: 978-1-349-95188-8
Online ISBN: 978-1-349-95189-5
eBook Packages: Economics and FinanceReference Module Humanities and Social SciencesReference Module Business, Economics and Social Sciences