Skip to main content

Currency Crises Models

  • Reference work entry
  • First Online:
The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics

Abstract

Currency crises have occurred frequently in the post-war era. In this article we review the literature on the causes and consequences of currency crises. First- generation models attribute a central role to fiscal policy as a fundamental determinant of crises. Second-generation models emphasize the possibility of self-fulfilling speculative attacks and multiple equilibria. Third-generation models stress how financial fragility can lead to currency crises.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 6,499.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Hardcover Book
USD 8,499.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Bibliography

  • Barro, R., and D. Gordon. 1983. A positive theory of monetary policy in a natural rate model. Journal of Political Economy 91: 589–610.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Burnside, C., M. Eichenbaum, and S. Rebelo. 2001a. Prospective deficits and the Asian currency crisis. Journal of Political Economy 109: 1155–1198.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Burnside, C., M. Eichenbaum, and S. Rebelo. 2001b. Hedging and financial fragility in fixed exchange rate regimes. European Economic Review 45: 1151–1193.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Burnside, C., M. Eichenbaum, and S. Rebelo. 2004. Government guarantees and self-fulfilling speculative attacks. Journal of Economic Theory 119: 31–63.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Caballero, R., and A. Krishnamurthy. 2001. International and domestic collateral constraints in a model of emerging market crises. Journal of Monetary Economics 48: 513–548.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cagan, P. 1956. Monetary dynamics of hyperinflation. In Studies in the quantity theory of money, ed. M. Friedman. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Calvo, G. 1987. Balance of payments crises in a cash-in-advance economy. Journal of Money Credit and Banking 19: 19–32.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chang, R., and A. Velasco. 2001. A model of financial crises in emerging markets. Quarterly Journal of Economics 116: 489–517.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Christiano, L., F. Braggion, and J. Roldos. 2006. The optimal monetary response to a financial crisis. Mimeo, Northwestern University.

    Google Scholar 

  • Corsetti, G., and B. Mackowiak. 2006. Fiscal imbalances and the dynamics of currency crises. European Economic Review 50: 1317–1338.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Corsetti, G., P. Pesenti, and N. Roubini. 1999. What caused the Asian currency and financial crisis? Japan and the World Economy 11: 305–373.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Daniel, B. 2001. The fiscal theory of the price level in an open economy. Journal of Monetary Economics 48: 293–308.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Diamond, D., and P. Dybvig. 1983. Bank runs, deposit insurance and liquidity. Journal of Political Economy 91: 401–419.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Diaz-Alejandro, C. 1985. Good-bye financial repression, hello financial crash. Journal of Development Economics 19: 1–24.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Drazen, A., and E. Helpman. 1987. Stabilization with exchange rate management. Quarterly Journal of Economics 102: 835–855.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dupor, W. 2000. Exchange rates and the fiscal theory of the price level. Journal of Monetary Economics 45: 613–630.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Eichengreen, B., and R. Hausmann. 1999. Exchange rates and financial fragility. In New challenges for monetary policy: A symposium sponsored by the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City. Kansas City: Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.

    Google Scholar 

  • Flood, R., and P. Garber. 1984. Collapsing exchange rate regimes: Some linear examples. Journal of International Economics 17: 1–13.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Flood, R., and N. Marion. 1999. Perspectives on the recent currency crisis literature. International Journal of Finance and Economics 4: 1–26.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Henderson, D., and S. Salant. 1978. Market anticipations of government policies and the price of gold. Journal of Political Economy 86: 627–648.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Jeanne, O. 2000. Currency crises: A perspective on recent theoretical developments. Special Papers in International Economics, No. 20, International Finance Section, Princeton University.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kaminsky, G., and C. Reinhart. 1999. The twin crises: The causes of banking and balance-of-payments problems. American Economic Review 89: 473–500.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Krugman, P. 1979. A model of balance of payments crises. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking 11: 311–325.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lahiri, A., and C. Végh. 2003. Delaying the inevitable: Interest rate defense and BOP crises. Journal of Political Economy 111: 404–424.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • McKinnon, R., and H. Pill. 1996. Credible liberalizations and international capital flows: The overborrowing syndrome. In Financial deregulation and integration in East Asia, ed. T. Ito and A. Krueger. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Morris, S., and H. Shin. 1998. Unique equilibrium in a model of self-fulfilling currency attacks. American Economic Review 88: 587–597.

    Google Scholar 

  • Obstfeld, M. 1986. Speculative attack and the external constraint in a maximizing model of the balance of payments. Canadian Journal of Economics 29: 1–20.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Obstfeld, M. 1994. The logic of currency crises. Cahiers Economiques et Monétaires 43: 189–213.

    Google Scholar 

  • Obstfeld, M. 1996. Models of currency crises with self-fulfilling features. European Economic Review 40: 1037–1047.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • van Wijnbergen, S. 1991. Fiscal deficits, exchange rate crises and inflation. Review of Economic Studies 58: 81–92.

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Copyright information

© 2018 Macmillan Publishers Ltd.

About this entry

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this entry

Burnside, C., Eichenbaum, M., Rebelo, S. (2018). Currency Crises Models. In: The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics. Palgrave Macmillan, London. https://doi.org/10.1057/978-1-349-95189-5_2177

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics