Skip to main content

Financial Market Contagion

  • Reference work entry
  • First Online:
The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics
  • 33 Accesses

Abstract

The power of the metaphor of contagion – that beliefs, actions, and strategies spread among economic agents like pathogens among biological organisms – causes it to recur in disparate areas of economics. This article focuses on four applications of contagion to economics: social influence or memoryless learning; Bayesian social learning; strategy choice in coordination games; and the spread of crises in international financial markets.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 6,499.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Hardcover Book
USD 8,499.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Bibliography

  • Allen, F., and D.M. Gale. 2000. Financial contagion. Journal of Political Economy 108: 1–33.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Allport, G.W., and L. Postman. 1946–47. An analysis of rumor. Public Opinion Quarterly 10: 501–517.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Avery, C., and P. Zemsky. 1998. Multidimensional uncertainty and herd behavior in financial markets. American Economic Review 88: 724–748.

    Google Scholar 

  • Banerjee, A.V. 1992. A simple model of herd behaviour. Quarterly Journal of Economics 107: 797–817.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bikchandani, S., D. Hirshleifer, and I. Welch. 1992. A theory of fads, custom, and cultural change as informational cascades. Journal of Political Economy 100: 992–1026.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Blume, L. 1995. The statisticial mechanics of best-response strategy revision. Games and Economic Behavior 11: 111–145.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bulow, J., and P. Klemperer. 1994. Rational frenzies and crashes. Journal of Political Economy 102: 1–23.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Calvo, G.A., and E.G. Mendoza. 2000. Rational contagion and the globalization of security markets. Journal of International Economics 51: 79–113.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Caplin, A., and J. Leahy. 1994. Business as usual, market crashes, and wisdom after the fact. American Economic Review 84: 548–565.

    Google Scholar 

  • Chamley, C. 2004. Rational herds: Economic models of social learning. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Durlauf, S.N. 1997. Statistical mechanics approaches to socioeconomic behavior. In The economy as an evolving complex system II, ed. B. Arthur, S. Durlauf, and D. Lane. Reading, MA: Addison-Wesley.

    Google Scholar 

  • Durrett, R., and S. Levin. 1998. Spatial aspects of interspecific competition. Theoretical Population Biology 53: 30–43.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ellison, G. 1993. Learning, local interaction, and coordination. Econometrica 61: 1047–1071.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ellison, G., and D. Fudenberg. 1993. Rules of thumb for social learning. Journal of Political Economy 101: 612–643.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Forbes, K.J., and R. Rigobon. 2002. No contagion, only interdependence: Measuring stock market comovements. Journal of Finance 57: 2223–2261.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Juang, W.-T. 2001. Learning from popularity. Econometrica 69: 735–747.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kaminsky, G.L., C.M. Reinhart, and C.A. Vegh. 2003. The unholy trinity of financial contagion. Journal of Economic Perspectives 17(4): 51–74.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kandori, M., G.J. Mailath, and R. Rob. 1993. Learning, mutation, and long run equilibria in games. Econometrica 61: 29–56.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kelly, M., and C. O Grada. 2000. Market contagion: Evidence from the panics of 1854 and 1857. American Economic Review 90: 1110–1125.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kindleberger, C. 1978. Manias, panics, and crashes. New York: Basic Books.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Kirman, A. 1993. Ants, rationality, and recruitment. Quarterly Journal of Economics 108: 137–156.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kodres, L., and M. Pritsker. 2002. A rational expectations model of financial contagion. Journal of Finance 57: 769–800.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kyle, A., and W. Xiong. 2001. Contagion as a wealth effect. Journal of Finance 56: 1401–1440.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • LeBon, G. 1895. Psychologie des Foules. Translated as The Crowd: A Study of the Popular Mind, New York: Viking, 1960.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lee, I.H., and A. Valentinyi. 2000. Noisy contagion without mutation. Review of Economic Studies 67: 47–56.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Levin, S.A. 1970. Community equilibria and stability, and an extension of the competitive exclusion principle. American Naturalist 104: 413–423.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mackay, C. 1841. Extraordinary popular delusions and the madness of crowds. London: Bentley.

    Google Scholar 

  • Morris, S. 2000. Contagion. Review of Economic Studies 67: 57–78.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Pesaran, M.H., and A. Pick. 2007. Econometric issues in the analysis of contagion. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 31: 1245–1277.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ryan, B., and N.C. Gross. 1943. The diffusion of hybrid seed corn in two Iowa communities. Rural Sociology 8: 15–24.

    Google Scholar 

  • Sacerdote, B. 2001. Peer effects with random assignment: Results for Dartmouth roommates. Quarterly Journal of Economics 116: 681–704.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Shiller, R.J. 1984. Stock prices and social dynamics. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity 1984(2): 457–498.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Tarde, G. 1900. Les Lois de lImitation. Translated as The Laws of Imitation, Gloucester, MA: Peter Smith, 1962.

    Google Scholar 

  • Vives, X. 1993. How fast do agents learn? Review of Economic Studies 60: 329–347.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Weidlich, W., and G. Haag. 1983. Concepts and models of quantitative sociology. New York: Springer.

    Book  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Copyright information

© 2018 Macmillan Publishers Ltd.

About this entry

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this entry

Kelly, M. (2018). Financial Market Contagion. In: The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics. Palgrave Macmillan, London. https://doi.org/10.1057/978-1-349-95189-5_1959

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics