Skip to main content

Inflation Targets in Latin America

  • Living reference work entry
  • First Online:
Book cover The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics

Abstract

Many emerging market economies have adopted inflation target regimes since they were introduced by New Zealand. Latin America has not been the exception. Currently there are eight countries that conduct monetary policy through inflation target regimes. After reviewing the history of chronic inflation in Latin America, this article describes the experiences with inflation targets and the performance of these countries during the global financial crisis.

Prepared for the New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics. I thank Alejandro González for valuable research assistance.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Institutional subscriptions

Notes

  1. 1.

    The list of hyperinflations is taken from Fischer et al. (2002), who uses Cagan’s definition of hyperinflation as beginning when monthly inflation goes above 50% and end when it falls below 50% per month for at least 1 year. Chile had inflation above 50% the month of October of 1973. It is the only case reported before the debt crisis.

  2. 2.

    Fear of floating refers to the unwillingness of authorities to allow the currency to depreciate, and facilitate adjustment, due to the fear of a financial crisis and the fear for rising inflation.

  3. 3.

    The target can be defined by the central bank or the government. In the latter case, the government mandates the central bank to achieve the target through its monetary policy.

  4. 4.

    Mishkin and Schmidt-Hebbel (2007) introduced this distinction to classify IT regimes.

  5. 5.

    Given the autocorrelation process of inflation, there is a one-to-one relationship between the tolerance range and the time horizon (De Gregorio 2007).

  6. 6.

    For the rest of this section, the focus is on the largest Latin American following inflation targets, namely, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Peru, and Mexico.

Bibliography

  • Alvarez, Roberto, and José De Gregorio. 2014. Understanding differences in growth performance in Latin America and developing countries between the Asian and the global financial crises. IMF Economic Review 62 (4): 494–525.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Calvo, Guillermo A., and Carmen M. Reinhart. 2002. Fear of floating. The Quarterly Journal of Economics 117 (2): 379–408.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • De Gregorio, José. 1992. Economic Growth in Latin America. Journal of Development Economics 39(1):59–84

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • De Gregorio, José. 2007. Defining inflation targets, the policy horizon and the output-inflation tradeoff, Working paper N°415, Central Bank of Chile.

    Google Scholar 

  • De Gregorio, José, Barry Eichengreen, Takatoshi Ito, and Charles Wyplosz. 2018. IMF reform: The unfinished agenda, Geneva reports on the world economy. Vol. 20. London: CEPR Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Fischer, Stanley, Ratna Sahay, and Carlos A. Végh. 2002. Modern hyper- and high inflations. Journal of Economic Literature 40 (3): 837–880.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • García-Solanes, José, and Fernando Torrejón-Flores. 2012. La fijación de metas de inflación da buenos resultados en América Latina. Revista CEPAL.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gonçalves, Carlos Eduardo S., and Joao M. Salles. 2008. Inflation targeting in emerging economies: What do the data say? Journal of Development Economics 85 (1-2): 312–318.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ilzetzki, Ethan, Carmen M. Reinhart, and Kenneth S. Rogoff. 2019. Exchange arrangements entering the twenty-first century: Which anchor will hold? The Quarterly Journal of Economics 134 (2): 599–646.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Jácome, Luis, and Francisco Vázquez. 2008. Is there any link between legal central Bank Independence and inflation? Evidence from Latin America and the Caribbean. European Journal of Political Economy 24 (4): 788–801.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Levin, Andrew T., Fabio M. Natalucci, and Jeremy M. Piger. 2004. The macroeconomic effects of inflation targeting. Federal reserve Bank of Saint Louis Review 88 (4): 51–80.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mishkin, F., and K. Schmidt-Hebbel. 2007. Does inflation targeting make a difference? In Monetary policy under inflation targeting, ed. Frederic Mishkin and Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel. Central Bank of Chile.

    Google Scholar 

  • Pazos, Felipe. 1972. Chronic inflation in Latin America. New York: Praeger Publishers Inc.

    Google Scholar 

  • Rogoff, Kenneth S. 2004. Globalization and global disinflation. In Monetary policy and uncertainty: Adapting to a changing economy, 77–112. Kansas City: Federal Reserve Bank.

    Google Scholar 

  • Svensson, Lars E.O. 2008. Inflation targeting. In The new Palgrave dictionary of economics. Basingstoke/New York: Palgrave Macmillan.

    Google Scholar 

  • Vegh, C. A., and Vuletin, G., 2013. Overcoming the fear of free falling: Monetary policy graduation in emerging markets, World Scientific Book Chapters, in: The Role of Central Banks in Financial Stability How Has It Changed? chapter 6, pages 105–129 World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to José De Gregorio .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Section Editor information

Copyright information

© 2019 The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Limited

About this entry

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this entry

De Gregorio, J. (2019). Inflation Targets in Latin America. In: The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics. Palgrave Macmillan, London. https://doi.org/10.1057/978-1-349-95121-5_3110-1

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1057/978-1-349-95121-5_3110-1

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Publisher Name: Palgrave Macmillan, London

  • Print ISBN: 978-1-349-95121-5

  • Online ISBN: 978-1-349-95121-5

  • eBook Packages: Springer Reference Economics and FinanceReference Module Humanities and Social SciencesReference Module Business, Economics and Social Sciences

Publish with us

Policies and ethics