Addressing Food Security Issues: Understanding and Anticipating the Future
Foresight builds the capacity to think systematically about the future to inform decision-making today. It is a systematic, participatory, future intelligence gathering and medium-to-long-term vision-building process aimed at present-day decisions and mobilizing joint actions. To address food security issues, foresight can support decision-making toward a condition in which all people at all times have economic, social, and physical access to sufficient, safe, and nutritious food that meets their dietary needs, aligns with their preferences, and allows them to maintain a healthy and active life. Specifically, foresight can inform plausible alternative narratives about the future of food demand and supply in the next 5, 10, or 50 years. By informing policies, a system stewardship process enables adapting policy and steering the system toward established high-level food security goals for the future.
One of today’s greatest challenges is achieving sustainable food...
- Agusdinata DB (2008) Exploratory modeling and analysis: a promising method to deal with deep uncertainty. Ph.D. Thesis, Delft UniversityGoogle Scholar
- Bingley K (2014) Using foresight to cope with uncertainty. IDS Policy Briefing 74, Brighton: IDSGoogle Scholar
- Cappellini RA, Ceponis MJ (1984) Postharvest losses in fresh fruits and vegetables. In: Moline HE (ed) Postharvest pathology of fruits and vegetables: postharvest losses in perishable crops. Agricultural Experiment Station, Berkeley, pp 24–30. Univ. Calif. Bull. 1914Google Scholar
- Erb KH, Lauk C, Kastner T, Mayer A, Theurl MC, Haberl H (2016) Exploring the biophysical option space for feeding the world without deforestation. Nature communications, 7, 11382Google Scholar
- FAO (2013) The State of Food Insecurity in the World: The Multiple Dimensions of Food Security (Food and Agricultural Organization of the United Nations, Rome)Google Scholar
- FAO, IFAD, UNICEF, WFP, WHO (2017) The state of food security and nutrition in the world. Retrieved from http://www.fao.org/3/a-i7695e.pdf
- FAOSTAT (2009). Retrieved from http://faostat.fao.org/default.aspx
- Kreibich R (2006) Zukunftsforschung. Arbeitsbericht Nr. 23/2006. Institut für Zukunftsstudien und Technologiebewertung/ Institute for Future Studies and Technology Assessment, Berlin [in German]Google Scholar
- Nelson GC, Rosegrant MW, Palazzo A, Gray I, Ingersoll C, Robertson R, Msangi S (2010) Food security, farming, and climate change to 2050: scenarios, results, policy options, vol 172. International Food Policy Research Institute, Washington, DCGoogle Scholar
- Nicholson SE (1996) A review of climate dynamics and climate variability in eastern Africa. In The Limnology, Climatology and Paleoclimatology of the East African Lakes, pp. 25–56Google Scholar
- Robinson Sherman, Daniel Mason-D’Croz, Timothy Sulser, Shahnila Islam, Ricky Robertson, Tingju Zhu, Arthur Gueneau, Gauthier Pitois, and Mark W Rosegrant (2015) “The international model for policy analysis of agricultural commodities and trade (IMPACT): model description for version 3.”Google Scholar
- The Government Office for Science (2011) Foresight, U. K The future of food and farming. Final Project Report, LondonGoogle Scholar
- UNDAF (2010) How to prepare an UNDAF (Parts I & II): guidelines for UN Country teams. https://www.un.cv/files/5%20How%20to%20Prepare%20an%20UNDAF%20(Part%20II).pdf