Skip to main content

Challenges of Demographic and Epidemiological Transitions

  • Living reference work entry
  • First Online:
  • 121 Accesses

Part of the book series: Encyclopedia of the UN Sustainable Development Goals ((ENUNSDG))

Synonyms

Demographic transition; Epidemiologic transition

Definition

Demographic shift is any significant change in a population’s overall age and sex structure that may be the result of a series of economic, social, political, environmental, and cultural phenomena like, for instance, epidemics, wars, technological breakthroughs, financial crisis, or industrialization, as well as from the interaction between two or more of them. All those phenomena influence the inclination people have to have more children or not. Thus, the increased or decreased number of children that is added or subtracted from the population will affect the age and sex structure of this population and consequently its demographic and social dynamics.

Introduction

In this entry, demographic shift will be addressed as a concept as well its causes and consequences regarding population dynamics will be discussed. The causes and consequences of demographic shift then will be used to discuss the main connections between...

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution.

References

  • Barrett R et al (1998) Emerging and re-emerging infectious diseases: the third epidemiological transition. Annu Rev Anthropol 27:247–271

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bauman Z (2000) Liquid modernity. Polity Press, Malden

    Google Scholar 

  • Blackburn S, Marques C (2013) Mega-urbanisation on the coast: global context and key trends in the twenty-first century. In: Pelling M, Blackburn S (eds) Megacities and the coast. Routledge, London/New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Blacker C (1947) Stages in population growth. Eugen Rev 39(3):88–102

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Canning D, Raja S, Yazbeck AS (2015) Africa’s demographic transition. The World Bank, Washington, DC

    Google Scholar 

  • Chamie (2017) The rise of one-person households. Interpress Service. http://www.ipsnews.net/2017/02/the-rise-of-one-person-households/. Accessed 8 February 2018 

  • Chauvin JP et al (2017) What is different about urbanization in rich and poor countries? Cities in Brazil, China, India and the United States. J Urban Econ 98(8):17–49

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Coale AJ (1979) The use of modern analytical demography by T. R. Malthus. Popul Stud 33(2):329–332

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Coale AJ (1989) Demographic transition. In: Eatwell J, Milgate M, Newman P (eds) Social economics. The New Palgrave. Palgrave Macmillan, London

    Google Scholar 

  • Coale A, Watkins S (eds) (1986) The decline of fertility in Europe. Princeton University Press, Princeton

    Google Scholar 

  • Cohen B (2006) Urbanization in developing countries: current trends, future projections, and key challenges for sustainability. Technol Soc 28(1&2):63–80

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cruz M, Ahmed SA (2016) On the impact of demographic change on growth, savings, and poverty. Policy research working paper 7805. World Bank, Washington, DC

    Google Scholar 

  • Davis K (1945) The world demographic transition. Ann Am Acad Polit Soc Sci 237:1–11

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Glaeser E, Henderson JV (2017) Urban economics for the developing world: an introduction. J Urban Econ 98(8):1–5

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hirschman C (2011) The demographic transition in Asia: 1950 to 2050. Malays J Trop Geogr 42(1&2):1–10

    Google Scholar 

  • International Organization for Migration (2015) Global migration trends factsheet. International Organization for Migration. [Viewed 13 September 2018]. Available from: http://gmdac.iom.int/global-migration-trends-factsheet

  • International Panel for Climate Change (2007) Assessment report 4. In: Pachauri RK, Meyer LA (eds) Climate Change 2007: Synthesis Report. Core Writing Team. IPCC, Geneva, Switzerland

    Google Scholar 

  • International Panel for Climate Change (2014) Assessment report 5. In: Pachauri RK, Meyer LA (eds) Climate Change 2014: Synthesis Report. Core Writing Team. IPCC, Geneva, Switzerland

    Google Scholar 

  • Kirk D (1996) Demographic transition theory. Popul Stud 50:361–387. Great Britain

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Landry A (1934) La révolution démographique. Sirey, Paris

    Google Scholar 

  • Lee R (2003) The demographic transition: three centuries of fundamental change. J Econ Perspect 17(4):167–119

    Google Scholar 

  • Lipovetsky G (2006) A Felicidade Paradoxal. Companhia das Letras, São Paulo

    Google Scholar 

  • Malaney P (1999) Demographic change and poverty reduction. Paper presented at the Dhaka Conference, Dhaka, 4–6 April 1999

    Google Scholar 

  • McKeown T (1976a) The modern rise of population. Edward Arnold, London

    Google Scholar 

  • McKeown T (1976b) The role of medicine: dream, mirage or nemesis. Nuffield Provincial Hospitals Trust, London

    Google Scholar 

  • Montgomery K (2000) Demographic transition. United World College, London

    Google Scholar 

  • Notestein F (1953) Economic problems of population change. Proceedings of the eighth international conference of agricultural economists

    Google Scholar 

  • Notestein F (1960) Mortality, fertility, the size – age distribution, and the growth rate. Columbia University Press, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Omran AR (2005) The epidemiologic transition: a theory of the epidemiology of population change. Milbank Q 83:731–757

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Patarra N, Ferreira CEC (1986) Repensando a transição demográfica: Formulações, críticas e perspectivas de análise. Nepo, Campinas

    Google Scholar 

  • Robine J (2003) Life course, environmental change, and life span. Popul Dev Rev 29:229–238

    Google Scholar 

  • Rosset E (1980) The fifth phase of demographic transition: population regression. Studia Demograficzne 61–62:3–27

    Google Scholar 

  • Susser M (1985) Epidemiology in the United States after World War II: the evolution of technique. Epidemiol Rev 7:147–177

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Thompson W (1929) Population. Am J Sociol 34:959–979. The University of Chicago Press, Chicago

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Thompson W (1930) Population problems. McGraw Hill, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • United Nations (2014) Framework of actions for the follow-up to the Programme of Action of the International Conference on Population and Development Beyond 2014. United Nations, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Weisz G, Gryn JO (2009) The theory of epidemiologic transition: the origins of a citation classic. J Hist Med Allied Sci 65(3):287–326. https://doi.org/10.1093/jhmas/jrp058

  • Wong GWK, Leung TF (2007) Bird flu: lessons from SARS. Paediatr Respir Rev 8(2):171–176

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Leonardo Freire de Mello .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Section Editor information

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2020 Springer Nature Switzerland AG

About this entry

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this entry

Freire de Mello, L., de Paula, S.A. (2020). Challenges of Demographic and Epidemiological Transitions. In: Leal Filho, W., Azul, A., Brandli, L., Lange Salvia, A., Özuyar, P., Wall, T. (eds) No Poverty. Encyclopedia of the UN Sustainable Development Goals. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-69625-6_2-1

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-69625-6_2-1

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-319-69625-6

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-319-69625-6

  • eBook Packages: Springer Reference Earth and Environm. ScienceReference Module Physical and Materials ScienceReference Module Earth and Environmental Sciences

Publish with us

Policies and ethics