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System Dynamics Models of Environment, Energy and Climate Change

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Extreme Environmental Events

Article Outline

Glossary

Definition of the Subject

Introduction

The Model of Mono Lake

The Model of the Salmon in the Tucannon River

Models of Climate Change

System Dynamics Models of the Carbon Cycle

Lessons from the Regulated Power Industry in the 1970s

Simulating the Power Industry Response to a Carbon Market

Conditions for Effective Interdisciplinary Modeling

Future Directions

Bibliography

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Notes

  1. 1.

    “Wait and see” may be supported by an analysis of the hydrology of the basin, but it does not necessarily make sense when considering the long delays in the political and managerial process to change water export.

  2. 2.

    The shocks could take the form of changes in ocean mortalities, changes in harvesting and changes in the migration mortalities. These shocks are external to the boundary of this model, so one is reminded of Coyle's definition of system dynamics. That is, the model helps us understand how the salmon population could withstand the shocks which fall upon it from the out-side world.

Abbreviations

CO2 :

Carbon dioxide is the predominant greenhouse gas. Anthropogenic CO2 emissions are created largely by the combustion of fossil fuels.

CGCM:

Coupled general circulation model, a climate model which combines the atmospheric and oceanic systems.

GCM:

General circulation model, a term commonly used to describe climate models maintained at large research centers.

GHG:

GHG is a greenhouse gas such as CO2 and methane. These gases contribute to global warming by capturing some of the outgoing infrared radiation before it leaves the atmosphere.

GT:

Gigaton, a common measure of carbon storage in the global carbon cycle. A GT is a billion metric tons.

IPCC:

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change was formed in 1988 by the World Meteorological Organization and the United Nations Environmental Program. It reports research on climate change. Their assessments are closely watched because of the requirement for unanimous approval by all participating delegates.

Bibliography

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© 2011 Springer-Verlag

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Ford, A. (2011). System Dynamics Models of Environment, Energy and Climate Change. In: Meyers, R. (eds) Extreme Environmental Events. Springer, New York, NY. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4419-7695-6_49

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