Abstract
This chapter gives a self-contained introduction to the Bayesian approach to statistical inference. Standard epidemiological problems such as diagnostic tests, the analysis of prevalence, case-control, and cohort data will serve as examples. More advanced topics, such as empirical Bayes methods and Markov chain Monte Carlo techniques, are also covered.
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Notes
- 1.
Odds ω = π ∕ (1 − π) can be back-transformed to probabilities π using π = ω ∕ (1 + ω).
- 2.
Probability statements for continuous random variables X can be obtained through integration of the density function, for example, \(\mathrm{Pr}(a \leq X \leq b) =\int _{ a}^{b}\mathrm{p}(x)dx\).
- 3.
The mathematical symbol ∝ stands for “is proportional to.”
- 4.
The mathematical symbol ∼ stands for “is distributed as.”
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Held, L. (2014). Bayesian Methods in Epidemiology. In: Ahrens, W., Pigeot, I. (eds) Handbook of Epidemiology. Springer, New York, NY. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-0-387-09834-0_57
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