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Hydrological Ensemble Prediction Systems Around the Globe

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Handbook of Hydrometeorological Ensemble Forecasting

Abstract

A large number of hydrological forecasting systems exist across the globe. Recent advances have pushed the limits of predictability of discharge and other hydrological variables from a few hours to several days or even months. In this chapter, we aim to give an overview of Hydrological Ensemble Prediction Systems across the globe. It provides brief descriptions of existing or preoperational systems as background, and discusses the challenges ahead. This overview shows that there is at least one system per continent, though their geographic domain varies considerably among very small catchments, countries national and interregional basins, transnational basins, continents, or even the entire globe. It highlights common challenges and differences.

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Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading, UK

    Florian Pappenberger

  2. Deltares, Delft, The Netherlands

    Jan S. Verkade

  3. Ministry of Infrastructure and the Environment, Water Management Centre of the Netherlands, River Forecasting Service, Lelystad, The Netherlands

    Eric Sprokkereef & Jan S. Verkade

  4. Delft University of Technology, Delft, The Netherlands

    Jan S. Verkade

  5. German Federal Institute of Hydrology (BfG), Koblenz, Germany

    Y. -Z. Hu, Z. J. Li, D. Meißner & Silke Rademacher

  6. Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK

    Y. He & D. Manful

  7. Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research WSL, Zurich, Switzerland

    Massimiliano Zappa

  8. Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, VIC, Australia

    Thomas C. Pagano, P. M. Feikema & D. Shin

  9. UNESCO-IHE Institute for Water Education, Delft, The Netherlands

    S. J. van Andel

  10. Water Problems Institute of Russian Academy of Sciences (WPI RAS), Moscow, Russia

    A. Gelfan & L. Kuchment

  11. ARPA Emilia Romagna, Bologna, Italy

    S. Tibaldi

  12. Hydrologic Solutions Limited, Southampton, UK

    J. D. Brown

  13. Office of Water Prediction, U.S. National Weather Service, Silver Spring, MD, USA

    M. A. Fresch

  14. Department of Meteorology, Reading University, Reading, UK

    Hannah L. Cloke

  15. Department of Environmental Sciences and Geography, Reading University, Reading, UK

    Hannah L. Cloke

  16. EDF DTG, Grenoble, France

    R. Garçon & M. Le Lay

  17. IRSTEA, Antony, France

    Maria-Helena Ramos

  18. Service Central d’Hydrométéorologie et d’Appui à la Prévision des Inondations (SCHAPI), Toulouse, France

    C. de Saint-Aubin & B. Janet

  19. Service de Prévision des Crues Meuse-Moselle, Metz, France

    N. Jurdy

  20. Irstea, OHAX Hydrology Unit, Aix-en-Provence, France

    P. Javelle

  21. HYDRIS Hydrologie, Saint Mathieu de Tréviers, France

    J. Demargne & D. Organde

  22. Directorate for Space, Security and Migration, European Commission – Joint Research Centre, Ispra, VA, Italy

    Lorenzo Alfieri

  23. Météo-France, Toulouse, France

    V. Pourret & C. Sorbet

  24. Service de Prévision des Crues Méditerranée Ouest, Carcassonne, France

    A. Marchandise

  25. Service de Prévision des Crues Grand Delta, Nîmes, France

    F. Bressand, Y. Laborda & F. Mannessiez

  26. Landesamt für Umwelt, Rhineland Palatinate, Mainz, Germany

    N. Demuth

  27. Finish Environment Institute, Helsinki, Finland

    B. Vehviläinen

  28. Ministry of Petroleum and Energy, Norwegian Water Resources and Energy Directorate, Hydrology Department (NVE), Oslo, Norway

    E. Langsholt

  29. Bayerisches Landesamt für Umwelt, Augsburg, Germany

    A. Vogelbacher

  30. Czech Hydrometeorological Institute, Prague, Czech Republic

    J. Danhelka

  31. Principal Water Board of Rijnland, Leiden, The Netherlands

    R. E. Van der Zwan

  32. European Commission, Joint Research Centre, Ispra, Italy

    Jutta Thielen-del Pozo

  33. European Commission, Joint Research Centre, Ispra, Italy

    Peter Salamon & V. Thiemig

  34. Loire river Flood Forecasting Centre, Orléans, Italy

    L. Berthet

  35. RAB Consultants/University of Dundee, Stirling, Italy

    M. Cranston

  36. Loire-Cher-Indre Flood Forecasting Centre, Orléans, France

    R. Marty & D. Reinbold

  37. ARPA Emilia Romagna, Parma, Italy

    P. Silvano

  38. Bureau of Meteorology, Canberra, ACT, Australia

    Narendra Kumar Tuteja

  39. European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, UK

    D. A. Lavers

  40. Forecast Department, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, UK

    Fredrik Wetterhall

Authors
  1. Florian Pappenberger
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  2. Thomas C. Pagano
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  4. Lorenzo Alfieri
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  6. L. Berthet
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  8. Hannah L. Cloke
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  9. M. Cranston
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  18. Y. He
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  19. Y. -Z. Hu
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  20. B. Janet
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  21. N. Jurdy
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  30. R. Marty
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  33. D. Organde
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  34. V. Pourret
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  37. D. Reinbold
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  39. P. Silvano
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  40. Peter Salamon
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  41. D. Shin
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  42. C. Sorbet
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  43. Eric Sprokkereef
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  44. V. Thiemig
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  45. Narendra Kumar Tuteja
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  46. S. J. van Andel
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  47. Jan S. Verkade
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  48. B. Vehviläinen
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  49. A. Vogelbacher
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  50. Fredrik Wetterhall
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  51. Massimiliano Zappa
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  52. R. E. Van der Zwan
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  53. Jutta Thielen-del Pozo
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Corresponding authors

Correspondence to Florian Pappenberger or Jutta Thielen-del Pozo .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

  1. Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China

    Qingyun Duan

  2. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, ECMWF, Reading, UK

    Florian Pappenberger

  3. National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, USA

    Andy Wood

  4. Department of Meteorology, Reading University, Reading, UK

    Hannah L. Cloke

  5. U.S. National Weather Service (retired), Annapolis, MD, USA

    John C. Schaake

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Pappenberger, F. et al. (2019). Hydrological Ensemble Prediction Systems Around the Globe. In: Duan, Q., Pappenberger, F., Wood, A., Cloke, H., Schaake, J. (eds) Handbook of Hydrometeorological Ensemble Forecasting. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-39925-1_47

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