Abstract
The literature on technology adoption provides key insights that can explain the incentives and barriers to the adoption of new energy crops for producing biofuels to displace fossil fuels. Energy crops are perennials with high upfront costs and establishment lags. They also differ from conventional crops in their riskiness. Their production involves foregoing returns from existing uses of the land. These features differ spatially and across farmers due to difference in farmer risk and time preferences. Understanding patterns of adoption is important for designing farming systems, supply chains, and policies. The literature investigates the influence on the adoption decision of many sources of heterogeneity across time and location including differences in the characteristics of technologies, farmers, market conditions, and policy incentives. Factors likely to influence adoption are explained using the example of two high-yielding and promising energy crops: miscanthus and switchgrass. Energy crop adoption decision is shown to be based on monetary factors (profit and costs) and the composition of mechanisms to address risk and uncertainty available to a region, as well as the risk and time preferences, attitudes, and beliefs of farmers. The paper ends with a discussion of market mechanisms and policy incentives to induce adoption and create supply chains needed to engender this industry.
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Notes
- 1.
Wuepper and Lybbert (2017) provide a survey of this recent line of research.
- 2.
McWilliams and Zilberman (1996) analyzed the timing of adoption of a technology (computers) whose price declines over time. They found that larger firms, with more educated entrepreneurs and more complex businesses, are likely to be early adopters of computers while firms that do not have the sufficient scale or human capital tend to wait and make lower investment. Khanna et al. (2000) find that adoption of site-specific crop management technologies (precision farming) is likely to occur first on farms with high soil quality and high variability in soil fertility and quality. This is because the profit differential is sufficiently high on such farms and it is able to offset the disincentives to adoption due to price uncertainty and investment irreversibility.
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Khanna, M., Zilberman, D., Miao, R. (2017). Innovation in Agriculture: Incentives for Adoption and Supply Chain Development for Energy Crops. In: Khanna, M., Zilberman, D. (eds) Handbook of Bioenergy Economics and Policy: Volume II. Natural Resource Management and Policy, vol 40. Springer, New York, NY. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4939-6906-7_14
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