Skip to main content

The Ex-ante Classification of Takeover Targets Using Neural Networks

  • Chapter
Decision Technologies for Computational Finance

Part of the book series: Advances in Computational Management Science ((AICM,volume 2))

Abstract

In this article we use a net with a single hidden layer and back-propagation to discriminate between targets and non-target firms. The model is estimated on a state-based sample, though the best net is selected and subsequently analysed on the basis of a cross-validation sample which is representative of the true population. Tests of model performance are constructed on the basis of performance in the cross-validation sample. In addition to the usual asymptotic assumptions commonly made we also use a bootstrap pairs sampling algorithm, and a residual based sampling algorithm to generate alternative standard errors and confidence intervals

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 169.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 219.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 219.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  • Adkins L. “Small Sample Inference in the Probit Model.” Oklahoma State University, Working paper, 1990.

    Google Scholar 

  • Clark K., Ofek, E. “Mergers as a Means of Restructuring Distressed Firms: An Empirical Investigation”, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, December 1993; 29: 541-561.

    Google Scholar 

  • Dietrich J.K., Sorensen E. “An Application of Logit Analysis to Prediction of Merger Targets”, Journal of Business Research, 1984; 12:393–412.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ephron B. “Bootstrap Methods: Another Look at the Jackknife.”, Annals of Statistics, 1979; 7:1–26.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ephron B., Tibshirani R. “Bootstrap Methods for Standard Errors, Confidence Intervals and Other Methods of Statistical Accuracy.”, Statistical Science, 1986,1:54–77.

    Google Scholar 

  • Healy P.M., Palepu. K.G., Rnback R.S. “Does Corporate Performance Improve after Mergers?”,Journal of Financial Economics, 1992;31:135–175.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hunter J., Fairclough D. “A Local Interpretation of Neural Net Outputs”, Brunei University Discussion Paper, 1998.

    Google Scholar 

  • Maerker G. “Bootstrapping GARCH(1,1) Models”, paper presented at the Computational Finance 97Conference, held at the LBS December 1997.

    Google Scholar 

  • Maddala G.S. Limited—Dependent and Qualitative Variables in Econometrics. Cambridge University Press, 1983.

    Google Scholar 

  • Palepu K.G. “Predicting Takeover Targets: A Methodological and Empirical Analysis”, Journal of Accounting and Economics, 1986; 8:3–35.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Refenes A.N., Abu-Mostafa Y., Moody J., Weigend A, (Ed’s). Neural Networks in Financial Engineering; Proceedings of the Third International Conference on Neural Networks in the Capital Markets. World Scientific, 1995.

    Google Scholar 

  • Simkowitz M.A., Monroe R.M. “A Discriminant Analysis Function for Corporate Targets”, Southern Journal of Business November 1971; 1–16.

    Google Scholar 

  • Tam K.Y., Kiang M. “Predicting Bank Failures; a Neural Network Approach.” Applied Artificial Intelligence, 1990;4:265–282.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Tibshirani R. “A Comparison of Some Error Estimates for Neural Network Models.” Dept. of Preventive Medicine and Biostatistics, University of Toronto, 1995.

    Google Scholar 

  • Weigend A.S., LeBaron B. “Evaluating Neural Network Predictors by Bootstrapping.” Proc.of Int’l Conference on Neural Information Processing, Seoul, 1994.

    Google Scholar 

  • White H. “Learning in Artificial Neural Networks: A Statistical Perspective”, Neural Computation, 1989; 1:425–464.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 1998 Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Fairclough, D., Hunter, J. (1998). The Ex-ante Classification of Takeover Targets Using Neural Networks. In: Refenes, AP.N., Burgess, A.N., Moody, J.E. (eds) Decision Technologies for Computational Finance. Advances in Computational Management Science, vol 2. Springer, Boston, MA. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4615-5625-1_30

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4615-5625-1_30

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Boston, MA

  • Print ISBN: 978-0-7923-8309-3

  • Online ISBN: 978-1-4615-5625-1

  • eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive

Publish with us

Policies and ethics