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Relationship Between Shipping Accessibility and Maritime Transport Demand: the Case of Mainland China

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Abstract

The relationship between shipping accessibility and maritime transport demand is studied based on the relationship between production and consumption and stochastic frontier analysis. First, the consumption market of the products produced in a region is classified into the local market, non-local domestic market and foreign market. Then, to obtain the potential export volumes, the production function, extended linear expenditure system model, and multi-regional input-output model are built to calculate the regional production, the consumption in local market, and the consumption in non-local market, respectively. Second, the impact of potential export volumes and shipping accessibility on maritime transport demand is studied based on the stochastic frontier gravity model. Finally, the data from 2006 to 2012 for eight domestic regions and eight overseas regions were used to conduct an empirical study. The findings indicate that the maritime transport demand is positively correlated with shipping accessibility and that the region with higher accessibility has the greater demand. Furthermore, adding shipping lines in Quanzhou Port had the largest positive effect on Chinese exports.

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Acknowledgements

This research is supported by the key project of National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 71431001) and the Fundamental Research Funds for Central Universities of China (Grant No. 3132016303).

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Transportation Engineering College, Dalian Maritime University, Dalian, 116026, People’s Republic of China

    Liquan Guo

  2. Faculty of Maritime and Transportation, Ningbo University, Ningbo, 315211, People’s Republic of China

    Zhongzhen Yang

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  1. Liquan Guo
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  2. Zhongzhen Yang
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Correspondence to Zhongzhen Yang.

Appendix

Appendix

Table 6 Sectoral aggregation
Full size table
Table 7 Number/average price/average shipping time of main liner shipping lines
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Table 8 Estimation results of Cobb-Douglas functions
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Table 9 Estimation results of ELES models
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Guo, L., Yang, Z. Relationship Between Shipping Accessibility and Maritime Transport Demand: the Case of Mainland China. Netw Spat Econ 19, 149–175 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11067-018-9393-2

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