Abstract
This study investigates the relationship between emissions, income, energy consumption, trade openness, and urbanisation in Thailand over the period of 1971 to 2014. The ARDL cointegration technique is employed and CUSUM and CUSUMSQ tests are used to ensure the stability of the estimated results. Our findings indicate there is a long run relationship among variables for the case of CO2 emissions while there is none for the SO2. The results indicate an increase in income can cause significantly more CO2 emissions. Energy consumption also contributes to environmental degradation with slight impact, while there is no effect from trade openness. On the contrary, urbanisation greatly helps reduce CO2 emissions in the long run.
This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution.
Buying options
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Learn about institutional subscriptionsNotes
- 1.
Using the logarithm transformation could reduce the risk of having heteroskedasticity and allows the estimated coefficients to be interpreted as elasticity, hence it reflects the impact from a percentage change in explanatory variable to the percentage change in dependent variable [41]. Also, Acaravci and Ozturk [1] pointed out that “the growth rate of the relevant variable will be obtained by their differenced logarithms.”.
References
Acaravci, A., Ozturk, I.: On the relationship between energy consumption, \({\rm CO}_2\) emissions and economic growth in Europe. Energy 35(12), 5412–5420 (2010)
Afzal, M., Farooq, M.S., Ahmad, H.K., Begum, I., Quddus, M.A.: Relationship between school education and economic growth in Pakistan ardl bounds testing approach to cointegration. Pak. Econ. Soc. Rev. 48(1), 39–60 (2010)
Ahmed, M.U., Muzib, M., Roy, A.: Price-wage spiral in Bangladesh: evidence from ardl bound testing approach. Int. J. Appl. Econ. 10(2), 77–103 (2013)
Al-Mulali, U., Saboori, B., Ozturk, I.: Investigating the environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis in Vietnam. Energy Policy 76, 123–131 (2015)
Antweiler, W., Copeland, B.R., Taylor, M.S.: Is free trade good for the environment? Am. Econ. Rev. 91(4), 877–908 (2001)
Arouri, M., Shahbaz, M., Onchang, R., Islam, F., Teulon, F.: Environmental Kuznets curve in Thailand: cointegration and causality analysis (2014-204) (2014)
Brack, D.: Trade and Environment: Conflict or Compatibility? Royal Inst. of International Affairs (1998)
Bureecam, C.: An empirical analysis based on the environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis (ekc) in the relationship between Thailand’s economic growth and environmental quality. In: 47th Kasetsart University Annual Conference, pp. 148–156. Bangkok (2009)
Cavanaugh, J.E., Neath, A.A.: Generalizing the derivation of the schwarz information criterion. Commun. Stat. Theory Methods 28(1), 49–66 (1999)
Cole, M.A.: Trade, the pollution haven hypothesis and the environmental Kuznets curve: examining the linkages. Ecol. Econ. 48(1), 71–81 (2004)
Cole, M.A., Elliott, R.J.R.: Determining the trade-environment composition effect: the role of capital, labor and environmental regulations. J. Environ. Econ. Manag. 46(3), 363–383 (2003)
Dinda, S.: Environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis: a survey. Ecol. Econ. 49(4), 431–455 (2004)
Faridi, M.Z., Murtaza, G.: Disaggregate energy consumption, agricultural output and economic growth in Pakistan. Pak. Dev. Rev. 52(4), 493–516 (2013)
Halicioglu, F.: An econometric study of \({\rm CO}_2\) emissions, energy consumption, income and foreign trade in Turkey. Energy Policy 37(3), 1156–1164 (2009)
Hamit-Haggar, M.: Greenhouse gas emissions, energy consumption and economic growth: a panel cointegration analysis from Canadian industrial sector perspective. Energy Econ. 34(1), 358–364 (2012)
He, J., Richard, P.: Environmental Kuznets curve for \({\rm CO}_2\) in Canada. Ecol. Econ. 69(5), 1083–1093 (2010)
Hossain, M.S.: Panel estimation for \({\rm CO}_2\) emissions, energy consumption, economic growth, trade openness and urbanization of newly industrialized countries. Energy Policy 39(11), 6991–6999 (2011)
Jaunky, V.C.: The \({\rm CO}_2\) emissions-income nexus: evidence from rich countries. Energy Policy 39(3), 1228–1240 (2011)
Kennedy, P.: A Guide to Econometrics, 5th edn. Blackwell, Malden (2003)
Libecap, G.D.: Addressing global environmental externalities: transaction costs considerations. J. Econ. Lit. 52(2), 424–479 (2014)
Naito, T., Traesupap, S.: Is shrimp farming in Thailand ecologically sustainable? J. Fac. Econ. 16, 55–75 (2006)
Narayan, P.K.: The saving and investment nexus for China: evidence from cointegration tests. Appl. Econ. 37(17), 1979–1990 (2005)
Narayan, P.K., Narayan, S.: Carbon dioxide emissions and economic growth: panel data evidence from developing countries. Energy Policy 38(1), 661–666 (2010)
Pao, H.T., Tsai, C.M.: Multivariate Granger causality between \({\rm CO}_2\) emissions, energy consumption, FDI (foreign direct investment) and GDP (gross domestic product): evidence from a panel of BRIC (Brazil, Russian Federation, India, and China) countries. Energy 36(1), 685–693 (2011)
Pesaran, B., Pesaran, M.H.: Time Series Econometrics Using Microfit 5.0. Oxford University Press, Oxford (2009)
Pesaran, M.H., Shin, Y.: An autoregressive distributed lag modelling approach to cointegration analysis, pp. 371–413. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge (1999)
Pesaran, M.H., Shin, Y., Smith, R.J.: Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of long-run relationships. Report, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge (1999)
Pesaran, M.H., Shin, Y., Smith, R.J.: Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships. J. Appl. Econ. 16(3), 289–326 (2001)
Saboori, B., Sulaiman, J.: \({\rm CO}_2\) emissions, energy consumption and economic growth in Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) countries: a cointegration approach. Energy 55, 813–822 (2013)
Saboori, B., Sulaiman, J., Mohd, S.: Economic growth and \({\rm CO}_2\) emissions in Malaysia: a cointegration analysis of the environmental Kuznets curve. Energy Policy 51, 184–191 (2012)
ASEAN Secretariat: ASEAN Economic Community Blueprint. ASEAN Secretariat, Jakarta, Indonesia (2008)
Shahbaz, M., Sbia, R., Hamdi, H., Ozturk, I.: Economic growth, electricity consumption, urbanization and environmental degradation relationship in United Arab Emirates. Ecol. Ind. 45, 622–631 (2014)
Shahbaz, M., Shabbir, M.S., Butt, M.S.: Effect of financial development on agricultural growth in Pakistan. Int. J. Soc. Econ. 40(8), 707–728 (2013)
Shahbaz, M., Uddin, G.S., Rehman, I.U., Imran, K.: Industrialization, electricity consumption and \({\rm CO}_2\) emissions in Bangladesh. Renew. Sustain. Energy Rev. 31, 575–586 (2014)
Shahe Emran, M., Shilpi, F., Alam, M.I.: Economic liberalization and price response of aggregate private investment: time series evidence from India. Can. J. Econ./Revue canadienne d’conomique 40(3), 914–934 (2007)
Sharma, S.S.: Determinants of carbon dioxide emissions: empirical evidence from 69 countries. Appl. Energy 88(1), 376–382 (2011)
Stern, D.I.: The environmental Kuznets curve: a primer. Report, Centre for Climate Economics & Policy, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University (2014)
Temurshoev, U.: Pollution haven hypothesis or factor endowment hypothesis: theory and empirical examination for the US and China. Report, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economic Institute, Prague (2006)
Verbeek, M.: A Guide to Modern Econometrics, 4th edn. Wiley, Chichester (2012)
Wong, Y.L.A., Lewis, L.: The disappearing environmental Kuznets curve: a study of water quality in the lower Mekong basin (LMB). J. Environ. Manage. 131, 415–425 (2013)
Wooldridge, J.M.: Introductory Econometrics: A Modern Approach, 6th edn. Cengage Learning, Boston (2015)
Zivot, E., Andrews, D.W.K.: Further evidence on the great crash, the oil-price shock, and the unit-root hypothesis. J. Bus. Econ. Stat. 10(3), 251–270 (1992)
Acknowledgements
The authors would like to thank the anonymous reviewer for useful suggestions which have greatly improved the quality of this paper. This research is supported by the Chiang Mai University Research Funding and the Puay Ungphakorn Centre of Excellence in Econometrics, Faculty of Economics, Chiang Mai University.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2018 Springer International Publishing AG
About this paper
Cite this paper
Osathanunkul, R., Kingnetr, N., Sriboonchitta, S. (2018). Emissions, Trade Openness, Urbanisation, and Income in Thailand: An Empirical Analysis. In: Kreinovich, V., Sriboonchitta, S., Chakpitak, N. (eds) Predictive Econometrics and Big Data. TES 2018. Studies in Computational Intelligence, vol 753. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-70942-0_37
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-70942-0_37
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-319-70941-3
Online ISBN: 978-3-319-70942-0
eBook Packages: EngineeringEngineering (R0)