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What Drives Bank Lending in Domestic and Foreign Currency Loans in a Small Open Transition Economy with Fixed Exchange Rate? The Case of Macedonia

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Abstract

The main research aims of this paper are to empirically investigate the existence of the bank lending channel and its determinants in Macedonia. We estimate two different loan supply functions by disaggregating the loans by currency, in denars and in foreign currency (mainly in euros). The rationale for examining the two loan supply functions separately is the relatively high share of foreign currency loans in the total loans in the Macedonian banking sector (see Figure 9.1),

Stock of total bank loans and stock of loans in denars to non-financial private sector, in millions of denars

Source: NBRM (http://www.nbrm.mk/?ItemID=A55FFC32FC478E4A89444507A6C02C45).

which is typical of many transition economies, and the belief that such loans may respond to variables different from those affecting loans in domestic currency (Kohler et al., 2005).

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© 2016 Jane Bogoev

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Bogoev, J. (2016). What Drives Bank Lending in Domestic and Foreign Currency Loans in a Small Open Transition Economy with Fixed Exchange Rate? The Case of Macedonia. In: Brada, J.C., Wachtel, P. (eds) Global Banking Crises and Emerging Markets. Palgrave Macmillan, London. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-137-56905-9_9

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