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Remaking the Auto Industry

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Three Revolutions

Abstract

Henry Ford built his first vehicle, which he called the quadricycle, over the course of about six months. Both his wife, Clara, and his friend James Bishop chipped in substantially. A decade and a half later, the Ford Motor Company built its ten millionth automobile. The comparison to Henry Ford’s quadricycle effort is stark: the Model T factory employed roughly five thousand times as many laborers and took about 1/2000th the amount of time to build a car. This staggering increase in scale and efficiency was facilitated by the introduction of the assembly line in 1908. Over the coming century, that simple innovation would expand the frontier of manufacturing efficiency to dizzying effect. The assembly line would progressively destroy and reconstitute the global economy in a giant wave of creative destruction—forever optimizing efficiency of production and churning out goods for a world of hungry consumers. Today, that line remains the beating heart of the global manufacturing economy.

The twentieth century was the age of automotive manufacturing. The twenty-first century will be the age of mobility. Automakers will remake themselves into companies that sell mobility services instead of vehicles—or at least they will try to.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    Levi Tillemann, “Crossing the Divide: The Long Arc of Corporate Efficiency,” valencestrategic.com, February 2017.

  2. 2.

    Joseph Alois Schumpeter, Capitalism, Socialism, and Democracy, 3rd ed. (New York: Harper, 1950).

  3. 3.

    Mike Isaac, “Uber’s C.E.O. Plays with Fire,” New York Times, 23 April 2017.

  4. 4.

    Robert Ferris, “Tesla Passes General Motors to Become the Most Valuable U.S. Automaker,” CNBC, 10 April 2017. At that time, Uber was valued at close to $70 billion, but it had not yet gone public.

  5. 5.

    Robin Chase, Peers Inc.: How People and Platforms Are Inventing the Collaborative Economy and Reinventing Capitalism (New York: Public Affairs, 2015).

  6. 6.

    James P. Womack, Daniel T. Jones, and Daniel Roos, The Machine That Changed the World (New York: Free Press, 1990).

  7. 7.

    Ibid.; Jeffrey K. Liker, The Toyota Way: 14 Management Principles from the World’s Greatest Manufacturer (New York: McGraw-Hill, 2004).

  8. 8.

    Todd Lassa, “Toyota, Chrysler Have North America’s Most Efficient Plants,” Motor Trend, 5 June 2008.

  9. 9.

    James R. Healy, “Average New Car Price Zips 2.6% to $33,560,” USA Today, 4 May 2015.

  10. 10.

    Paul Barter, “‘Cars Are Parked 95% of the Time.’ Let’s Check!,” Reinventing Parking, 22 February 2013.

  11. 11.

    Adella Santos et al., Summary of Travel Trends: 2009 National Household Travel Survey (Washington, DC: Federal Highway Administration, 2011), Table 16.

  12. 12.

    This concept originated with my company, Valence Strategic, and should be partially credited to my business partner Colin McCormick.

  13. 13.

    See the Airlines for America website, http://airlines.org/.

  14. 14.

    Tillemann, “Crossing the Divide.”

  15. 15.

    James Archsmith, Alissa Kendall, and David Rapson, “From Cradle to Junkyard: Assessing the Life Cycle Greenhouse Gas Benefits of Electric Vehicles,” Research in Transportation Economics 52 (2015): 72–90; M. A. Tamayao et al., “Regional Variability and Uncertainty of Electric Vehicle Life Cycle CO2 Emissions across the United States,” Environmental Science and Technology 49 (2015): 8844–55.

  16. 16.

    Neal E. Boudette, “Automakers Prepare for an America That’s over the Whole Car Thing,” New York Times, 22 December 2016.

  17. 17.

    John Cook, “Ford CEO Mark Fields Sees ‘Massive Opportunity’ to Push Car Maker into $5.4T Transportation Services Market,” GeekWire, 5 January 2016.

  18. 18.

    Michael Martinez, “Ford Motor Wants to Change the World—Again,” Automotive News, 10 January 2017.

  19. 19.

    Ford Motor Company, Sustainability Report 2015/16, accessed 4 September 2017, http://www.sustainability.ford.com.

  20. 20.

    Nick Bunkley, “Ford’s Mobility Push Driven by Profit Motive,” Automotive News, 19 September 2016.

  21. 21.

    Maven website, accessed 4 September 2017, https://www.mavendrive.com/#!/.

  22. 22.

    Peter Kosak, “GM on Fast Track to Redefine Mobility with Lyft, Maven & Self-Driving Cars,” General Motors Green, 24 March 2016; John Rosevear, “Is General Motors’ New Deal with Uber a Stab in Lyft’s Back?,” Business Insider, 4 November 2016.

  23. 23.

    Nick Bunkley, “GM Puts Bolt at Center of Its Long-Term Vision,” Automotive News, 19 December 2016.

  24. 24.

    John Branding, personal communication, 10 April 2017.

  25. 25.

    “Uber’s Revenue Hits $6.5 Billion in 2016, Still Has Large Loss,” Reuters, 14 April 2017.

  26. 26.

    Dana Hull, “Elon Musk Says Tesla Car-Share Network Is ‘the People vs. Uber,’” Bloomberg Technology, 26 October 2016.

  27. 27.

    Boudette, “Automakers Prepare.”

  28. 28.

    Andrew Salzberg, personal communication, 13 April 2017.

  29. 29.

    Elisabeth Behrmann, “Daimler Looks to Startups, Small Suppliers for Innovative Ideas,” Automotive News Europe, 1 March 2017.

  30. 30.

    Eric Auchard and Laurence Frost, “BlaBlaCar Unveils Opel Leasing Deal in Boost for Ride-Sharing,” Automotive News Europe, 6 April 2017.

  31. 31.

    Hans Greimel, “Toyota’s Growth Model Turns on Services,” Automotive News, 7 November 2016.

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© 2018 Daniel Sperling

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Tillemann, L. (2018). Remaking the Auto Industry. In: Sperling, D. (eds) Three Revolutions. Island Press, Washington, DC. https://doi.org/10.5822/978-1-61091-906-7_7

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