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Toward Sustainable Urban Futures

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Beyond Mobility

Abstract

This book advances the idea of moving beyond mobility as a platform for achieving more sustainable urban futures. The first chapter adopted the term urban recalibration as a framework for doing so. Rather than sweeping reforms or a Kuhnian paradigm shift, urban recalibration calls for a series of calculated steps aimed at a strategic longer-range vision of a city’s future, advancing principles of people-oriented development and place-making every bit as much as private car mobility, if not more. Rather than driving down sustainability metrics such as vehicle miles traveled (VMT) per capita in one fell swoop through dramatic changes, it entails a series of 1 to 2 percent recalibration “victories”—intersection by intersection, neighborhood by neighborhood—that cumulatively move beyond the historically almost singular focus on mobility, making for better communities, better environments, and better economies. With urban recalibration, change is more evolutionary than revolutionary.

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Notes

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    Robert Cervero, “Why Go Anywhere?” Scientific American 273, no. 3 (1995): 92–93.

  2. 2.

    Peter Newman and Jeffrey Kenworthy, Cities and Automobile Dependence: A Sourcebook (Aldershot, England: Grower, 1989); Reid Ewing and Robert Cervero, “Travel and the Built Environment,” Journal of the American Planning Association 76 (2010): 262–94.

  3. 3.

    Ewing and Cervero, “Travel and the Built Environment,” 276.

  4. 4.

    Zhan Guo, Asha W. Agrawal, and Jennifer Dill, “Are Land Use Planning and Congestion Pricing Mutually Supportive? Evidence from a Pilot Mileage Fee Program in Portland, OR,,” Journal of the American Planning Association 77, no. 3 (2011): 232–50.

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    See TomTom Traffic Index on worldwide traffic congestion: http://www.tomtom.com/en_gb/trafficindex/list.

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  7. 7.

    The exponential decay relationship between VMT per capita and urban densities holds at multiple geographic scales, regardless of whether data observations are cities, districts, or neighborhoods. See Newman and Kenworthy, Cities and Automobile Dependence; Ewing and Cervero, “Travel and the Built Environment,” 87–114.

  8. 8.

    Hiroaki Suzuki, Robert Cervero, and Kanako Iuchi, “Transforming Cities with Transit,” (Washington, DC: World Bank, 2013).

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    Eric Eidler, “The Worst of All World: Los Angeles, California, and the Emerging Reality of Dense Sprawl,” Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board 1902 (2005): 1–9.

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    UN Habitat, Urbanization and Development: Emerging Futures (Nairobi: UN Habitat, World Cities Report, 2016).

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    Tony Dutzik, Jeff Inglis, and Phineas Baxandall, “Millennials in Motion: Changing Travel Habits of Young Americans and Implications for Public Policy” (Washington, DC: US PIRG Education Fund, 2014).

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    Michael Sivak and Brandon Schoettle, “Recent Decreases in the Proportion of Persons with a Driver’s License across All Age Groups,” University of Michigan Transportation Research Institute, UMTRI-2016-5, 2016, http://www.umich.edu/∼umtriswt/PDF/UMTRI-2016-4.pdf, accessed January 24, 2017.

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    Ibid.; Michael Sivak, “Has Motorization in the U.S. Peaked? Vehicle Ownership and Distance Drive, 1984 to 2015,” University of Michigan Transportation Research Institute, Report no. SWT-2017-4, http://www.umich.edu/∼umtriswt/PDF/SWT-2017-4.pdf, accessed February 14, 2017.

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    Ibid.

  22. 22.

    Taylor et al., “Typecasting Neighborhoods and Travelers”; Juday, “The Changing Shape of American Cities.”

  23. 23.

    Taylor et al., “Typecasting Neighborhoods and Travelers”; Lisa Rayle, et al., “Just a Better Taxi? A Survey-Based Comparison of Taxis, Transit, and Ridesourcing Services in San Francisco,” Transport Policy 45 (2016): 168–78.

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    Brad Broberg, “Where Are the New Jobs Going?” On Common Ground, Summer 2016, 4–6.

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  30. 30.

    The state of Florida, which in 1993 set concurrency standards to ensure that adequate supplies of roads and other infrastructure were in place to accommodate new growth, later introduced areawide averaging of LOS. In fast-growing cities such as Orlando, infill development was allowed even if conditions at some intersections and along some segments deteriorated as long as the overall system was working fairly well. See Ewing, “Beyond Speed.”

  31. 31.

    Todd Littman, “Multi-modal Level-of-Service Indicators: Tools for Evaluating the Quality of Transportation Services and Facilities,” in TDM Encyclopedia (Victoria, BC: Victoria Transport Policy Institute, 2015), www.vtpi.org/tdm/tdm129.htm, accessed February 14, 2017.

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    Cervero, The Transit Metropolis.

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    Reid Ewing, et al., “Traffic Generated by Mixed-Use Developments: A Six-Region Study Using Consistent Built Environmental Measures,” Journal of Urban Planning and Development 137, no. 3 (2011): 248–61; Hollie Lund, Robert Cervero, and Richard Willson, “A Re-evaluation of Travel Behavior in California TODs,” Journal of Architecture and Planning Research 23, no. 3 (2006): 247–63; Robert Cervero and G. Arrington, “Vehicle Trip Reduction Impacts of Transit-Oriented Housing,” Journal of Public Transportation 11, no. 3 (2008): 1–17; Robert Cervero, Arlie Adkins, and Catherine Sullivan, “Are Suburban TODs Over-Parked?,” Journal of Public Transportation 13, no. 2 (2010): 47–70.

  34. 34.

    Robert Cervero, “Going Beyond Travel-Time Savings: An Expanded Framework for Evaluating Urban Transport Projects” (Washington, DC: The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/The World Bank, Department for International Development, Transport Research Support Program, 2011), http://siteresources.worldbank.org/INTTRANSPORT/Resources/336291-1239112757744/5997693-1294344242332/Traveltimesaving.pdf.

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  36. 36.

    Fabio Casiroli, “The Mobility DNA of Cities,” Urban Age (December 2009): 1–3.

  37. 37.

    Cervero, “Going Beyond Travel-Time Savings.”

  38. 38.

    UN Habitat, “Global Report on Human Settlements: Planning and Design for Sustainable Urban Mobility” (Nairobi: UN Habitat, 2013).

  39. 39.

    Cervero, The Transit Metropolis; Erick Guerra, “Mexico City’s Suburban Land Use and Transit Connection: The Effects of the Line B Metro Expansion,” Transport Policy 32 (2014): 105–14.

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© 2017 Robert Cervero, Erick Guerra, and Stefan Al

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Cervero, R., Guerra, E., Al, S. (2017). Toward Sustainable Urban Futures. In: Beyond Mobility. Island Press, Washington, DC. https://doi.org/10.5822/978-1-61091-835-0_11

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