Evaluating Sanction Effectiveness
Economic coercion that places more costs on the target—especially relative to the sender—is expected to work better since that pressure should drive the target leadership to conceding to the sender’s demands. Although there have been multiple empirical studies of various aspects of this claim regarding economic sanction effectiveness, it is valuable to directly and explicitly assess what aspects of the conventional wisdom hold up under simultaneous empirical testing. The results in this chapter show that while many of the extant literature’s claims are supported, the overall accuracy of the model is not very high. This poor performance suggests that we must move beyond analyzing effectiveness and seek other answers for why sanctions are used.
KeywordsNational Security Conventional Wisdom Policy Recommendation Supplemental Policy Economic Sanction
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