Abstract
Texas is positioned to harness a demographic dividend—a productivity boost enabled by human capital investments in its outsized minority youth cohorts. To do so, I argue, Texas’ political leadership must act decisively and boldly to close achievement gaps along racial and ethnic lines and to raise college completion levels.
Drawing on selective national and international comparisons, I show that Texas is falling behind in college completion rates even as the statewide share of graduates continues to inch up. Racial and ethnic differentials are more troubling because the largest gaps correspond to the fast-growing Hispanic population. Underinvestment in higher education has created a college squeeze that will constrain Texas’ ability to harness a demographic dividend.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
Center for Public Policy Priorities (2012), Texas Investment in Higher Education Lags behind Student Needs and Workforce Demands (Center for Public Policy Priorities and Demos, August).
Combs, S. (2014), Workforce: Capitalizing on Our Human Assets, No. 96–1756 (Austin, Texas: Texas Comptroller of Public Accounts, July).
Cox, W. M. and R. Alm (2001), “Taking Stock in America: Resiliency, Redundancy and Recovery in the U.S. Economy,” 2001 Annual Report (Dallas: Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas).
Creusere, M., C. Fernandez, C. Fletcher, K. Klepfer, and E. Rice (2014), State of Student Aid and Higher Education in Texas (Round Rock, Texas: TG Research and Analytical Services).
Finney, J. E., L. W. Perna, and P. M. Callan (2012), The Performance and State Policies of Higher Education in Texas: Insights from a Five-State Policy Review Project (Philadelphia: University of Pennsylvania Graduate School of Education, National Center for Public Policy and Higher Education).
— (2014), Renewing the Promise: State Policies to Improve Higher Education Performance (Philadelphia: University of Pennsylvania Graduate School of Education, Institute for Research on Higher Education, Higher Education Policy Institute, February).
Gordon, R. J. (2013), “The Great Stagnation of American Education,” The New York Times, September 7.
Gribble, J. N. and J. Bremner (2012), “Achieving a Demographic Dividend,” Population Bulletin 67, No. 2 (Washington, DC: Population Reference Bureau, December).
Gumport, P. J., M. Iannozzi, S. Shaman, and R. Zemsky (1997), Trends in United States Higher Education from Massification to Post Massification, No. NCPI-1–04 (Stanford, CA: Stanford University, National Center for Postsecondary Improvement).
Leachman, M. and C. Mai (2014), Most States Funding Schools Less than before the Recession (Washington, DC: Center on Budget and Policy Priorities).
Livingston, G. and D. Cohn (2012), U.S. Birth Rate Falls to a Record Low; Decline Is Greatest among Immigrants (Washington, DC: Pew Research Center).
Lumina Foundation (2012), A Stronger Nation through Education (Indianapolis, IN: Lumina Foundation).
Lutz, W. and S. KC (2011), “Global Human Capital: Integrating Education and Population,” Science 333 (6042): 587–592, doi:10.1126/science.1206964.
Mackun, P. and S. Wilson (2011), Population Distribution and Change: 2000 to 2010, No. C201 0BR-01 (Washington, DC: US Census Bureau).
Mather, M. and B. Jarosz (2014), “The Demography of Inequality in the United States,” Population Bulletin 69, No. 2 (Washington, DC: Population Reference Bureau, November).
Murdock, S. H., S. White, M. N. Hoque, B. Pecotte, X. You, and J. Balkan (2003), The New Texas Challenge—Population Change and the Future of Texas (College Station: Texas A&M University Press).
National Center for Public Policy and Higher Education (2010), Measuring Up 2008: The National Report Card on Higher Education, National Center Report no. 08–4.
National Research Council (1995), Allocating Federal Funds for Science and Technology, by the Committee on Criteria for Federal Support of Research and Development (Washington, DC: National Academies Press).
OECD (2012), Education at a Glance 2012: OECD Indicators, OECD Publishing, doi:10.1787/eag-2012–56-en.
— (2013), Education at a Glance 2013: OECD Indicators, OECD Publishing.
— (2014), PISA 2012 Results: What Students Know and Can Do: Student Performance in Mathematics, Reading and Science (vol. 1, revised edition, February 2014) OECD Publishing.
Ogunwole, S. U, M. P. Drewery Jr., and M. Rios-Vargas (2012), The Population with a Bachelor’s Degree or Higher by Race and Hispanic Origin: 2006–2010, No. ACSBR/10–19 (Washington, DC: US Census Bureau, May).
Perryman Group (2007), A Tale of Two States—and One Million jobs!!—An Analysis of the Economic Benefits of Achieving the Future Goals of the “Closing the Gaps” Initiative of the Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board (Waco, TX: Perryman Group).
Ross, J. (2004), Understanding the Demographic Dividend (Washington, DC: Policy Project, Futures Group).
Ruggles, S., J. T. Alexander, K. Genadek, R. Goeken, M. B. Schroeder, and M. Sobek (2010), Integrated Public Use Microdata Series: Version 5.0 [Machine-Readable Database] (Minneapolis: University of Minnesota).
Smith, M. (2014a), “Commitment in Texas to Fiscal Restraint Adds Burden for Education,” The New York Times, July 10.
— (2014b), “Texas High School Graduation Rates Improving, Mysteriously,” The Texas Tribune, September 26.
Strayhorn, C. K. (2005), The Impact of the State Higher Education System on the Texas Economy, no. 96–768, (Austin: Texas Comptroller of Public Accounts).
Texas Education Agency (2014), Secondary School Completion and Dropouts in Texas Public Schools.
Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board [THECB] (2000), Closing the Gaps by 2015 (Austin: The Texas Higher Education Plan).
— (2014). College for all Texans: Closing the Gaps: 2014 Progress Report.
Tienda, M., and S. Alon (2007), “Diversity and the Demographic Dividend,” in The Price We Pay: Economic and Social Consequences of Inadequate Education, ed. C. Belfield and H. Levin (Washington, DC: Brookings), 48–73.
Tienda, M. and F. Mitchell, eds., (2006), Multiple Origins, Uncertain Destinies: Hispanics and the American Future (Washington, DC: National Academies Press).
Tienda, M. and T. A. Sullivan (2009), “The Promise and Peril of the Texas Uniform Admission Law,” in The Next Twenty-Five Years: Affirmative Action in Higher Education in the United States and South Africa, ed. D. L. Featherman, M. Hall, and M. Krislov (Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press), 155–174.
US Census Bureau (1970), Educational Attainment: March 1970. Current Population Reports, Series P-20(207).
WICHE (2013), “Demography as Destiny: Policy Considerations in Enrollment Management,” Policy Insights, no. 2A385 (Boulder, Colorado: Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education, April).
You, H. and L. Potter (2014), Educational Attainment Projections of the Texas Civilian Workforce, 2011–2030, no. 14–001 (The Office of the State Demographer and the Texas State Data Center at the University of Texas at San Antonio).
Editor information
Copyright information
© 2015 Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Tienda, M. (2015). Texas’ Education Challenge: A Demographic Dividend or Bust?. In: Orrenius, P.M., Cañas, J., Weiss, M. (eds) Ten-Gallon Economy. Palgrave Macmillan, New York. https://doi.org/10.1057/9781137530172_5
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1057/9781137530172_5
Publisher Name: Palgrave Macmillan, New York
Print ISBN: 978-1-349-57379-0
Online ISBN: 978-1-137-53017-2
eBook Packages: Palgrave Economics & Finance CollectionEconomics and Finance (R0)