Abstract
The papers in this volume demonstrate a variety of views about what is happening at sea in the Asia-Pacific region, but there is widespread agreement that the region is a very maritime one and that geostrategic considerations largely determine the distinctive policies that the many countries of the region adopt. Perhaps for that reason, history and the continuing sensitivity it generates, is crucial. There is, however, much diversity of view about the nature and immediate significance of the American ‘rebalance’ towards the Asia-Pacific region, and what its long-term consequences will be for the developing relationship between Washington and Beijing. Recommendations about how both sides should handle the economic, political and military dimensions of this relationship abound. In this debate the tensions between China’s anti-access/area-denial strategies and the Pentagon’s ‘Air-Sea Battle’ response will be crucial. While very aware of such dangers, the region’s leaders nonetheless realize that continued peace, not least at sea, is the greatest stake of all because that is what their prosperity and political survival depends on.
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Notes
Nick Bisley and Andrew Phillips, ‘A Rebalance to Where? US Strategic Geography in Asia’ Survival, October–November 2013, pp. 5–114.R.
Robert D. Kaplan, Asia’s Cauldron: The South China Sea and the End of a Stable Pacific (New York: Random House, 2014).
See also Zhang Min, Chinese Are Not Afraid: New Treats to Chinese Defense Security and China’s Response Strategies. (Shanghai: People’s Publishing House, 2013).
It is only fair to remark that the United States has its hawks too: Kai Liao, ‘The Pentagon and the Pivot’ Survival, 55(3), June–July 2013, pp. 95–114.
Kissinger, Address at the 8th IISS Global strategic Review Conference, Geneva, 10–12 September 2010, quoted in ‘A World Full of Fault Lines’ The Straits Times, 7 December 2010.
Qiao Xonsheng, ‘A World to Win and Little to Lose’ China Daily, 21 February 2011.
US Deputy Defense Secretary, Ashton B Carter, Remarks at the Woodrow Wilson Center, Washington, 3 October 2013.
These principles are discussed in Carlyle A. Tayer, ‘China-US Defence Ministers Meet: Not Quite a New Type of Great Power Relationship’ Tayer Consultancy Background Brief, 14 August 2013.
Jeremy Au Yong, ‘US Seeks to Balance Asia Goals, China Ties’ The Straits Times, 7 December 2013;
Mark Landler, ‘Biden Tries to Soothe Asia Tension’ International New York Times, 7–8 December 2013.
Bhagyashree Garekar, ‘US Raps China over “Destabilising” acts’ Straits Times, 2 June 2014.R.
Marcus Weisberger, ‘2 Years In, DoD Still Explaining Asia “Pivot”’ Defense News, 8 February 2014. R.
Jonathan Eyal, ‘The Problem with Obama’s Foreign Policy’ Straits Times, 2 June 2014 R;
Jeremy Au Yong, ‘Why Was Asia Lef out of the Obama Doctrine?’ The Straits Times, 30 May 2014.
CSIS, Power and Order in Asia: A Survey of Regional Expectations (Washington: CSIS, May 2014).
Micaheal Auslin, ‘China’s Regional Aggression Takes Flight’ Wall Street Journal, 26 November 2013.
Ren Xiaofeng and Cheng Xizhong, ‘A Chinese Perspective’ Marine Policy, 29(2), 2005, pp 139–146.
Tetsuo Kotani, ‘What China Wants South China Sea’ The Diplomat, 18 July 2011.
Oriana Skylar Mastro, ‘Signalling and Military Provocation in Chinese National Security Strategy’ Journal of Strategic Studies, April 2011, pp 219–244, p. 220.
Mark Valencia, ‘The Impeccable Incident: Truth and Consequences’ China Security, Spring 2009.
Justin McCurry, ‘Japan’s PM Tries to Reinterpret Constitution to Overturn Pacifst Policy’ The Guardian, 1 July 2014.
Shinzo Abe, ‘Peace and Prosperity in Asia, Forevermore’ Keynote address, Shangri La Dialogue, 30 May 2014.
Alexander Vuving ‘Did China Blink in the South China Sea?’ The National Interest, 27 July 2014. http://nationalinterest.org/feature/did-china-blink-the-south-china-sea-10956?page=show
Michael Auslin, ‘The Abe-Obama balancing Act’ The Wall Street Journal, 7–9 November 2014.
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© 2015 Geoffrey Till
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Till, G. (2015). Conclusions?. In: Till, G. (eds) The Changing Maritime Scene in Asia: Rising Tensions and Future Strategic Stability. Palgrave Pivot, London. https://doi.org/10.1057/9781137506320_11
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1057/9781137506320_11
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