Abstract
The durability of authoritarianism in Belarus is an anomaly by world standards. Various studies have noted that Belarus’s regime has significantly exceeded the average lifespan of comparable authoritarian regime types elsewhere around the globe. In July 2014, the Belarusian political regime had outlived the average comparable political regime by between 1 and 17 years, depending on the definition of such regimes.1 This stability is particularly puzzling in the regional post-communist context, where electoral protests toppled authoritarian incumbents in Slovakia, Croatia, Serbia, Georgia, Ukraine and Kyrgyzstan (see Bunce and Wolchik, 2011; Hale, 2015).2 Belarus too has experienced conditions apparently advantageous for democratization, including an opposition that has tried to imitate successful mobilization strategies from other countries, popular support for democracy, a relatively high level of economic development, a skilled workforce and geographical proximity to Europe. Despite circumstances similar to those in countries that have overthrown authoritarian regimes, Belarus’ trajectory has diverged from that taken in Ukraine (Burant, 1995; Kuzio and Nordberg, 1999; Korosteleva, 2004; Way, 2010).
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Annex: List of interview partners
Full interview transcripts (in Russian, Polish and German) are available upon request from the author.
Abramova, Olga: Co-president of the Movement of Supporters for Democratic Reform in the early 1990s;member of parliament (1996–2008); since 1997, chairwoman of Iabloko, a Belarusian sister organization to the Russian Iabloko, a liberal party.
Akudovich, Valentin: Philosopher and writer, has taught at the Belarusian Collegium and elsewhere. He has written extensively about Belarusian national identity.
Buival, Valerii: Politician representing the Conservative Christian Party of the Belarusian People’s Front.
Chausov (Chavusau), Iurii: Political scientist, legal expert for the Assembly of NGOs of Belarus, the country’s largest association of pro-democratic civil-society organizations.
Feduta, Aleksandr: Contributed to Aleksandr Lukashenko’s 1994 election campaign and briefly worked in the presidential administration until 1995. Afterward, he mainly worked as a journalist. In 2005, he published the first biography of the Belarusian president, called Lukashenko: A Political Biography. Since the presidential elections in 2010, he has served as a political advisor to Vladimir Neklaev, leader of the Speak the Truth Movement.
Kaliakin, Sergei: Leader of the oppositional Belarusian left-wing party ‘A Just World’.
Krishtapovich, Lev. Vice-director of the Informational-Analytical Center of the Presidential Administration. Prof Essor, historian and philosopher. Helped develop the official Belarusian state ideology in 2002–03.
Manaev, Oleg: Prof Essor of sociology, co-founder of IISEPS, Belarus’s main independent opinion pollster.
Milinkevich, Aleksandr: Nominated by the Congress of Democratic Forces as the opposition unity candidate for the 2006 presidential elections. Withdrew his candidacy in the 2010 elections. Leader of the For Freedom Movement.
Pazniak, Zianon: One of the founders of the Belarusian People’s Front in 1988. Until his exile in 1996, he was leader of the BPF parliamentary group. Serves as leader in exile of the Conservative Christian Party of the Belarusian People’s Front.
Pigarev, Sergei: Deputy chairman of the Belaia Rus’ republican public association, which functions as a quasi-party of power, although it is not registered as such. A total of 63 of the 110 deputies elected to parliament in 2012 are members of Belaia Rus’.
Rymashevskii, Vitalii. Co-President of Belarusian Christian-Democracy (BChD). Presidential candidate in the 2010 presidential elections.
Shevtsov, Iurii: Historian, analyst, political technologist. Head of the Center for Issues of European Integration in Minsk. Author of the book United Nation: The Phenomenon of Belarus.
Trusov, Oleg: Head of the Frantsishak Skaryna Belarusian Language Society since 1999. An archeologist by education, he was a member of parliament from 1990–1996. Co-founder of the Belarusian People’s Front and the Belarusian Social Democratic Assembly.
Viachorka, Franak: Youth leader and media manager. Was a member of Young Front and chairman of the youth organization of the BPF (Partiia BNF). In 2006 he was a staff member in Alexander Milinkevich’s campaign.
Viachorka, Vintsuk: One of the founders and a leader of the Belarusian People’s Front (Partiia BNF) from 1999 to 2007.
Iaroshchuk, Aleksandr: Since 2002, has served as leader of the Belarusian Congress of Democratic Trade Unions, the primary umbrella group for state-independent trade unions in Belarus.
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Burkhardt, F. (2016). Concepts of the Nation and Legitimation in Belarus. In: Brusis, M., Ahrens, J., Wessel, M.S. (eds) Politics and Legitimacy in Post-Soviet Eurasia. Palgrave Macmillan, London. https://doi.org/10.1057/9781137489449_7
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