Abstract
Part of the basic philosophy of sound management is that moment by moment every “good thing,” every acquired asset, every business relationship stands on the razor’s edge of change. Often, though by no means always, the aftereffects of that change are unpredictable, while their timing and direction are not evident in advance. This is particularly true when one or more political decisions trigger that change. Still prognostication is vital; hence the need for forecasts.
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Notes
Bank of America Merrill Lynch, Global Energy Weekly, April 19, 2011.
D. N. Chorafas, Basel III, the Devil and Global Banking (London: Palgrave Macmillan, 2012).
Nathan Miller, F.D.R.: An Intimate History (New York: New American Library, 1983).
Anthony Everitt, Cicero: A Turbulent Life (London: John Murray, 2001).
Ian Davidson, Voltaire in Exile (London: Atlantic Books, 2004).
Irvin Unger and Debi Unger, The Guggenheims: A Family History (New York: HarperCollins, 2005).
D. N. Chorafas, Science and Technology (Springer Verlag, Cham, Heidelberg, New York, London, 2015).
In my research I have found that the divisor of notional principal in times of crisis to replacement value varies between 5 and 6. See D. N. Chorafas, Alternative Investments and the Mismanagement of Risk (London: Palgrave Macmillan, 2003) and
D. N. Chorafas, Credit Derivatives and the Management of Risk (New York: New York Institute of Finance, 2000).
Simon Johnson and James Kwak, 13 Bankers: The Wall Street Takeover and the Next Financial Meltdown (New York: Pantheon, 2010).
Georges Pompidou, Le Noeud Gordien (Paris : Plon, 1974).
Eric Hobsbawm, Age of Extremes: 1914–1991 (London: Abacus/Little Brown, 1995).
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© 2015 Dimitris N. Chorafas
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Chorafas, D.N. (2015). Be Ready for the “Unthinkable”. In: Business Efficiency and Ethics. Palgrave Macmillan, New York. https://doi.org/10.1057/9781137484253_5
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1057/9781137484253_5
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