Skip to main content

Rivalry Persistence and the Case of the United States and Russia: From Global Rivalry to Regional Conflict

  • Chapter
Russia’s Coercive Diplomacy

Abstract

Researchers have noted that a certain group of states account for a disproportionate amount of conflict in the international system.1 These states are rivals, or long-standing enemies, addicted to reducing gains for the other side and apt to challenge the goals of their rival. We now know that rivals are highly dispute prone, experience frequent territorial disputes, and can disrupt international and regional power systems. Despite progress, current theories regarding the termination of rivalries appear incomplete because they ignore domestic factors and the “principal” rivalry concept. Our central premise in this chapter argues that theories of rivalry termination are underdeveloped and fail to account for the settlement of outstanding issues and sources of rivalry persistence at the domestic level of analysis. If both the issues at stake in a rivalry remain unsettled and perceptions continue to be adversarial, the rivalry situation will persist. If the rivalry situation persists, an important context that dictates foreign policy action is in operation. This provides the context for Russia’s use of new foreign policy tactics. Our argument is that the rivalry between Russia and US continues but has shifted in scope and fits with the reduced reliance on conventional forms of power.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 119.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Hardcover Book
USD 159.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Notes

  1. Diehl, P. and G. Goertz. 2000. War and Peace in International Rivalry (Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press).

    Google Scholar 

  2. Thompson, W. 2001. “Identifying Rivals and Rivalries in World Politics.” International Studies Quarterly 45: 557–586.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  3. Huth, P., D. Bennett, and C. Gelpi. 1992. “System Uncertainty, Risk Propensity, and International Conflict Among the Great Powers.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 36: 478.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  4. Senese, P. and J. Vasquez. 2008. The Steps to War: An Empirical Study (Princeton: Princeton University Press).

    Book  Google Scholar 

  5. Goertz, G. and P. Diehl. 1995. “The Initiation and Termination of Enduring Rivalries: The Impact of Political Shocks.” American Journal of Political Science 39: 30–52.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. Goertz, G., B. Jones, and P. Diehl. 2005. “Maintenance Processes in International Rivalries.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 49(5): 742–769.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  7. McGinnis, M. and J. Williams. 1989. “Change and Stability in Superpower Rivalry.” American Political Science Review 83: 1101–1123.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  8. Bennett, D.S. 1998. “Integrating and Testing Models of Rivalry Duration.” American Journal of Political Science 42(4): 1200–1232.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  9. Cioffi-Revilla, C. 1998. “The Political Uncertainty of Interstate Rivalries: A Punctuated Equilibrium Model” in P. Diehl, ed. The Dynamics of Enduring Rivalries (Urbana: University of Illinois Press).

    Google Scholar 

  10. Eckstein, H. 1975. “Case Study and Theory in Political Science” in Handbook of Political Science, Volume 7, F. Greenstein and N. Polsby, eds. (Reading, Massachusetts: Addison-Wesley Publishing).

    Google Scholar 

  11. Valeriano, B. 2003. Steps to Rivalry: Power Politics and Rivalry Formation. PhD Dissertation, Vanderbilt University, Chapter 7.

    Google Scholar 

  12. Thompson, W. 1995. “Principal Rivalries.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 39(2): 195–223.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  13. Rogov, S. 1999. “Russia and the United States at the Threshold of the Twenty-First Century.” Russian Social Science Review 40(3): 12–49.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  14. George, A. L. and A. Bennett. 2005. Case Studies and Theory Development in the Social Sciences (Cambridge: Mass., MIT Press).

    Google Scholar 

  15. Mayers, T. 1991. Understanding Weapons and Arms Control: A Guide to the Issues (Washington, D.C.: Brassey’s).

    Google Scholar 

  16. Midlarsky, M., J. Vasquez, and P. Gladkov, eds. 1994. From Rivalry to Cooperation: Russian and American Perspectives on the Post-Cold War Era (New York: HarperCollins College Publishers).

    Google Scholar 

  17. Levy, J. 1994. “Learning and Foreign Policy: Sweeping the Conceptual Minefield.” International Organization 48(2): 279–312.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  18. Adomeit, H. 1998. “Russian National Security Interests” in R. Allison and C. Bluth, eds. Security Dilemmas in Russia and Eurasia (London: Royal Institute of International Affairs).

    Google Scholar 

  19. Kubicek, Paul. 1999. “Russian Foreign Policy and the West.” Political Science Quarterly 114(4): 547–568.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  20. Vasquez, J. 1994. “Building Peace in the Post-Cold War Era” in M. Midlarsky, J. Vasquez, and P. Gladkov, eds. From Rivalry to Cooperation: Russia and American Perspectives on the Post-Cold War Era (New York City: Longman Publishers).

    Google Scholar 

  21. Mansbach, Richard W. and John A. Vasquez. 1981. In Search of Theory (Princeton: Princeton University Press).

    Google Scholar 

  22. Nygren, Bertil. 2008. The Rebuilding of Greater Russia: Putin’s Foreign Policy towards the CIS Countries (New York: Routledge).

    Google Scholar 

  23. Way, Lucan. 2008. “The Real Causes of the Color Revolutions.” Journal of Democracy 19(3): 55–69.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  24. Cornell, Svante and Frederick Starr, eds. 2009. The Guns of August 2008: Russia’s War with Georgia (New York: ME Sharpe).

    Google Scholar 

  25. Chamerlain-Creanga, Rebecca and Lyndon K. Allin. 2010. “Acquiring Assets, Debts and Citizens: Russia and the Micro-Foundations of Transnistria’s Stalemated Conflict.” Demokratizatsiya 18 (4).

    Google Scholar 

  26. Tsygankov, Andrei P. 2010. Russian Foreign Policy: Change and Continuity of National Identity (New York: Rowman and Littlefield, 2nd Edition).

    Google Scholar 

  27. Protsyk, Oleh and Benedict Harzl, eds. 2013. Managing Ethnic Diversity in Russia (London: Routledge).

    Google Scholar 

  28. Solana, J. 1999. “NATO’s success in Kosovo.” Foreign Affairs 78(6): 114–120.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  29. Mendeloff, D. 2008. “Pernicious History as a Cause of National Misperceptions: Russia and the 1999 Kosovo War.” Cooperation and Conflict 43(1): 31–56.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  30. Russett, B. and Stam, A. 1998. “Courting Disaster: An Expanded NATO vs. Russia and China.” Political Science Quarterly 113(3): 361–382.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  31. Vasquez, J. 1993. The War Puzzle (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press).

    Book  Google Scholar 

  32. Holsti, Ole R. 1992. “Public Opinion and Foreign Policy: Challenges to the Almond-Lippmann Consensus Mershon Series: Research Programs and Debates.” International Studies Quarterly 36(4): 439–436.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  33. Page, Benjamin I. and Robert J. Shapiro. 1992. The Rational Public: Fifty Years of Trends in Americans’ Policy Preferences (Chicago: University of Chicago Press).

    Book  Google Scholar 

  34. Putnam, Robert D. 1988. “Diplomacy and Domestic Politics: The Logic of Two-Level Games.” International Organization 42(3): 427–460.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  35. Bueno de Mesquita, Bruce and Randolph M. Siverson. 1995. “War and the Survival of Political Leaders: A Comparative Study of Regime Types and Political Accountability.” American Political Science Review 89(4): 841–855.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  36. Mor, Ben D. 1997. “Peace Incentives and Public Opinion: The Domestic Context of Conflict Resolution.” Journal of Peace Research 34(2): 197–215.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  37. Colaresi, Michael. 2005. Scare Tactics: The Politics of International Rivalry (Syracuse: Syracuse University Press).

    Google Scholar 

  38. Goertz, Gary, Bradford Jones, and Paul F. Diehl. 2005. “Maintenance Processes in International Rivalries.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 49(5): 742–769.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  39. Klein, James P., Gary Goertz, and Paul F, Diehl. 2006. “The New Rivalry Dataset: Procedures and Patterns.” Journal of Peace Research 43(3), 331–348.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  40. Maness, Ryan C. and Brandon Valeriano. 2012. “Russia and the Near Abroad: Applying a Risk Barometer for War.” Journal of Slavic Military Studies 25 (2).

    Google Scholar 

  41. Ziegler, Charles E. 2009. “Russia and the CIS in 2008.” Asian Survey 49(1): 135–145.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  42. Monaghan, Andrew. 2012. “The Vertikal: Power and Authority in Russia.” International Affairs 88(1): 1–16.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  43. Nygren, Bertil. 2008. “Putin’s Use of Natural Gas to Reintegrate the CIS Region.” Problems of Post-Communism 55(4): 3–15.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  44. Spyer, Jonathan. 2007. “Europe and Iraq: Test Case for the Common Foreign and Security Policy.” Middle East Review of International Affairs 11 (2): Article 7.

    Google Scholar 

  45. Mankoff, J. 2009. Russian Foreign Policy: The Return of Great Power Politics (Lanham, M.D.: Rowman & Littlefield Publishers).

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Copyright information

© 2015 Brandon Valeriano and Ryan C. Maness

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Maness, R.C., Valeriano, B. (2015). Rivalry Persistence and the Case of the United States and Russia: From Global Rivalry to Regional Conflict. In: Russia’s Coercive Diplomacy. Palgrave Macmillan, London. https://doi.org/10.1057/9781137479440_3

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics