Abstract
The ability to realize sustainable performance over longer periods of time is an essential outcome parameter in strategic management, and another important performance characteristic, not often taken into consideration, is the riskiness of the income stream. The research on the relationships between performance and risk outcomes typically measures performance as the mean value and realized risk as the standard deviation of return measures, such as the accounting-based ratio return on assets (ROA). Based on such mean-variance measures of performance outcomes, Bowman (1980) found a predominantly negative relationship between risk and return across most industries. Since, this finding was at odds with the common assumptions about higher returns associated with more risky business activities; it was referred to as a “risk-return paradox” or simply the “Bowman paradox”. The existence of this risk-return paradox has received much scrutiny in management literature over the years, and the possible explanations that have been presented can largely be categorized around those that are based on prospect theory, on statistical artifacts, and on good management conduct (e.g. Andersen et al., 2007).
This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution.
Buying options
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Learn about institutional subscriptionsPreview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
Adner R, Helfat C. (2003). Corporate effects and dynamic managerial capabilities. Strategic Management Journal 24: 1011–1025.
Andersen TJ, Bettis RA. (2013). Exploring longitudinal risk-return relationships. Strategic Management Journal, forthcoming.
Andersen TJ, Denrell J, Bettis RA. (2007). Strategic responsiveness and Bowman’s Risk-Return Paradox. Strategic Management Journal 28: 407–429.
Andrews K. (1971). The Concept of Strategy. Irwin: Homewood, IL.
Barney JB. (1986). Strategic factor markets: Expectations, luck, and business strategy. Management Science 32: 1231–1241.
Barney JB. (2001). Is the resource-based view a useful perspective for strategic management research? Yes. Academy of Management Review 26: 41–56.
Bartram SM. (2000). Corporate risk management as a lever for shareholder value creation. Financial Markets, Institutions and Instruments 9: 279–324.
Bazerman MH. (1984). The relevance of Kahneman and Tversky’s concept of framing to organizational behavior. Journal of Management 10: 333–343.
Bettis RA, Mahajan V. (1985). Risk/return performance of diversified firms. Management Science 31: 785–799.
Bettis RA, Hitt M. (1995). The new competitive landscape. Strategic Management Journal 16(1): 7–19.
Bower JL. (1982). Managing the Resource Allocation Process. Harvard Business School Press: Boston, MA.
Bower JL, Gilbert CG (eds). (2005). From Resource Allocation to Strategy. Oxford University Press: Oxford, UK.
Bowman EH. (1980). A risk-return paradox for strategic management. Sloan Management Review Spring: 17–31.
Bowman EH. (1982). Risk seeking by troubled firms. Sloan Management Review Summer: 33–43.
Bromiley P. (1991). Testing a casual model of corporate risk taking and performance. Academy of Management Journal 34: 37–59.
Brown SJ, Goetzmann W, Ibbotson RG, Ross SA. (1992). Survivorship bias in performance studies. Review of Financial Studies 5(4): 553–580.
Cool K, Dierickx I, Jemison D. (1989). Business strategy, market structure and risk-return relationships: A structural approach. Strategic Management Journal 10: 507–522.
Cyert RM, March JG. (1963). A Behavioral Theory of the Firm. Prentice Hall: Englewood Cliffs, NJ.
Denrell J. (2004). Random walks and sustained competitive advantage. Management Science 50(7): 922–934.
Elton EJ, Gruber MJ, Blake CR. (1996). Survivor bias and mutual fund performance. Review of Financial Studies 9(4): 1097–1120.
Fiegenbaum A, Thomas H. (1986). Dynamic and risk measurement perspectives on Bowman’s risk-return paradox for strategic management: An empirical study. Strategic Management Journal 7: 395–407.
Fiegenbaum A, Thomas H. (1988). Attitudes toward risk and the risk-return paradox: Prospect theory explanations. Academy of Management Journal 31: 85–106.
Fiegenbaum A, Hart S, Schendel D. (1996). Strategic reference point theory. Strategic Management Journal 17(2): 219–235.
Fishhoff B, Watson SR, Hope C. (1984). Defining risk. Policy Sciences 17: 123–139.
Gooding RZ, Goel S, Wiseman RM. (1996). Fixed versus variable reference points in the risk-return relationship. Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization 29: 331–350.
Hartman S, Nelson BH. (1996). Group decision making in the negative domain. Group and Decision Management 21: 146–162.
Heath C, Tversky A. (1991). Preference and belief: Ambiguity and competence in choice under uncertainty. Journal of Risk and Uncertainty 4: 5–28.
Helfat CE, Finkelstein S, Mitchell W, Peteraf MA, Singh H, Teece DJ, Winter SG. (2007). Dynamic Capabilities: Understanding Strategic Change in Organizations. Blackwell Publishing: Malden, MA.
Henderson AD, Benner MJ. (2000). The evolution of risk and return in highvelocity settings. Academy of Management Best Paper Proceedings. Toronto, Canada.
Henkel J. (2000). The risk-return falacy. Schmalenbach Business Review 52: 363–373.
Henkel J. (2009). The risk-return paradox for strategic management: Disentangling true and spurious effects. Strategic Management Journal 30: 287–303.
Hofer C, Schendel D. (1978). Strategy Formulation: Analytical Concepts. West Publishing: St. Paul, MN.
Jegers M. (1991). Prospect theory and the risk-return relation: Some Belgian evidence. Academy of Management Journal 34: 215–225.
Kahneman D, Tversky A. (1979). Prospect theory: An analysis of decisions under risk. Econometrica 47: 263–291.
Kahneman D, Tversky A. (1984). Choices, values, and frames. American Psychologist 39: 341–350.
Lehner JM. (2000). Shifts of reference points for framing of strategic decisions and changing risk-return associations. Management Science 46: 63–76.
March JG, Shapira Z. (1987). Managerial perspectives on risk and risk taking. Management Science 33: 1404–1418.
March JG, Shapira Z. (1992). Variable risk preferences and the focus of attention. Psychological Review 99: 172–183.
Miller KD. (1998). Economic exposure and integrated risk management. Strategic Management Journal 19(5): 497–514.
Miller KD, Bromiley P. (1990). Strategic risk and corporate performance: An analysis of alternative risk measures. Academy of Management Journal 33: 756–779.
Miller KD, Chen W. (2003). Risk and firms’ costs. Strategic Organization 1: 355–382.
Miller KD, Chen W. (2004). Variable organizational risk preferences: Tests of the March-Shapira model. Academy of Management Journal 47: 105–115.
Mintzberg H. (1978). Patterns in strategy formation. Management Science 24(9): 934–948.
Mintzberg H. (1994). The fall and rise of strategic planning. Harvard Business Review 72(1): 107–114.
Oviatt BM, Bauerschmidt AD.(1991). Business risk and return: A test of simultaneous relationships. Management Science 37: 1405–1423.
Pablo AL, Sitkin SB, Jemison DB. (1996). Acquisition decision-making processes: The central role of risk. Journal of Management 22: 723–746.
Palmer TB, Wiseman RM. (1999). Decoupling risk taking from income stream uncertainty: A holistic model of risk. Strategic Management Journal 20(11): 1037–1062.
Pennings J. (1987). Structural contingency theory: A multivariate test. Organization Studies 8: 223–240.
Porter M. (2008). The five competitive forces that shape strategy. Harvard Business Review 86(1): 78–93.
Ruefli TW. (1990). Mena-variance approaches to the risk-return relationship in strategy: Paradox lost. Management Science 36: 368–380.
Ruefli TW, Collins JM, LaCugna JR. (1999). Risk measures in strategic management research: Auld lang syne? Strategic Management Journal 20(2): 167–194.
Ruefli TW, Wiggins RR. (1994). When mean square error becomes variance: A comment on ‘Business risk and return: a test of simultaneous relationships’. Management Science 40: 750–759.
Shapira Z. (1995). Risk Taking: A Managerial Perspective. Russell Sage: New York.
Siggelkow N. (2001). Change in the presence of fit: The risk, the fall, and the renaissance of Liz Claiborne. Academy of Management Journal 44: 838–857.
Sinha T. (1994). Prospect theory and the risk return association: Another look. Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization 24: 225–585.
Sitkin SB, Pablo AL. (1992). Reconceptualizing the determinants of risk behavior. Academy of Management Review 17: 9–38.
Sneier R, Miccolis J. (1998). Enterprise risk management. Strategy and Leadership 26: 11–16.
Teece DJ. (2007). Explicating dynamic capabilities: The nature and microfoun-dations of (sustainable) enterprise performance. Strategic Management Journal 28: 1319–1350.
Teece DJ, Pisano G, Shuen A. (1997). Dynamic capabilities and strategic management. Strategic Management Journal 18(7): 509–533.
Tversky A, Kahneman D. (1986). Rational choice and the framing of decisions. Journal of Business 59: S251–S278.
Wang H, Barney JB, Reuer JJ. (2003). Stimulating firm-specific investment through risk management. Long Range Planning 36: 49–59.
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Copyright information
© 2014 Torben J. Andersen and Richard A. Bettis
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Andersen, T.J., Bettis, R.A. (2014). The Risk-Return Outcomes of Strategic Responsiveness. In: Andersen, T.J. (eds) Contemporary Challenges in Risk Management. Palgrave Macmillan, London. https://doi.org/10.1057/9781137447623_4
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1057/9781137447623_4
Publisher Name: Palgrave Macmillan, London
Print ISBN: 978-1-349-49625-9
Online ISBN: 978-1-137-44762-3
eBook Packages: Palgrave Business & Management CollectionBusiness and Management (R0)