Out of the Blue: The Campaign in Retrospect
The Conservative election victory of 2015 overturned many expectations. It had been widely expected that the fragmentation of the party system would produce yet another hung parliament, out of which would emerge another coalition or post-election deal. The era of one-party majority government seemed to be over. David Cameron’s victory also belied predictions — made, for example, by Mervyn King, the Governor of the Bank of England — that the measures needed to deal with the economy would be so unpopular that they would keep the winner of the 2010 election out of office for a generation.1
KeywordsElectoral System Vote Share Party System Election Campaign Labour Government
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- 5.Andrew Gamble, ‘The Economy’ in Andrew Geddes and Jon Tonge (eds), Britain Votes 2015. Oxford University Press, 2015.Google Scholar
- 54.Curtice, Fisher and Ford, ‘Appendix 2’, pp. 410–17. See also M. Thrasher, G. Borisyuk, C. Rallings and R. Johnston, ‘Electoral Bias at the 2010 General Election: Evaluating its Extent in a Three-Party System’, Electoral Studies, 21(2) (2011): 279–94.Google Scholar
- 64.J. Curtice, ‘So What Went Wrong with the Electoral System? The 2010 Election Result and the Debate about Electoral Reform’, Parliamentary Affairs, 68(suppl 1) (2010), 623–38.Google Scholar
- See C. Soper and J. Rydon, ‘Under-Representation and Electoral Prediction’, Australian Journal of Politics and History, 4(1) (1958): 94–106.Google Scholar