Conclusion

Abstract

This book has presented a coherent study of social conflict in Indonesia that evaluates the grievance and greed theories of conflict. It has also attempted to determine the socio-economic factors causing four types of conflict in contemporary Indonesia. It is hypothesized that the breakdown of the social contract is a sufficient condition for the outbreak of violent conflicts such as secessionist and ethno-religious conflicts. This study has utilized a variety of research methodologies in its data collection and empirical exercises. The data collection includes a specifically constructed electoral hostility index incorporating information from 282 Indonesian districts, based on a database of electoral conflict compiled mainly from newspaper reports. Empirically, the study employs different regression techniques, including poisson, negative binomial, logistic, ordered logistic, ordinary least square (OLS) and two-stage least square (2SLS).