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Legacy

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Abstract

When Barack Obama was inaugurated in January 2009, America’s relative position in the world had declined. There was little doubt as to its predominant power, but the social legitimacy of its economic model was now questioned, criticized, and even challenged. The power was still there. However, its foundations had been shaken. In September 2008, the United States had been struck by a terrible and unexpected financial crisis, the shock of which allowed candidate Obama to take the lead over his Republican rival in the presidential race.1 Aside from damaging the American and then the global economy in a matter of weeks, the subprime crisis called into question the legitimacy of the American financial capitalism and its underlying deregulatory logic dating back to the 1990s. The German finance minister at the time predicted that the United States was going to lose its “superpower status in the global financial system,” resulting in the emergence of a multipolar system where the dollar would lose its predominance to the benefit of the euro, yen, and yuan.2 A British political analyst was even more categorical in his assessment that “the era of American global leadership, reaching back to the Second World War, is over.”3 The governor of the Central Bank of China subtly echoed these statements in March 2009 by contending for the first time that the dollar’s role as reserve currency presented more drawbacks than advantages.4

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Notes

  1. Alan Greenspan, The Age of Turbulence: Adventures in a New World (New York: Penguin Press, 2007).

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  4. The dollar’s exorbitant privilege arises from the fact that since US external debt is denominated in dollars, any depreciation of the dollar automatically reduces the US current account deficit. Each percentage point of dollar depreciation yields a transfer of resources to the United States that is equivalent to a one half-percentage point of GNP. See Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, and Hélène Rey, From World Banker to World Venture Capitalist: US External Adjustment and The Exorbitant Privilege, NBER Working Papers Series, August 2005. http://www.nber.org/papers/w11563.pdf;

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  8. I borrow this comparison from Janos Kornai, “Ten Years after ‘The Road to a Free Economy’: The Author’s Self-Evaluation,” Paper for the World Bank Annual Bank Conference on Development Economics-ABCDE, Washington DC, April 18–20, 2000, 25.

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© 2012 Zaki Laïdi

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Laïdi, Z. (2012). Legacy. In: Limited Achievements. The Sciences Po Series in International Relations and Political Economy. Palgrave Macmillan, New York. https://doi.org/10.1057/9781137020871_1

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