Abstract
This War Prediction, from Charles Edward Russell, an American journalist and socialist, was made not in 1941 but in 1921, twenty years before the attack on Pearl Harbor.1
As to the chances of war between the United States and Japan, if you listen to the talk in the foreign clubs and circles of the Orient, especially wherever the banner of England flies, there is no chance about it. When I was in Shanghai they were betting even money that it would come in six months and three to two that it would come within a year.
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Notes
Charles Edward Russell, “The Japanese-American Relations,” The Japan Review, Vol. 5, No. 11 (September 1921), reprinted from New World, 207.
Captain Mizuno Hironori, “Can Japan and America Fight?” The Living Age, translated from Chuo Koron, Vol. 29 (August 11, 1923), 254–260.
Kenneth Scott Latourette, “Japan: Suggested Outlines for Discussion of Japan, Her History, Culture, Problems, and Relations with the United States,” printed by Townsend Harris Endowment Fund Committee of the Japan Society, New York, seventh edition, 1934–1935, Kenneth Scott Latourette Papers, YDSL, 29–30. Eleanor Tupper and George E. McReynolds, Japan in American Public Opinion (New York: MacMillan Company, 1937), 155.
James Reed, The Missionary Mind and American East Asia Policy, 1911–1915 (Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 1983).
James Thomson, Sentimental Imperialists (New York: Harper Collins, 1981).
Margaret MacMillan, Paris, 1919 (New York: Random House, 2002), 320–322.
Rodney Gilbert, “Downfall of Tsao the Mighty: Minister Literally Bites the Dust,” The North China Herald, May 10, 1919, 348–349.
Quoted in Jay Martin, The Education of John Dewey (New York: Columbia University Press, 2002), 317.
John Dewey and Alice Chapman Dewey, Letters from China and Japan, Evelyn Dewey, ed. (New York: E.P. Dutton and Company, 1920), 308.
Jessica China-Sze Wang, “John Dewey as a Learner in China,” Education and Culture, Vol. 21, No. 1 (2005), 69–70. C.F. Remer, “John Dewey’s Responsibility for American Opinion,” Millard’s Review, Vol. 13 (July 10, 1920), 321–322.
MacMillan, Paris, 1919, 326.
K.K. Kawakami, “China and Japan at the Washington Conference,” The Japan Review, Vol. 6, No. 1–2 (January–February 1922), 17.
Editorial, “The Chinese Inconsistencies,” The Japan Review, Vol. 5, No. 14 (December 1921), 253.
John Dewey, China, Japan and the USA: Present-Day Conditions in the Far East and Their Bearing on the Washington Conference, New Republic Pamphlet No. 1 (New York: Republic Publishing Company, November 12, 1921), 7.
Nathaniel Peffer, “The Playground of the Spoilers: Would War with Japan Solve the Far-Eastern Problem?” The New Century (January 1922), 380–384.
Count Soyeshima Michimasa, “The Relations between America and Japan,” The Japan Review, Part 1, Vol. 5, No. 10 (August 1921), 174–175.
Sakatani Yoshiro, “Why War between Japan and the United States Is Impossible,” The Japan Review, Vol. 5, No. 11 (September 1921), 193.
T. Okamoto, “American-Japanese Issues and the Anglo-Japanese Alliance,” The Contemporary Review, Vol. 119, No. 663 (March 1921), 358.
Stefan Tanaka, Japan’s Orient: Rendering Pasts into History (Berkeley: University of California Press, 1993), Chapters 3–4. Soyeshima, “The Relations,” 203.
Mark Caprio, “Japanese and American Images of Koreans,” Trans-Pacific Relations: America, Europe, and Asia in the Twentieth Century, Richard Jensen, Jon Thares Davidann, and Yone Sugita, eds. (Westport, CT: Praeger, 2003), 106–112. See also Jon Thares Davidann, A World of Crisis and Progress: The American YMCA in Japan, 1890–1930, 131–137.
“Editorial Comment,” Physical Training (Published by the Physical Director’s Society of the YMCA, New York), Vol. 10, No. 6 (April 1913), 172.
Letter, Franklin H. Brown, National Committee of the YMCA of Japan, Tokyo to Elwood S. Brown, New York, KFYMCA, 2–3.
Russell, “The Japanese-American Relations,” 208. Soyeshima, “The Relations,” Part 2, 202.
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© 2007 Jon Thares Davidann
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Davidann, J.T. (2007). War Talk and John Dewey: Tensions concerning China. In: Cultural Diplomacy in U.S.-Japanese Relations, 1919–1941. Palgrave Macmillan, New York. https://doi.org/10.1057/9780230609730_4
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