Abstract
In February 2007 U.S.-North Korean relations ostensibly took a sudden turn for the better, ironically despite (or because of) North Korea’s nuclear test on October 9, 2006.1 To a large extent because of Chinese mediation, the six-party talks then began in November 2006; between February 8 and 13, 2007, all parties (China, the United States, Russia, Japan, South Korea, and North Korea) finally agreed to implement the joint statement of September 19, 2005.2
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Notes
Audra Ang, “North Korean Nuclear Talks Break Down,” Associated Press, March 23, 2007. The Russians blamed the Americans for not assuring the Chinese banks that it would not be illegal to deal with the bank transfer. The Americans blamed technical problems.
David E. Sanger and William J. Broad, “U.S. Concedes Uncertainty on North Korean Uranium Effort,” March 1, 2007.
David E. Sanger and Norimitsu Onishi, “U.S. to Hold Direct Talks in North Korea on Arms,” New York Times, June 21, 2007.
Ralph C. Hassig and Kongdan Oh, “North Korea: A Rogue State Outside the NPT Fold,” Foreign Policy Agenda, March 2005. http://usinfo.state.gov/journals/itps/0305/ijpe/kongdan.htm.
Nicholas Eberstadt, “North Korea Triumphs Again in Diplomacy,” American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research, October 2005. http://www.aei.org/publications/pubID.23277/pub_detail.asp.
David E. Sanger, “In North Korea and Pakistan: Deep Roots of Nuclear Barter,” New York Times, November 24, 2002. http://www.fas.org/irp/threat/missile/rumsfeld/pt2_wright.htm.
Yoel Sano, “Talks Aside, North Korea Won’t Give Up Nukes,” Asian Times On Line, March 2, 2004. http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Korea/FCO2Dg04.html.
Bruce Klingner, “China Shock for South Korea,” Asian Times On line, September 11, 2004, http://www.atimes.com/atimes/korea/FI11Dg03.html (accessed on March 30, 2006).
Yoshinori Takeda, “Putin’s Foreign Policy toward North Korea,” International Relations of the Asia-Pacific (March 3, 2006): 1411. http://irap.oxfordjournals.org/cgi/content/abstract/lci141v1.
Sieff Martin, “Putin’s China Visit Shifts Power,” March 23, 2006. http://www.america-russia.nedeng/geopolitics/113619502.
Alexander Vorontsov, “FOCUS: Economic Engagement with N. Korea Becoming Reality: Expert,” Japan Economic Newswire, March 14, 2006. http://asia.news.yahoo.com/060314/kyodo/d8gb1p7o0.html.
Darryl Howlen, “A Concert of the Willing: A New Means for Denuclearising the Korean Peninsula,” in Nuclear Non-Proliferation: The Transatlantic Debate, ed. Ettore Greco, Giovanni Gasparni, and Riccardo Alcaro IAI Quaderni (February 2006).
Bruce B. Auster and Kevin Whitelaw, “Upping the Ante for Kim Jong II: Pentagon Plan 5030, a New Blueprint for Facing Down North Korea,” US News and World Report (July 21, 2003). http://www.usnews.com/usnews/news/articles/030721/21korea.htm.
Erich Marquardt, “U.S. Struggles to Place Pressure on North Korea,” PINR, March, 23 2005). http://www.pinr.com/report.php?ac=view_report&report_id=281&language_id=1.
Todd Walters, “The Fourth Round of Six-Party Talks.” PINR, September 5, 2005.http://www.pinr.com/report.php?ac=view_report&report_id=360&languageid=1.
Moon Ihlwan, “Bridging the Korean Economic Divide,” Business Week (March 7, 2006). http://www.businessweek.com/globalbiz/\content/mar2006/gb20060307_843108.htm.
Choe Sang-Hun, “Roh Warns U.S. over N. Korea: Blunt Speech Shows Rift between allies,” International Herald Tribune, January 26, 2006.
Cameron Stewart, “Dirty Secrets of the Soprano State,” The Australian, March 11, 2006. The Sopranos is an American TV show about a mafia family.
Donald Kirk, “Back from China, Kim Jong Il Eyes Ally’s Success—and Largess,” Christian Science Monitor, January 19, 2006. http://www.csmonitor.com/2006/0119/p04s01-woap.html?s=widep.
Michael E. O’Hanlon, “‘A Master Plan’ to Deal with North Korea,” Brookings Policy Brief, No. 114 (January 2003). http://www.brookings.edu/comm/policybriefs/pb114.htm.
Bruce Klingner“China Shock for South Korea,” Asian Times On line, September 11, 2004. http://www.atimes.com/atimes/korea/FI11Dg03.htm1.
On rising tensions in Asia, see ibid, chapter 6. See also Colin Robinson and Rear Adm. (Ret.) Stephen H. Baker, “Stand-off with North Korea: War Scenarios and Consequences,” Center for Defense Information, June 26, 2003. For a theoretical discussion of major power war in Asia,
see Aaron L. Friedberg, “The Future of U.S.-China Relations; Is Conflict Inevitable?” International Security (Fall 2005).
Professor Shi Yinhing of Beijing’s Renmin University put it this way: “A North Korea alienated from China would allow the U.S. military to ignore the Korean peninsula in any conflict with China over Taiwan. … If there is a confrontation with Taiwan and the (U.S. Navy’s) 7th Fleet, what value then can North Korea have? Minimal value if it collapses … So it is not denuclearization that is China’s number one goal. Number one is peace on the Korean peninsula.” See Jim Landers, “China in a Delicate Position Regarding Future of Long-Time Ally North Korea,” Dallas Morning News, January 6, 2006. http://www.miami.com/mld/miamiherald/13555490.htm.
Howard W. French, “Letter from China: Is the U.S. Plunging into ‘Historical Error’?” International Herald Tribune, June 1, 2006.
Human Rights Watch, “China: Curbs on Lawyers Could Intensify Social Unrest” (December 12, 2006). http://hrw.org/english/docs/2006/12/12/china14791_txt.htm. In effect, the more China takes the “capitalist road,” the more it is confronted with internal dissent, particularly directed at local and provincial authorities.
See Andrew Wedeman in Sujian Guo, ed., China’s “Peaceful Rise” in the 21st Century (Burlington, VT: Ashgate, 2006).
Anita Chan, “Made in China: Wal-Mart Union,” Yale Global, October 12, 2006. On multinational corporate investments in China and related loss of 2.8 to 3 million manufacturing jobs,
see Walden Bello, Dilemmas of Domination (London: Zed Books, 2005), 93–97.
Matt Benjamin and Julianna Goldman, “Paulson Is Attacked for Softer Stance on Yuan Policy,” Updatel, Bloomberg (December 20, 2006).
On ethanol, see Antoaneta Bezlova, “China: Food First, Not Fuel” (IPS) Jun 15, 2007. Toshiba of Japan spent $5.4 billion in 2006 to acquire the U.S. Westinghouse Electric in part in expectation of the huge China nuclear market.
Ariana Eunjung Cha, “China Embraces Nuclear Future,” Washington Post, May 29, 2007. http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/05/28/AR2007052 801051_pf.html. On problems in the nuclear industry in southeast Asia, see: http://www.isn.ethz.ch/news/sw/details.cfm?ID=17896.
Richard Spencer, “Tension Rises as China Scours the Globe for Energy,” November 19, 2004. http://www.independent.org/newsroom/article.asp?id=1892.
Hajime Izumi and Katsuhisa Furukawa, “Not Going Nuclear: Japan’s Response to North Korea’s Nuclear Test,” Arms Control Today (June 2007).
Chietigj Bajpaee, “Strategic Interests Pull Japan and India Together,” February 16, 2007, http://www.pinr.com.
Stephen Blank, “China’s Energy Crossroads” Perspective (Volume 16, Number 3 May 2006), http://www.bu.edu/iscip/vol16/blank2.html.
Spencer, “Tension Rises as China Scours the Globe for Energy.” Daily Telegraph (November 19, 2004).
Joseph Kahn, “China Shows Assertiveness in Weapons Test,” New York Times, January 20, 2006. See also Xuetang Guo, in Sujian Guo, ed., China’s “Peaceful Rise” in the 21st Century, p. 161.
Kurt M. Campbell; Jeremiah Gertler, The Paths Ahead: Missile Defense in Asia CSIS (March 2006) http://www.csis.org/media/csis/pubs/0603_pathsahead.pdf.
David DeVoss, “Deal or No Deal: The Complicated Business of Defending Taiwan,” Weekly Standard, November 28, 2006.
Douglas E. Streusand, “Geopolitics versus Globalization,” in Sam J. Tangredi, ed., Globalization and Maritime Power, National Defense University, 2002. http://www.ndu.edu/inss/Books/Books 2002/GlobalizationandMaritimePowerDec02/01_toc.htm.
Simon Romero, “Chávez Moves to Nationalize Two Industries,” New York Times, January 9, 2007.
Quoted in Gal Luft, “In Search of Crude China goes to the Americas,” Institute for the Analysis of Global Security: Energy Security, January 18, 2005. http://www.iags.org/n0118041.htm.
Jim Rutenberg and Larry Rohter, “Bush and Chávez Spar at Distance over Latin Visit,” New York Times, March 10, 2007.
Edmund L. Aandrews and Larry Rohter, “U.S. and Brazil Seek to Promote Ethanol in West,” New York Times, March 2, 2007.
Lester R. Brown, “Plan B 2.0,” Earth Policy Institute, 2006. http://www.earth-policy.org/Books/PB2/Contents.htm.
Juan Forero, “Colombia’s Coca Survives U.S. Plan to Uproot It,” New York Times, August 19, 2006. http://www.iht.com/articles/2006/08/19/americalweb.0819coca.php; http://www.cmu.edu/clips/v212.html — link. In 2004 John Walters, the head of the Office of National Drug Control Policy, stated that the $3.3 billion Plan Colombia begun in 2000 had failed to make a significant dent in the amount of cocaine flowing out of that country. Ted Galen Carpenter, “Yet Another Drug War Failure,” August 13, 2004. http://www.cato.org/pub_display.php?pub_id=2783. In 2000, U.S. consumers spent an estimated $36.1 billion on cocaine.
For background, see Cynthia J. Arnson and Teresa Whitfield in Grasping the Nettle, eds. Crocker, Hampson, and Aall (Washington, DC: United States Institute of Peace Press, 2005).
Georges Estievenart, “Opium in and from Afghanistan,” World Political Forum, (October 27, 2006). See “U.S. Fails to Reduce Opium Crop,” International Herald Tribune (August 26, 2007).
Samuel Huntington. “The Hispanic Challenge,” Foreign Policy (March/April 2004).
See also critique of Huntington’s position: Philippa Strum and Andrew Selee, “The Hispanic Challenge? What We Know About Latino Immigration” Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars (March 29, 2004) http://www.wilsoncenter.org/topics/pubs/HispChall.pdf.
For an overview of immigration from Nicaragua, El Salvador, and Guatemala during the 1980s, see Ruth Ellen Wasem “Central American Asylum Seekers: Impact of 1996 Immigration Law,” Congressional Research Center (Updated November 21, 1997). http://digital.library.unt.edu/govdocs/crs//data/1997/upl-meta-crs-463/97–810epw_1997Nov21.pdf?PHPSESSID=e6fec1d875a24eed7972ff3cdb30541 a.
Matthew Continetti, The Weekly Standard, June 5, 2006.
For background on Congressional positions (June 14, 2007) see “Key Issues in the Immigration Reform Debate,” http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/nation/documents/immigration_primer_060807.html?hpid=topnews#overview. Darryl Fears, “Guest-Worker Program Part of Government’s Immigration Plan,” Washington Post (March 30, 2007, A08).
In September 2006, Department of Homeland Security (DHS) awarded initial contracts — worth upwards of $2 billion — for the high-tech surveillance technology along border region to weapons giant Boeing. Secure Border Strategic Plan of the DHS estimated the total costs for equipment, logistics, and manpower at $7.6 billion though FY 2011, but still was not certain. See Frida Berrigan, “Militarizing the Border” Foreign Policy in Focus (April 12, 2007) http://www.fpif.org/fpiftxt/4146.
See comments of the governor of Arizona, Janet Napolitano, “Don’t Forget the Border,” New York Times, June 1, 2007.
For details, see Gordon H. Hanson, “Why Does Immigration Divide America? Public Finance and Political Opposition to Open Borders,” The Center for Comparative Immigration Studies Working Paper 129, December 2005, pp. 5–6.
Kristin F. Butcher Anne Morrison Piehl, “Why are Immigrants’ Incarceration Rates So Low? Evidence on Selective Immigration, Deterrence, and Deportation” Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago November 2005 http://www.chicagofed.org/publications/workingpapers/wp2005_19.pdf.
Siobhan Gorman, “New Border Security System Raises Cost-Benefit Concerns,” National Journal (May 30, 2003). http://www.govexec.com/dailyfed/0503/053003nj1.htm. As Gorman observes: “A recent Justice Department inspector general’s report found that the INS was able to kick out just 13 percent of foreigners who had not been detained after being issued final deportation orders. The INS successfully deported just 6 percent of those undetained foreigners who came from countries declared to be state sponsors of terrorism.”
El Diario/La Prensa, March 6, 2006, cited by Saurav Sarkar, “The False Debate over ‘Broken Borders,’” FAIR (May/June 2006). http://www.fair.org/index.php?page=2896.
Stuart Anderson, “The Impact of Agricultural Guest Worker Programs on Illegal Immigration,” The National Foundation for American Policy, November 2003. http://www.nfap.com/researchactivities/studies/Nov_studyl.pdf.
Ted Robbins, “San Diego Fence Provides Lessons in Border Control,” National Public Radio, April 6, 2006. http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyld=5323928.
See Jerry Seper, “Al-Qaida Seeks Tie to Local Gangs,” Washington Times, September 28, 2004. http://www.washtimes.com/national/20040928–123346-3928r.htm.
See Mandalit del Barco, “International Reach of the Mara Salvatrucha,” National Public Radio, All Things Considered, March 17, 2005. http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyld=4539688.
David Leonhardt, “Immigrants and Prison,” New York Times (May 30, 2007) http://www.nytimes.com/2007/05/30/business/301eonside.html. See also Kristin F. Butcher Anne Morrison Piehl, op.cit.
PEW Hispanic Center, “America’s Immigration Quandry,” March 30, 2006, pp. 1–2.
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© 2007 Hall Gardner
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Gardner, H. (2007). North Korea: Beyond “Backdoor” Multilateralism. In: Averting Global War. Palgrave Macmillan, New York. https://doi.org/10.1057/9780230608733_8
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