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Part of the book series: Palgrave Texts in Econometrics ((PTEC))

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Abstract

Consider once again the basic trend-cycle UC decomposition y t = μ t + ɛ t , but where the trend component now follows the process

$${\mu _t} = \beta \left( {{m_t}} \right) + {\mu _{t - 1}} = {\beta _0} + {\beta _1}{m_t} + {\mu _{t - 1}}$$
((5.1))

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© 2003 Terence C. Mills

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Mills, T.C. (2003). Nonlinear and Nonparametric Trend Modelling. In: Modelling Trends and Cycles in Economic Time Series. Palgrave Texts in Econometrics. Palgrave Macmillan, London. https://doi.org/10.1057/9780230595521_5

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