Abstract
In the 1960s when today’s explosion of high technology first began, we were wowed by the “ape” scene in the classic movie, 2001: Space Odyssey. The scene dramatically captures the fundamental power of technology to drive human progress, a power we are rediscovering daily. It is one of the great icons of the Information Age.
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Halal, “The Life Cycle of Evolution: A Macro-Technological Analysis of Civilization’s Progress” Journal 0f Future Studies (August 2004) Vol. 9, No. 1, pp. 59–74.
See William E. Halal, The In finite Res0urce: Creating & Leading the Kn0wledge Enterprise (San Francisco: Jossey-Bass, 1998).
Ray Kurzweil, The Singularity is Near ( NY: Penguin Books, 2005 ).
Mihail C. Roco and William Sims Bainbridge, Converging Technologies (Arlington, Virginia: National Science Foundation and Department of Commerce, 2002 ).
Publications on technology are popular now, but we are not aware of others that provide such comprehensive, authoritative forecasts. Some of the best recent works include David R. Howell, The Global Technology Revolution 2020 (Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 2006 ), The UN Millennium Project conducted by Jerome Glenn and Ted Gordon; and the trends provided by Marvin Cetron of Forecasting International. However, none of these sources contain actual forecasts.
Halal, William E. et al. The GW Forecast of Emerging Technologies. Technological Forecasting & Social Change (1998) Vol. 59, pp. 89–110.
Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitezwitz, “Prediction Markets,” Journal of Economic Perspectives (Spring 2004) 18:2 pp. 107–126.
Laitner, John. Energy Impact of Emerging Technologies ( Washington, DC: Environmental Protection Agency, 2004 ).
Halal, The New Capitalism: Business and S0ciety in the Inf0rmati0n Age ( NY: Wiley, 1986 ).
See “The GW Forecast of Emerging Technologies,” Op. Cit. and “Emerging Technologies,” The Futurist (Nov—Dec 1997); reprinted in O’Meara et al. (eds) Globalization and the Challenges of a New Century (Indiana University Press, 2000).
Halal, “The Coming Conflict Between Science and Spirit,” Thinking Creatively in Turbulent Times (2004).
Among the most prominent of these modern day prophets is Willis Harman, author of Global Mind Change (Indianapolis, IN: Knowledge Systems, Inc., 1988 ).
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© 2008 William E. Halal
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Halal, W.E. (2008). Introduction: Guiding Technology’s Promise. In: Technology’s Promise. Palgrave Macmillan, London. https://doi.org/10.1057/9780230582538_1
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1057/9780230582538_1
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