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Abstract

Behind the whole argument about first-strike strategies was a crisis of identity for the military, and particularly for the Air Force. Such strategies offered the last best hope of fighting a nuclear war according to established military concepts. The idea of counter-force attacks could be traced to the early doctrines of strategic air bombardment and this provided a sense of continuity with former days. Apart from the problems created for the Western Alliance, if no feasible method could be found of executing a first strike successfully, the Air Force would be left without a means of engaging in a war that could bring victory in any plausible or tolerable way.

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  1. Charles Hitch and Roland N. McKean, The Economics of Defense in the Nuclear Age (Cambridge: Harvard University Press, 1960).

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  3. Sir Solly Zuckerman, ‘Judgement and control in modern warfare’, Foreign Affairs, xxxx:2 (January 1962), p. 208.

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  4. Dr. Samuel Glasstone, The Effects of Nuclear Weapons (US Atomic Energy Commission, 1957) is the most authoritative compilation.

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  5. Albert Wohlstetter, ‘Strategy and the natural scientists’, in Robert Gilpin and Christopher Wright (ed.), Scientists and National Policy Making (New York: Columbia University Press, 1964), pp. 189, 193, 195.

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  7. John von Neumann and Oskar Morgenstern, Theory of Games and Economic Behavior (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1944).

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  8. The most thorough critique of the methods adopted by the new strategists is to be found in Philip Green, Deadly Logic: The Theory of Nuclear Deterrence (Columbus, Ohio: Ohio State University Press, 1966). See also Rapaport’s Strategy and Conscience. For critiques of the critics see D. G. Brennan’s review of Rapaport’s book, Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, xxi:12 (December 1965), and Hedley Bull, ‘Strategic studies and its critics’, World Politics (July 1968).

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  9. Hedley Bull, The Control of the Arms Race (London: Weidenfeld & Nicolson, 1961), p. 48.

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  10. See Glenn Snyder, ‘“Prisoner’s Dilemma” and “Chicken” models in international polities’, International Studies Quarterly, xv:1 (March 1971).

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© 2003 Lawrence Freedman

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Freedman, L. (2003). The Formal Strategists. In: The Evolution of Nuclear Strategy. Palgrave Macmillan, London. https://doi.org/10.1057/9780230379435_12

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