Abstract
Predicting the future has a long history. In European culture it can be traced back to prehistoric versions of astronomy, codified in Stonehenge and the Nebra Sky Disk. The notions of a well-ordered cosmos, of cyclical time, are intimately linked with the belief in a future that can be divined (Gould, 1987; Eliade, 1991).
How is it possible to expect that mankind will take advice, when they will not so much as take warning?
Jonathan Swift
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© 2011 Fabian Wagner
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Wagner, F. (2011). Modelling Transnational Environmental Risks: Scenarios for Decision Support. In: Franco, C.d., Meyer, C.O. (eds) Forecasting, Warning and Responding to Transnational Risks. Palgrave Macmillan, London. https://doi.org/10.1057/9780230316911_5
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1057/9780230316911_5
Publisher Name: Palgrave Macmillan, London
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