Abstract
The concept of interest rate parity is an important component of the macroeconomic analysis for open economies and one of the basic models used in international finance. The validation of interest parity has important implications for both international corporate finance decisions and international investments. Interest rate parity has been developed in two forms, known as covered interest parity (CIP) and uncovered interest parity (UIP), which provide simple relationships between money market variables, more specifically interest rates, and foreign exchange market prices.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
Bakshi, G., Naka, A. (1997) On the Unbiasedness of Forward Exchange Rates, Financial Review, 32: 145–62.
Bekaert, G. (1995) The Time-Variation of Expected Returns and Volatility in Foreign Exchange Markets, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 12: 115–38.
Bekaert, G., Hodrick, B. (1993) On Biases in the Measurement of Foreign Exchange Risk Premiums, Journal of International Money and Finance, 12: 115–38.
Bollen, N. P. B., Gray, S. F., Whaley, R. E. (2000) Regime Switching in Foreign Exchange Risk Premiums, Journal of Econometrics, 94: 29–276.
Cairns, J., Ho, C., McCauley, R. (2007) Exchange Rates and Global Volatility: Implications for Asia-Pacific Currencies, BIS Quarterly Review, March 2007, 41–52.
Copeland, L. (2005) Exchange Rates and International Finance, Fourth Edition, Harlow, England: Pearson Education Limited.
Dewachter, H. (2001) Can Markov Switching Models Replicate Chartist Profits in the Foreign Exchange Market? Journal of International Money and Finance, 20: 25–41.
Dooley, M. P., Isard, P., (1980) Capital Controls, Political Risk and Deviations from Interest-Rate Parity, Journal of Political Economy, 88: 370–84.
Engel, C., Hamilton, J. D. (1990) Long Swings in the Dollar: Are they in the Data and do Markets Know it? American Economic Review, 80: 689–713.
Engel, C. (1994) Can the Markov Switching Model Forecast Rates?, Journal of International Economics, 36, pp. 151–65.
Fama, E. (1984) Forward and Spot Exchange Rates, Journal of Monetary Economics, 14: 319–38.
Flood, R. P., Taylor, M. P. (1997) Exchange Rate Economics: What’s Wrong with the Conventional Macro Approach? in J. A. Frenkel, G. Galli, and A. Giovannini (eds): The Microstructure of Foreign Exchange Markets, Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
Flood, R., Rose, A. (1996) Fixes: Of the Forward Discount Puzzle, Review of Economics and Statistics, 78: 748–52.
Frenkel, J. A., (1981) Flexible Exchange Rates, Prices and the Role of ‘News’: Lessons from the 1970s, Journal of Political Economy, 89: 665–705.
Herring, R. J., Marston, R. C. (1976) The Forward Market and Interest Rates in the Eurocurrency and National Money Markets in C. H. Stern, J. H. Makin, and D.E. Logue (eds): Eurocurrencies and the International Monetary System, Washington: American Enterprise Institute.
Huisman, R., Mahieu, R. J. (2006) Revisiting Uncovered Interest Rate Parity: Switching between UIP and the Random Walk, ERIM Report Series Reference No. ERS-2007-001-F&A. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=957412.
Ichiue, H., Koyama, K. (2008) Regime Switches in Exchange Rate Volatility and Uncovered Interest Parity. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1106790.
Isard, P. (1978) Exchange-Rate Determination: A Survey of Popular Views and Recent Models, in: Princeton Studies in International Finance, No. 42.
Isard, P. (1988) Exchange Rate Modeling: An Assessment of Alternative Approaches, in R. C. Bryant, D. W. Henderson, G. Holtham, P. Hooper, and S. A. Symansky (eds): Empirical Macroeconomics for Interdependent Economies, Washington: Brookings Institution, pp. 183–201.
Isard, P. (2006) Uncovered Interest Parity, IMF Working Paper, WP/06/96, April 2006.
Krasker, W. S., (1980): The Peso Problem in Testing the Efficiency of Forward Exchange Markets, Journal of Monetary Economics, 6: 269–76.
Levich, R. M., (1985) Empirical Studies of Exchange Rates: Price Behavior, Rate Determination and Market Efficiency, in R. W. Jones and P. B. Kenen, (eds): Handbook of International Economics, Amsterdam: North-Holland.
Lewis, K. K., (1988) The Persistence of the Peso Problem when Policy is Noisy, Journal of International Money and Finance, 7: 5–21.
Lewis, K. K., (1989) Changing Beliefs and Systematic Rational Forecast Errors with Evidence from Foreign Exchange, American Economic Review, 79: 621–36.
Lothian, J. R., Wu, L. (2003) Uncovered Interest Rate Parity over the Past Two Centuries (June 12, 2003). Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=585462.
McCallum, B. T. (1994) A Reconsideration of the Uncovered Interest Parity Relationship, Journal of Monetary Economics, 33: 105–32.
Mussa, M. (1979) Empirical Regularities in the Behaviour of Exchange Rates and Theories of the Foreign Exchange Market, Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Vol.11, pp. 9–57.
Mussa, M. (1990) Exchange Rates in Theory and Reality, Essays in International Finance, No. 179, Princeton: International Finance Section, Department of Economics, Princeton University.
Rogoff, K. (1980) Tests of the Martingale Mode for Foreign Exchange Future Markets, Essays on Expectations and Exchange Rate Volatility, doctoral dissertation, Cambridge, MA: Massachusetts Institute of Technology.
Taylor, M.P, (1989) Covered Interest Arbitrage and Market Turbulence, Economic Journal, 99: 376–91.
Wu, Y., Zhang, H. (1997) Forward Premiums as Unbiased Predictors of Future Currency Depreciation, Journal of International Money and Finance, 16: 609–23.
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Copyright information
© 2010 Alexandra Horobet, Sorin Dumitrescu and Dan Gabriel Dumitrescu
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Horobet, A., Dumitrescu, S., Dumitrescu, D.G. (2010). Implications of Volatility for Uncovered Interest Parity Testing. In: Matousek, R. (eds) Money, Banking and Financial Markets in Central and Eastern Europe. Palgrave Macmillan Studies in Banking and Financial Institutions. Palgrave Macmillan, London. https://doi.org/10.1057/9780230302211_12
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1057/9780230302211_12
Publisher Name: Palgrave Macmillan, London
Print ISBN: 978-1-349-31211-5
Online ISBN: 978-0-230-30221-1
eBook Packages: Palgrave Economics & Finance CollectionEconomics and Finance (R0)