Abstract
Weather-related disasters are usually seen as ‘here today-gone tomorrow’ events. However, the effects they have on the prospects for development can unlock cumulative cycles of disadvantage. Although they have immense immediate costs in terms of lives lost and impaired livelihoods, weather-related shocks also have many other intrinsic costs, which often go unnoticed as far as policy is concerned. For example, although the loss of assets during a flood, drought or cyclone is a terrible event in its own right, it also has the potential to leave people more exposed to future vulnerability. Droughts can have a huge immediate toll on poverty, but they also have the potential to deplete the household’s productive potential. Similarly, if people are forced to lower their calorie intake, this can leave children more susceptible to illness, exacerbating already existing low levels of nutrition and poor health conditions.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
Ai, C. and Norton, E. C. (2003). “Interaction Terms in Logit and Probit Models.” Economics Letters, 80 (1): 123–29.
Alderman, H., Hoddinott, J., and Kinsey, B. (2006). “Long-Term Consequences of Early Childhood Malnutrition.” Oxford Economic Papers, vol. 58 (3): 450–74.
Alderman, H., Behrman, J. R., Lavy, V., and Menon, R. (2001). “Child Health and School Enrollment: A Longitudinal Analysis.” Journal of Human Resources, vol. 36 (91): 185–205.
Baez, J. and Santos, I. (2007). “Children’s Vulnerability to Shocks: Hurricane Mitch in Nicaragua as a Natural Experiment.” Mimeo, Harvard University.
Banerjee, A. V., Bénabou, R., and Mookherjee, D. (2006). Understanding Poverty. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
Barrett, C. B. and McPeak, J. G. (2006). “Poverty Traps and Safety Nets.” In Poverty, Inequality and Development: Essays in Honor of Erik Thorbecke. Economic Studies in Inequality, Social Exclusion and Well-Being: 131–54.
Batterbury, S. and Warren, A. (2001). “The African Sahel 25 Years after the Great Drought: Assessing Progress and Moving towards New Agendas and Approaches.” Global Environmental Change, vol. 11: 1–8.
Buttenheim, A. (2006). “Flood Exposure and Child Health in Bangladesh.” California Center for Population Research, University of California Los Angeles, Working Paper. Available at: http://www.ccpr.ucla.edu/ccprwpseries/ccpr_022_06.pdf
Carter, M., Little, P., Mogues, T., and Negatu, W (2005). “Shocks, Sensitivity and Resilience: Tracking the Economic Impacts of Environmental Disaster on Assets in Ethiopia and Honduras.” Development and Comp Systems, The Economic Working Paper Archive.
Case, A., Fertig, A. and Paxson, C. (2005). “The Lasting Impact of Childhood Health and Circumstance.” Journal of Health Economics, vol. 24 (2): 365–89.
Chhibber, A. and Laajaj, R. (2006). “Disasters, Climate Change, and Economic Development in Sub-Saharan Africa: Lessons and Directions. “ World Bank, Independent Evaluation Group, Evaluation Brief 3.
Chiburis, R. and Lokshin, M. (2007). “Maximum Likehood and Two-Step Estimation of an Ordered-Probit Selection Model”. Stata Journal, vol. 7 (2).
Christiaensen, L. and Alderman, H. (2001). Child Malnutrition in Ethiopia: Can Maternal Knowledge Augment the Role of Income? World Bank, Africa Region, Working Paper No. 22. Available at: http://www.worldbank.org/afr/wps/wp22/wp22-l.pdf
Collier, P. et al. (2003). Breaking the Conflict Trap: Civil War and Development Policy. World Bank, Policy Research Report. Available at: http://econ.worldbank.org/prr/CivilWarPRR/
Collier, P., Elliott, V. L., Hegre, H., Hoeffler, A., Reynal, M., and Sambanis, N. (2003). Breaking the Conflict Trap: Civil War and Development Policy. World Bank Research Report. Washington D.C: The World Bank.
Conning, J. and Deb, P. (2007). “Impact Evalution for Land Property Rights Reforms.” Hunter College Department of Economics Working Papers 419, Hunter College: Department of Economics.
CRED (2006). “Disaster Data: A Balanced Perspective.” CRED Crunch Newsletter, issue 4, February 2006. Available at: http://www.em-dat.net/documents/CREDCRUNCH4-feb2006.pdf
Currie, J. and Moretti, E. (2005). “Biology or Destiny? Short and Long Run Determinants of Intergenerational Transmission of Birthweight.” NBER Working Paper.
De Janvry, A., Sadoulet, E., Solomon, P., and Vakis, R. (2006). “Protecting Vulnerable Children from Uninsured Risk: A New Role for Conditional Cash Transfer Programs?” Available at: http://are.berkeley.edu/~sadoulet/papers/CCTandUninsuredRisk.pdf
De Onis, M. and Blossner, M. (2003). “The World Health Organization Global Database on Child Growth and Malnutrition: Methodology and Applications.” International Journal of Epidemiology, 32 (4): 518–26.
Delap, E. (2000). “Urban Children’s Work During and After the 1998 Floods in Bangladesh.” Development in Practice, vol. 10 (5): 662–73.
Dercon, S. (2004). “Growth And Shocks: Evidence from Rural Ethiopia.” Journal of Development Economics, 74: 309–29.
Dercon, S. (2005). “Vulnerability: A Micro Perspective.” Paper presented at the Annual Bank Conference on Development Economics. Available at: http://www.economics.ox.ac.uk/members/stefan.dercon/vulnerability.pdf
Dercon, S. and Hoddinott, J. (2004). “Health, Shocks, and Poverty Persistence,” in Insurance against Poverty, ed. S. Dercon. Oxford: Oxford University Press, pp. 124–37.
Dendir, S. (2007). “Household Shocks and Child Labour in Rural Malawi.” Economics Bulletin, vol. 4 (1): 1–8.
Fafchamps, M., Udry, C., and Czukas, K. (1998). “Drought and Saving in West Africa: Are Livestock a Buffer Stock?” Journal of Development Economics, vol. 55: 273–305.
Fuentes, R., Pfütze, T., Seek P. (2006). “Does Access to Water and Sanitation Affect Child Survival? A Five-Country Analysis.” Human Development Report Occasional Paper, UNDP, New York.
Gitau, R., Makasa, M., Kasonka, L., Sinkala, M., Chintu, C, Tomkins, A., and Filteau, S. (2005). “Maternal Micronutrient Status and Decreased Growth of Zambian Infants Born During and After the Maize Price Increases Resulting from the Southern African Drought of 2001–2002.” Public Health Nutrition, vol. 8 (7): 837–43.
Glewwe, P. W, Jacoby, H. G., and King, E.M. (2001). “Early Childhood Nutrition and Academic Achievement: A Longitudinal Analysis.” Journal of Public Economics, vol. 81 (3): 345–68.
Guha, D., Hargitt, D., and Hoyois P. (2004). Thirty Years of Natural Disasters 1974–2003: The Numbers. Belgium: Presses universitaires de Louvain, 188.
Guarcello, L., Mealli, F., and Rosati, F. (2003). “Household Vulnerability and Child Labour: the Effect of Shocks, Credit Rationing and Insurance,” UCW Working Paper 3, Understanding Children’s Work (UCW Project).
Handa, S. and Peterman, A. (2007). “Child Health and School Enrollment: A Replication.” Journal of Human Resources, XLII: 863–880.
Hoddinott, J. and Kinsey, B. (2000). “Adult Health in the Time of Drought,” International Food Policy Research Institute, Discussion Paper. Available at: http://www.ifpri.org/divs/fcnd/dp/papers/dp79.pdf
Jacoby, H. and Skoufias. E. (1997). “Risk, Financial Markets, and Human Capital in a Developing Country.” Review of Economic Studies, vol. 64 (3): 311–35.
Jayachandran, S. (2006). “Air Quality and Early Life Mortality: Evidence from Indonesia’s Wildfires.” Available at: http://www.stanford.edu/~jayachan/indo_fires.pdf
Jukes, M. (2006). “Early Childhood Health, Nutrition and Education.” Background paper prepared for the Education for All Global Monitoring Report 2007: Strong Foundations: Early Childhood Care and Education.
Little, P., Stone, M., Mogues, T., Castro, A., and Negatu, W (2006). “‘Moving in Place’: Drought and Poverty Dynamics in South Wollo, Ethiopia.” Journal of Development Studies, vol. 42 (2): 200–25.
Lustig, N. (2000). Crises and the Poor: Socially Responsible Macroeconomics. Sustainable Development Department, Technical Papers Series. IADB, Washington, DC, February.
Maccini, S. and Yang, D. (2009). “Under the Weather: Health, Schooling, and Economic Consequences of Early-Life Rainfall.” American Economic Review, vol. 99 (3), 1006–26.
Maluccio, J., Hoddinott, J., Behrman, J., Martorell, R., Quisumbing, A., and Stein, A. (2006). The Impact of Nutrition during Early Childhood on Education among Guatemalan Adults. Middlebury College, Department of Economics, Working Paper Series.
Mayer-Foulkes, D. (2006). “The Human Development Trap in Mexico.” Innovations in Health Financing, Working Paper Series.
Morris, S., Neidecker-Gonzales, O., Carletto, C., Munguía, M., and Medina, J. (2002). “Hurricane Mitch and the Livelihoods of the Rural Poor in Honduras.” World Development, vol. 30 (1): 49–60.
Morduch, J. (1998). Between the Market and State: Can Informal Insurance Patch the Safety Net?, Development Discussion Paper No. 621. Harvard Institute for International Development, Harvard University.
Owens, T., Hoddinott, J., and Kinsey, B. (2003). “Ex-Ante Actions and Ex-Post Public Responses to Drought Shocks: Evidence and Simulations from Zimbabwe.” World Development, vol. 31 (7): 1239–55.
Ravindranath, M., Venkaiah, K., Vishnucardhana Rao, M., Arlappa, N., Gal Reddy, C., Mallikharjuna Rao, K., Kumar, S., Brahmam, G., and Vijayaraghavan, K. (2005). “Effect of Drought on Nutritional Status of Rural Community in Karnataka.” Journal of Human Ecology, vol. 18 (3): 245–52.
Rose, E. (1999). “Consumption Smoothing and Excess Female Mortality in Rural India.” The Review of Economics and Statistics, vol. 81 (1): 41–49.
Rukumnuaykit, P. (2003). “Crises and Child Health Outcomes: The Impacts of Economic and Drought/Smoke Crises on Infant Mortality and Birthweight in Indonesia.” Department of Economics, Michigan State University, Research Paper.
Sen, A. (2003). “Development as Capability Expansion” in Readings in Human Development, eds. S. Fukuda-Parr and A. K. Shiva-Kumar. Oxford University Press: New Delhi.
Skoufias, E. (2003). “Economic Crises and Natural Disasters: Coping Strategies and Policy Implications.” World Development, vol. 31 (7): 1087–1102.
Van der Gaag, J. (2003). From Child to Human Development. Faculty of Economics. University of Amsterdam.
Wooldridge, J. M. (2002). Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data. Cambridge, MA; London, The MIT Press.
Yamano, T., Alderman, H., and Christiaensen, L. (2005). “Child Growth, Shocks, and Food Aid in Rural Ethiopia.” American Journal of Agricultural Economics, vol. 87 (2): 273–88.
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Copyright information
© 2010 United Nations Development Programme
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Fuentes-Nieva, R., Seck, P.A. (2010). The Short- and Medium-Term Human Development Effects of Climate-Related Shocks: Some Empirical Evidence. In: Fuentes-Nieva, R., Seck, P.A. (eds) Risk, Shocks, and Human Development. Palgrave Macmillan, London. https://doi.org/10.1057/9780230274129_7
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1057/9780230274129_7
Publisher Name: Palgrave Macmillan, London
Print ISBN: 978-1-349-58785-8
Online ISBN: 978-0-230-27412-9
eBook Packages: Palgrave Social Sciences CollectionSocial Sciences (R0)