Skip to main content

The Midwest

Middle America’s Margins

  • Chapter
Winning the White House 2008
  • 22 Accesses

Abstract

As the 2004 presidential election drew to a close, electoral pundits and strategists were transfixed on the state of Ohio. Early exit polls had indicated that John Kerry might actually come out ahead in the Buckeye state and with it the 20 electoral votes that would determine the Electoral College margin. In the end, Ohio would eventually swing by three points to George W. Bush at the center of the most competitive region in the country in which Ohio and the Midwest mirrored the three-point national popular vote margin that gave President Bush a second term.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 39.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 54.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 54.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Notes

  1. V. O. Key, Jr., “A Theory of Critical Elections,” in Jerome Chubb and Howard Allen, eds., Electoral Change and Stability in American Political History (New York: Free Press, 1971).

    Google Scholar 

  2. Kristi Anderson, The Creation of a Democratic Majority, 1928–1936 (Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Press, 1979).

    Google Scholar 

  3. Taylor Dark, The Unions and the Democrats (Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press, 1999).

    Google Scholar 

  4. Everett Carll Ladd, Jr. with Charles D. Hadley, Transformations of the American Party System: Party Coalitions from the New Deal to the 1970s (New York: Norton, 1975).

    Google Scholar 

  5. Kevin Phillips, The Emerging Republican Majority (Garden City, NY: Anchor Books, 1970).

    Google Scholar 

  6. Edward G. Carmines and James A. Stimson, Issue Evolution: Race and the Transformation of American Politics (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 1989).

    Google Scholar 

  7. John Petrocik, Party Coalitions: Realignment and the Decline of the New Deal Party System (Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Press, 1981).

    Google Scholar 

  8. Theodore White, America in Search of Itself: The Making of the President, 1956–1980 (New York: Harper and Row, 1982).

    Google Scholar 

  9. Ruy Teixeira and Joel Rogers, America’s Forgotten Majority: Why the White Working Class Matters (New York: Basic Books, 2000).

    Google Scholar 

  10. Katherine Tate, From Politics to Protest: The New Black Voter in American Elections (Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 1994).

    Google Scholar 

  11. Jeffrey Stonecash, Class and Party in American Politics (Boulder, CO: Westview Press, 2000).

    Google Scholar 

  12. Robert Huckfeldt and Carol Weitzel Kohfeld, Race and the Decline of Class in American Politics (Urbana, IL: University of Illinois Press, 1989).

    Google Scholar 

  13. Francis E. Rourke and John T. Tierney, “The Setting: Changing Patterns of Presidential Politics, 1960 and 1988,” in Michael Nelson, ed., Elections of 1988 (Washington, DC: CQ Press, 1989), pp. 1–24.

    Google Scholar 

  14. John Kenneth White, The New Politics of Old Values, Second Edition (Hanover, NH: University Press of New England, 1990).

    Google Scholar 

  15. David Keege and Lyman Kellstedt, Rediscovering the Religious Factor in American Politics (Armonk, NY: Sharpe, 1993).

    Google Scholar 

  16. Peter Goldman and Tom Mathews, The Quest for the Presidency: The 1988 Campaign (New York: Simon and Schuster, 1989).

    Google Scholar 

  17. Stanley Greenberg, Middle Class Dreams: The Politics and Power of the New American Majority (New Haven: Yale University Press, 1995).

    Google Scholar 

  18. John Sperling, The Great Divide: Retro vs. Metro America (Sausalito, CA: Polipoint Press, 2004).

    Google Scholar 

  19. Thomas Frank, What’s the Matter with Kansas?: How Conservatives Won the Heart of America (New York: Metropolitan Books, 2004).

    Google Scholar 

  20. William Frey, Melting Pot Suburbs: A Census Study of Suburban Diversity (Washington, DC: Brookings Institution, 2001).

    Google Scholar 

  21. Stanley Greenberg, The Two Americas: Our Current Political Deadlock and How to Break It (New York: St. Martin’s Press, 2004), p. 108.

    Google Scholar 

  22. James Barnes, “It’s the Suburbs Stupid,” National Journal 36 (2004): 1.

    Google Scholar 

  23. John Judis and Ruy Texeira, The Emerging Democratic Majority (New York: Scribner, 2002), pp. 72–76.

    Google Scholar 

  24. Andrew Gelman and others, Red State, Blue State, Rich State, Poor State (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 2008).

    Google Scholar 

  25. John C. Green, “Ohio: The Heart of It All,” The Forum 2:3 (2004): 1–5

    Article  Google Scholar 

  26. Richard Scammon and Ben Wattenberg, The Real Majority (New York: Coward-McCann, 1970), p. 30.

    Google Scholar 

  27. Daron Shaw and Seth McGee, “Suburban Voting in Presidential Elections,” Presidential Studies Quarterly 33:1 (2003): 125.

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Authors

Copyright information

© 2009 Kevin J. McMahon, David M. Rankin, Donald W. Beachler, and John Kenneth White

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Rankin, D.M. (2009). The Midwest. In: Winning the White House 2008. Palgrave Macmillan, New York. https://doi.org/10.1057/9780230100428_7

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics