Skip to main content

Modelling Behaviour

  • Chapter
Economic Forecasting

Abstract

This chapter presents the specifications that are generally adopted to describe agents’ economic behaviour. Section 5.1 deals with enterprise investment (fixed and stockbuilding), which plays a prominent role as a driver of economic fluctuations. Section 5.2 proceeds with household spending (consumption and residential investment). Section 5.3 discusses imports, exports, world demand and competitiveness. Section 5.4 covers employment and Section 5.5 wage-price dynamics. In the process, this chapter surveys the commonly used specifications, including their theoretical underpinnings and their typical results. The presentation draws heavily on error-correction equations, as they are intuitive, enlightening and frequently used by practitioners (see Box 5.1). Estimation methods per se are beyond the scope of this book but are presented in standard econometrics textbooks.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 84.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 109.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 109.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Authors

Copyright information

© 2005 Nicolas Carnot, Vincent Koen and Bruno Tissot

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Carnot, N., Koen, V., Tissot, B. (2005). Modelling Behaviour. In: Economic Forecasting. Palgrave Macmillan, London. https://doi.org/10.1057/9780230005815_5

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics