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Global Change and Its Consequences

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Abstract

The world is changing in ways faster than expected. Even the most astute and knowledgeable analysts of world events had not anticipated some of the developments that are affecting the global landscape. The direction of change is even harder to predict when it is actually occurring. Most contemporary observers view their own situation, the situation of the countries in which they are located and that of the world from narrowly focused lenses. They neither look deep enough into a given field nor reflect deeply on the past and how it can inform the present. The present dominates their thinking. This book provides an analysis of the changes taking place in six countries—the United States, China, India, Russia, Iran and Afghanistan—and two regions—the Middle East and Europe—that will profoundly affect the world’s future. It also examines four issues—climate change, demographic developments, the conduct of international trade and technological change—the world must face.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    Jeff Sommer, “Currency adjustment is short step in China’s long advance,” The New York Times, August 23, 2015, p. A3.

  2. 2.

    Kishore Mahbubani, The New Asian Hemisphere: The Irresistible Shift of Global Power to the East, New York: Policy, 2002.

  3. 3.

    Fareed Zakaria, The Future of Freedom: Illiberal Democracy at Home and Abroad, New York: W.W. Norton, 2003.

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    Ian Morris, Why the West Rules for Now: The Patterns of History, and What They Reveal About the Future, London: Picador Reprint, 2011.

  5. 5.

    David S. Landes, The Wealth and Poverty of Nations: Why Some are So Rich and Some So Poor, New York: W.W. Norton, 1999.

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    Maureen Dowd, “Donald Trump struts in his own pageant,” The New York Times, August 23, 2015, p. A21.

  7. 7.

    Jim O’Neill, Building Better Global Economic BRICs, New York: Goldman Sachs, 2001.

  8. 8.

    Peter Baker, “Obama’s Iran nuclear deal pits his faith in diplomacy against skepticism,” The New York Times, July 15, 2015, p. A1.

  9. 9.

    7. Rukmini Callimachi, “ISIS and the lonely young American: In coaxing woman to radicalism, terror group’s followed playbook,” The New York Times, June 28, 2015, pp. 1 and 10–11.

  10. 10.

    Martin Wolf, Why Globalization Works, London: Yale University Press, 2004. Joseph Stiglitz, Globalization and Its Discontents, New York: W.W. Norton, 2002.

  11. 11.

    Carlotta Gall and Farah Samti, “Tunisian gunman showed subtle signs of radicalism,” The New York Times, June 29, 2015, p. A4.

  12. 12.

    Simon Tilford, “How the Eurozone will cope with the next downturn,” Center for European Reform, May 27, 2015.

  13. 13.

    Catherine Rampell, “Euros of mass destruction,” The Washington Post, June 30, 2015, p. A15.

  14. 14.

    Ibid.

  15. 15.

    “Encyclical letter Laudato Si of the Holy Father on Care for Our Common Home,” Vatican Va., June 18, 2015.

  16. 16.

    Gunnar Myrdal, Asian Drama: An Inquiry into the Poverty of Nations, New York: Random House, 1968.

  17. 17.

    Subrata Mitra and Radu Carcimuru, “Beyond the ‘low-level equilibrium trap’ getting a ‘principled negotiation of the Kashmir conflict’,” Irish Studies in International Affairs, Vol. 26 (2015), pp. 1–24.

  18. 18.

    Henry Paulson and Robert Rubin, “Why the U.S. needs to listen to China,” The Atlantic, June 2015.

  19. 19.

    Francis Fukuyama, The End of History and the Last Man, Boston: Free Press, 2006.

  20. 20.

    Francis Fukuyama, The Origins of Political Order: From Pre-human Times to the French Revolution, New York: Farrar, Straus, and Giroux, 2012, and Political Order and Political Decay: From the Industrial Revolution to the Globalization of Democracy, New York: Farrar, Straus, and Giroux, 2015.

  21. 21.

    Edward Luce, “Obama’s presidential renaissance,” Financial Times, June 29, 2015, p. 9.

  22. 22.

    The Economist, “Xi must be obeyed,” March 31, 2014.

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Burki, S.J. (2017). Global Change and Its Consequences. In: Rising Powers and Global Governance. Palgrave Macmillan, New York. https://doi.org/10.1057/978-1-137-59815-8_1

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