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Measuring British Public Opinion on the Monarchy and the Royal Family

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Book cover The Windsor Dynasty 1910 to the Present

Part of the book series: Palgrave Studies in Modern Monarchy ((PSMM))

Abstract

This chapter assesses public opinion, as measured through opinion polls since the inter-war period, and makes a distinction between monarchy as institution, and royal family—permitting insights into individual performances of the latter. As the chapter demonstrates, both the nature and volume of polling has changed radically from rare polls focusing mostly on peripheral matters to the modern reality of frequent and wide-ranging (although not necessarily systematic) polling. At one level, the early polls provide little insight but the shift informs of why there has been a change in focus and intensity of polls. Given that published British opinion polls are commissioned by the news media, the content evoked by polling is revealing of changing editorial agendas in relation to the institution, but also to individuals in terms of their performance ratings in relation to expectations of the institution and how royal individuals relate to these. Public support for the continuation of the monarchy has apparently remained rock-solid but not attitudes towards individual members of the royal family, something which this chapter reveals has implications for the survival of the institution.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    For the best discussion of public opinion in the pre-polling age, see Walter Lippmann (1922) Public Opinion (New York: Harcourt, Brace and Company).

  2. 2.

    Robert M. Worcester, ed (1983) Political Opinion Polling: An International Review (New York: Palgrave Macmillan); Robert M. Worcester (1991) British Public Opinion: A Guide to the History an Methodology of Political Opinion Polling (Oxford: Blackwell). See also Laura Dumond Beers (2006) ‘Whose opinion? Changing attitudes towards opinion polling in British politics, 1937–1964’, Twentieth Century British History, 17(2) 177–205.

  3. 3.

    J. F. O. McAllister ‘A Woman’s Work Is Never Done’, Time Magazine, 9 April 2006; Robert Lacey (2003) Monarch: The Life and Reign of Elizabeth II (New York: Free Press), pp386–7.

  4. 4.

    See Alastair Campbell (2007) The Blair Years: Extracts from the Alastair Campbell Diaries (London: Arrow), pp230–47.

  5. 5.

    Only 4 % had no opinion or declined to answer; of those expressing a view, 61 % said they thought that the Duke and Duchess should be invited to return, and 39 % that they should not. See George H. Gallup, ed (1976) The Gallup International Public Opinion Polls, Great Britain, 1937–1975, 2 vols (Westport, CT: Greenwood Press), I, p2.

  6. 6.

    Gallup, Great Britain, I, p3.

  7. 7.

    Mark Roodhouse (2013) ‘“Fish-and-chip intelligence”: Henry Durant and the British Institute of Public Opinion, 1936–63’, Twentieth Century British History, 24(2), 224–48, p241; Anthony King and Robert Wybrow, eds (2001) British Political Opinion 1937–2000: The Gallup Polls (London: Politico).

  8. 8.

    Roodhouse, ‘Fish-and-chip intelligence’, p241; King and Wybrow, British Political Opinion.

  9. 9.

    King and Wybrow, British Political Opinion, p296.

  10. 10.

    Paul Addison and Jeremy A. Crang, eds (2011) Listening to Britain: Home Intelligence Reports on Britain’s Finest Hour—May to September 1940 (London: Vintage), pp31–6.

  11. 11.

    Gallup, Great Britain, I, pp165; 349.

  12. 12.

    See Ben Pimlott (1998) ‘Monarchy and the Message’, in Jean Seaton, ed Politics and the Media: Harlots and Prerogatives at the Turn of the Millennium (Chichester: Wiley) 99–107, pp99–101.

  13. 13.

    Jeremy Murray-Brown, ed (1969) The Monarchy and Its Future (London: Allen and Unwin), Introduction, pvii; Henry Luce III (1969) ‘Monarchy: the Vital Strand’, in Murray-Brown, ed The Monarchy and Its Future, p130. Panorama at that point was the BBC’s flagship documentary series, known for its hard-hitting stories.

  14. 14.

    http://www.bsa-data.natcen.ac.uk/?_ga=1.6275763.1068730213.1415366354, accessed 23 October 2015.

  15. 15.

    McAllister, ‘A Woman’s Work Is Never Done’.

  16. 16.

    Poll for ABC: MORI interviewed 1063 GB adults aged 18+ by telephone on 4–5 September 1997, https://www.ipsos-mori.com/researchpublications/researcharchive/poll.aspx?oItemId=2116, accessed 14 November 2014.

  17. 17.

    Poll for the Sun: MORI interviewed 602 GB adults aged 18+ by telephone on 6–7 September 1997, https://www.ipsos-mori.com/researchpublications/researcharchive/poll.aspx?oItemId=2189, accessed 14 November 2014.

  18. 18.

    http://www.bsa-data.natcen.ac.uk/?_ga=1.6275763.1068730213.1415366354, accessed 23 October 2015.

  19. 19.

    http://www.icmresearch.com/voting/monarchy-section, accessed 23 October 2015.

  20. 20.

    Poll for the Sunday Times: YouGov interviewed 1731 GB adults aged 18+ online on 23–24 August 2012, https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/sdx6k0u8c5/YG-Archives-Pol-ST-results-24-260812.pdf, accessed 9 January 2015.

  21. 21.

    https://www.ipsos-mori.com/researchpublications/researcharchive/poll.aspx?oItemId=124&view=wide, accessed 22 October 2015.

  22. 22.

    https://www.ipsos-mori.com/researchpublications/researcharchive/88/Political-Monitor-Satisfaction-Ratings-1997Present.aspx, accessed 22 October 2015.

  23. 23.

    Poll for Newsweek: YouGov interviewed 2099 GB adults aged 18+ online on 8–9 September 2014.

  24. 24.

    MORI, British Public Opinion newsletter, 17(1) (January-February 1994), 10. Poll for Today newspaper: MORI interviewed 1007 GB adults aged 18+ face-to-face on 7–12 January 1994.

  25. 25.

    Poll for the Independent on Sunday: MORI interviewed 1165 GB adults aged 18+ face-to-face on 7–9 February 1996.

  26. 26.

    MORI, British Public Opinion newsletter, 6(5) (May 1984), 6. Poll for the Daily Star: MORI interviewed 1077 GB adults aged 18+ face-to-face on 24 April 1984.

  27. 27.

    Kelvin McKenzie while editor of the Sun, according to Chippindale and Horrie. See Peter Chippindale and Chris Horrie (1999) Stick It up Your Punter! The Uncut Story of the Sun Newspaper (London: Faber and Faber), p127.

  28. 28.

    Poll for the Daily Express:: YouGov interviewed 1615 GB adults aged 18+ online on 8–9 September 2013, https://yougov.co.uk/news/2013/09/17/38-brits-princess-dianas-death-was-not-accident/, accessed 26 November 2014. YouGov’s finding was certainly not a freak result, though finding more conspiracy theorists than are usually picked up in polls not conducted online. In 2008, using a differently worded question and polling by telephone, Ipsos MORI found 24 % thought ‘Princess Diana’s death was the result of a conspiracy’, while 64 % thought it was an accident and 12 % that neither was true or didn’t know. But the same poll found many of the public equally credulous in other respects, with 30 % believing that ‘evidence of UFO landings are being hidden from the public’. (Poll for the BBC: Ipsos MORI interviewed 1070 UK adults aged 16+ by telephone on 3–6 January 2008, https://www.ipsos-mori.com/researchpublications/researcharchive/150/BBC-Survey-on-Trust-Issues.aspx, accessed 26 November 2014.).

  29. 29.

    Poll for the Sun: MORI interviewed 806 GB adults aged 18+ by telephone on 15–16 June 1999.

  30. 30.

    Poll for the (London) Evening Standard: Ipsos MORI interviewed 1016 GB adults aged 18+ by telephone on 9–11 June 2012, https://www.ipsos-mori.com/researchpublications/researcharchive/2977/Satisfaction-with-the-Queen-at-record-high.aspx, accessed 22 October 2015.

  31. 31.

    Poll for the Sunday Times: YouGov interviewed 1731 GB adults aged 18+ online on 23–24 August 2012, https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/sdx6k0u8c5/YG-Archives-Pol-ST-results-24-260812.pdf, accessed 23 October 2015.

  32. 32.

    YouGov interviewed 1883 GB adults aged 18+ online on 29–30 October 2014, https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/cxcx0hk2zv/Internal_Results_141030_Royals_Website.pdf, accessed 28 October 2015.

  33. 33.

    YouGov interviewed 667 GB adults aged 18+ online on 9 June 2014, https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/y77stv13r3/YG-Archive-140609-Camilla.pdf, accessed 28 October 2015.

  34. 34.

    Robert M. Worcester (1997) ‘Why do we do what we do?’, International Journal of Public Opinion Research, 9(1), 2–16.

  35. 35.

    See Elisabeth Noelle-Neumann (1984) The Spiral of Silence (Chicago: University of Chicago Press).

  36. 36.

    Gallup, Great Britain, I p349.

  37. 37.

    MORI, British Public Opinion, (February 1990), Newsletter, 12(1), p7.

  38. 38.

    YouGov interviewed 1731 GB adults aged 18+ online on 16–17 September 2012, https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/rdmh413l0z/Kate%20Results%20120917.pdf, accessed 28 October 2015.

  39. 39.

    European Commission Eurobarometer 67: Public Opinion in the European Union (Spring 2007), 57, https://ec.europa.eu/public_opinion/archives/eb/eb67/eb67_en.htm, accessed 23 October 2015. The EU-15 are the countries that were members of the EU before May 2004.

  40. 40.

    Gallup, Great Britain, I p165.

  41. 41.

    Poll for the Sunday Times: YouGov interviewed 1967 GB adults aged 18+ online on 18–19 November 2010, https://yougov.co.uk/news/2010/11/30/modernising-monarchy/, accessed 26 November 2014.

  42. 42.

    Gallup The Gallup International Public Opinion Polls, II, p900.

  43. 43.

    MORI, British Public Opinion (February 1990), Newsletter 13(1), pp7–9. Poll for the Sunday Times: MORI interviewed 1075 GB adults aged 18+ face-to-face on 6–8 January 1990.

  44. 44.

    The poll showed that 53 % opted for the alternative statement that ‘The Queen and the Royal Family are figureheads of the nation and our ambassadors abroad, and it is only right that they should have as much wealth as they do’; 6 % didn’t know.

  45. 45.

    MORI, British Public Opinion (March 1991), Newsletter 14(2), p6. Poll for the Daily Mail: MORI interviewed 629 GB adults aged 18+ by telephone on 12–13 February 1991.

  46. 46.

    https://www.ipsos-mori.com/researchpublications/researcharchive/poll.aspx?oItemId=117&view=wide, accessed 6 January 2015.

  47. 47.

    Poll for the Sun, conducted 27–28 May 2012: YouGov interviewed 1743 GB adults aged 18+ online, https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/bds05na0fe/YG-Archives-Pol-Sun-JubileeRoyalFamily-300512.pdf, accessed 9 January 2015.

  48. 48.

    Sunday Telegraph, 27 July 2013, http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/theroyalfamily/10206708/Confidence-in-British-monarchy-at-all-time-high-poll-shows.html, accessed 6 January 2015.

  49. 49.

    ComRes interviewed 2050 GB adults online on 18–19 January 2012, https://www.comres.co.uk/polls/independent-on-sundaysunday-mirror-political-poll-4/, accessed 28 October 2015.

Select Bibliography

  • Paul Addison and Jeremy A. Crang, eds (2011) Listening to Britain: Home Intelligence Reports on Britain’s Finest Hour—May to September 1940 (London: Vintage).

    Google Scholar 

  • Alastair Campbell (2007) The Blair Years: Extracts from the Alastair Campbell Diaries (London: Arrow).

    Google Scholar 

  • Peter Chippindale and Chris Horrie (1999) Stick It up Your Punter! The Uncut Story of the Sun Newspaper (London: Faber and Faber).

    Google Scholar 

  • Laura Dumond Beers (2006) ‘Whose opinion? Changing attitudes towards opinion polling in British politics, 1937–1964’, Twentieth Century British History, 17(2) 177–205.

    Google Scholar 

  • George H. Gallup, ed (1976) The Gallup International Public Opinion Polls, Great Britain, 1937–1975, 2 vols (Westport, CON: Greenwood Press).

    Google Scholar 

  • Anthony King and Robert Wybrow, eds (2001) British Political Opinion 1937–2000: The Gallup Polls (London: Politico).

    Google Scholar 

  • Robert Lacey (2003) Monarch: The Life and Reign of Elizabeth II (New York: Free Press).

    Google Scholar 

  • Walter Lippmann (1922) Public Opinion (New York: Harcourt, Brace and Company).

    Google Scholar 

  • Jeremy Murray-Brown, ed (1969) The Monarchy and Its Future (London: Allen and Unwin).

    Google Scholar 

  • Elisabeth Noelle-Neumann (1984) The Spiral of Silence (Chicago Il: University of Chicago Press).

    Google Scholar 

  • Mark Roodhouse (2013) “Fish-and-chip intelligence’: Henry Durant and the British Institute of Public Opinion, 1936–63’, Twentieth Century British History 24(2), 224–48.

    Google Scholar 

  • Jean Seaton, ed (1998) Politics and the Media: Harlots and Prerogatives at the Turn of the Millennium (Oxford: Wiley).

    Google Scholar 

  • Robert M. Worcester (1991) British Public Opinion: A Guide to the History an Methodology of Political Opinion Polling (Oxford: Blackwell).

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  • Robert M. Worcester, ed (1983) Political Opinion Polling: An International Review (London: Palgrave Macmillan).

    Google Scholar 

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Mortimore, R. (2016). Measuring British Public Opinion on the Monarchy and the Royal Family. In: Glencross, M., Rowbotham, J., Kandiah, M. (eds) The Windsor Dynasty 1910 to the Present. Palgrave Studies in Modern Monarchy. Palgrave Macmillan, London. https://doi.org/10.1057/978-1-137-56455-9_6

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1057/978-1-137-56455-9_6

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