Abstract
The chapter asks whether neoliberal or any other form of capitalism can take us safely through the twenty-first century. Can it survive the coming crises of mass technological unemployment and climate change but also the rise of the knowledge economy and the impact of growing socio-economic divisions? First, we outline the recent anxieties expressed by conservative IGOs, such as the IMF and OECD, concerning the world economy’s low-growth performance. After decades insisting that only neoliberal free-market practices can engender global expansion, they now suggest governments should abandon austerity, reduce inequality, and borrow and invest where private capitalism fails to do so. Second, the discussion explores the argument that the vast wealth and income accruing to the top one and ten per cent places them in a different economic universe from everyone else. Thus, their consumption preferences, saving practices and investment choices increasingly shape the direction of entire economies, determine which industries and firms will flourish and trigger damaging financial speculation. A third section assesses the argument that the IT economy of cognitive capitalism makes possible abundant and free goods that can readily be imitated and shared by consumers who have access to iPods, laptops, tablets, and so on. Some economists argue that this new economy undermines the ability of capitalist firms to make profits. The latter’s response, as in the case of global IT and social media giants, is to protect their products by creating monopolies and extending intellectual property rights. But this stifles innovation and market growth and constitutes yet another aspect of super-exploitation by a vampire capitalists. Finally, the chapter sketches certain future dystopic scenarios that might arise should capitalist elites and governments prove unable or unwilling to implement global reforms, especially reducing inequality, achieving the transition to renewable energy sources and establishing fair distribution systems to replace the wage economy as a work-less future increasingly beckons. Here, we anticipate it will not be markets but the effectiveness and demands of future people’s socio-political movements that will mostly determine how these transformations work out.
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Notes
- 1.
Citigroup had to be bailed out by the US government in 2008 to the tune of around $70 billion, but this was paid back by 2010.
- 2.
The authors included the following in their list of emerging market entrepreneurs/ plutocrats; ‘Russian oligarchs, Chinese real estate/manufacturing tycoons, Indian software moguls, Latin American oil/agricultural barons’ (Kapur et al. 2005: 21).
- 3.
A. Chakrabortty (2008), ‘Secret report: biofuel caused food crisis’, The Guardian, July 3.
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- 5.
Some doubt whether even in purely material terms the ICT revolution will prove to be as transformative as the second. Thus, Gordon (2012) argued that the former may have exercised its maximum impact on productivity by 2004 after 40 years of innovation in such things as mobile phones, the Internet, ATM banking, word processing and so on. He also sees a continuing US slow-down in both productivity and economic growth linked to formidable ‘headwinds’ such as rising inequality but also the intrinsic technological and productivity limitations of the third industrial revolution.
- 6.
Hardt and Negri (2009) remind us that societies, including capitalist ones, only survive because most of social life flourishes outside the market and the realm of private property through language, gestures, myriad shared cultural meanings and long-established and sanctioned social interactions and practices that guarantee ‘normal’ behaviour, conflict resolution and so on.
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- 8.
Podemos came second in the December elections of 2015 in Spain with 21 per cent of the national vote. It then allied with the United Left Party but failed to increase its share of seats at the June follow-up election in 2016. Podemos is an anti-austerity and anti-inequality pro-socialist party, popular with the young.
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Kennedy, P. (2017). Does Capitalism Have a Future?. In: Vampire Capitalism. Palgrave Macmillan, London. https://doi.org/10.1057/978-1-137-55266-2_8
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